A Discovery Method of Trend Rules from Complex Sequential Data

This paper proposes a method that discovers trend rules from complex sequential data. The rules represent relationships among evaluation objects, keywords, and changes of numerical values related to the evaluation objects. The data is composed of numerical sequential data and text sequential data. The method extracts frequent patterns from transaction sets based on the changes. Also, it regards combinations of the patterns and the changes as trend rules. This paper applies the method to data sets composed of stock data and news headlines. Lastly, this paper compares the method with a method based on the random selection and shows the effect of the proposed method.

[1]  Werner Antweiler,et al.  Is All that Talk Just Noise? The Information Content of Internet Stock Message Boards , 2001 .

[2]  Shigeaki Sakurai An efficient discovery method of patterns from transactions with their classes , 2010, 2010 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics.

[3]  Ryohei Orihara,et al.  Discovery of Sequential Patterns Coinciding with Analysts' Interests , 2008, J. Comput..

[4]  Gerhard Knolmayer,et al.  NewsCATS: A News Categorization and Trading System , 2006, Sixth International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM'06).

[5]  Shigeaki Sakurai,et al.  Analysis of daily business reports based on sequential text mining method , 2004, 2004 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics (IEEE Cat. No.04CH37583).

[6]  Jian Pei,et al.  Mining frequent patterns without candidate generation , 2000, SIGMOD '00.

[7]  Ryohei Orihara,et al.  Sequential mining method based on a new criterion , 2006, Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing.

[8]  Johan Bollen,et al.  Twitter mood predicts the stock market , 2010, J. Comput. Sci..

[9]  Wai Lam,et al.  News Sensitive Stock Trend Prediction , 2002, PAKDD.

[10]  Raymond K. Wong,et al.  Currency Exchange Rate Forecasting From News Headlines , 2002, Australasian Database Conference.

[11]  Young-Woo Seo,et al.  Financial News Analysis for Intelligent Portfolio Management , 2004 .