Novel Entropy and Rotation Forest-Based Credal Decision Tree Classifier for Landslide Susceptibility Modeling

Landslides are a major geological hazard worldwide. Landslide susceptibility assessments are useful to mitigate human casualties, loss of property, and damage to natural resources, ecosystems, and infrastructures. This study aims to evaluate landslide susceptibility using a novel hybrid intelligence approach with the rotation forest-based credal decision tree (RF-CDT) classifier. First, 152 landslide locations and 15 landslide conditioning factors were collected from the study area. Then, these conditioning factors were assigned values using an entropy method and subsequently optimized using correlation attribute evaluation (CAE). Finally, the performance of the proposed hybrid model was validated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and compared with two well-known ensemble models, bagging (bag-CDT) and MultiBoostAB (MB-CDT). Results show that the proposed RF-CDT model had better performance than the single CDT model and hybrid bag-CDT and MB-CDT models. The findings in the present study overall confirm that a combination of the meta model with a decision tree classifier could enhance the prediction power of the single landslide model. The resulting susceptibility maps could be effective for enforcement of land management regulations to reduce landslide hazards in the study area and other similar areas in the world.

[1]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Using Bagging Ensemble Based Alternating Decision Trees, Logistic Regression and J48 Decision Trees Methods: A Comparative Study , 2017, Geotechnical and Geological Engineering.

[2]  Geoffrey I. Webb,et al.  MultiBoosting: A Technique for Combining Boosting and Wagging , 2000, Machine Learning.

[3]  Iman Nasiri Aghdam,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping using an ensemble statistical index (Wi) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model at Alborz Mountains (Iran) , 2016, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[4]  Guan-Wei Lin,et al.  Effects of topography, lithology, rainfall and earthquake on landslide and sediment discharge in mountain catchments of southeastern Taiwan , 2011 .

[5]  Serafín Moral,et al.  Building classification trees using the total uncertainty criterion , 2003, Int. J. Intell. Syst..

[6]  อนิรุธ สืบสิงห์,et al.  Data Mining Practical Machine Learning Tools and Techniques , 2014 .

[7]  Á. Felicísimo,et al.  Mapping landslide susceptibility with logistic regression, multiple adaptive regression splines, classification and regression trees, and maximum entropy methods: a comparative study , 2013, Landslides.

[8]  Rudolf Brázdil,et al.  The late Little Ice Age landslide calamity in North Bohemia: Triggers, impacts and post-landslide development reconstructed from documentary data (case study of the Kozí vrch Hill landslide) , 2016 .

[9]  T. Kavzoglu,et al.  Susceptibility mapping of shallow landslides using kernel-based Gaussian process, support vector machines and logistic regression , 2016 .

[10]  Wei Chen,et al.  Application of frequency ratio, weights of evidence and evidential belief function models in landslide susceptibility mapping , 2016 .

[11]  Salim Heddam Rebuttal to “Estimation of dissolved oxygen using data-driven techniques in the Tai Po River, Hong Kong Samira Nemati, Mohammad Hasan Fazelifard, Ozlem Terzi and Mohammad Ali Ghorbani. Environ Earth Science (2015).” Doi:10.1007/s12665-015-4450-3 , 2016, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[12]  Deepak Kumar,et al.  Landslide Susceptibility Mapping & Prediction using Support Vector Machine for Mandakini River Basin, Garhwal Himalaya, India , 2017 .

[13]  Shu-Yeong Chi,et al.  Regional landslide susceptibility assessment using multi-stage remote sensing data along the coastal range highway in northeastern Taiwan , 2018 .

[14]  Amar Deep Regmi,et al.  Assessment of landslide susceptibility using GIS-based evidential belief function in Patu Khola watershed, Dang, Nepal , 2016, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[15]  P. Walley Inferences from Multinomial Data: Learning About a Bag of Marbles , 1996 .

[16]  Slobodan B. Mickovski,et al.  Plant-soil reinforcement response under different soil hydrological regimes , 2017 .

[17]  Fan Yang,et al.  GIS-based landslide susceptibility analysis using frequency ratio and evidential belief function models , 2016, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[18]  Zohre Sadat Pourtaghi,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping using random forest, boosted regression tree, classification and regression tree, and general linear models and comparison of their performance at Wadi Tayyah Basin, Asir Region, Saudi Arabia , 2015, Landslides.

[19]  Zenghui Sun,et al.  Landslide Susceptibility Modeling Using Integrated Ensemble Weights of Evidence with Logistic Regression and Random Forest Models , 2019, Applied Sciences.

[20]  Fabrizio Palmisano,et al.  Methodology for Landslide Damage Assessment , 2016 .

[21]  Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Systems , 2009, Lecture Notes in Computer Science.

[22]  Hamid Reza Pourghasemi,et al.  Application of analytical hierarchy process, frequency ratio, and certainty factor models for groundwater potential mapping using GIS , 2015, Earth Science Informatics.

[23]  S. Moral,et al.  COMPLETING A TOTAL UNCERTAINTY MEASURE IN THE DEMPSTER-SHAFER THEORY , 1999 .

[24]  Joachim Rohn,et al.  Research on water–rock (soil) interaction by dynamic tracing method for Huangtupo landslide, Three Gorges Reservoir, PR China , 2015, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[25]  S. Pascale,et al.  Evaluation of prediction capability of the artificial neural networks for mapping landslide susceptibility in the Turbolo River catchment (northern Calabria, Italy) , 2014 .

[26]  M. Ada,et al.  Comparison of machine-learning techniques for landslide susceptibility mapping using two-level random sampling (2LRS) in Alakir catchment area, Antalya, Turkey , 2017, Natural Hazards.

[27]  C. Juang,et al.  Rainfall-based criteria for assessing slump rate of mountainous highway slopes: A case study of slopes along Highway 18 in Alishan, Taiwan , 2011 .

[28]  Costas Tsatsoulis,et al.  Classifying genes to the correct Gene Ontology Slim term in Saccharomyces cerevisiae using neighbouring genes with classification learning , 2010, BMC Genomics.

[29]  Xiaojing Wang,et al.  Landslide Susceptibility Modeling Based on GIS and Novel Bagging-Based Kernel Logistic Regression , 2018, Applied Sciences.

[30]  B. Pradhan,et al.  Application of weights-of-evidence and certainty factor models and their comparison in landslide susceptibility mapping at Haraz watershed, Iran , 2013, Arabian Journal of Geosciences.

[31]  Alessandro Corsini,et al.  Deformation responses of slow moving landslides to seasonal rainfall in the Northern Apennines, measured by InSAR , 2018 .

[32]  U. Wegmüller,et al.  Landslide Hazard Assessment in the Himalayas (Nepal and Bhutan) based on Earth-Observation Data , 2018 .

[33]  Saro Lee,et al.  Combining landslide susceptibility maps obtained from frequency ratio, logistic regression, and artificial neural network models using ASTER images and GIS , 2012 .

[34]  Kok-Kwang Phoon,et al.  Quantile value method versus design value method for calibration of reliability-based geotechnical codes , 2013 .

[35]  A. Brenning,et al.  Integrating physical and empirical landslide susceptibility models using generalized additive models , 2011 .

[36]  Sotiris B. Kotsiantis,et al.  Combining bagging, boosting, rotation forest and random subspace methods , 2011, Artificial Intelligence Review.

[37]  Binh Thai Pham,et al.  A novel hybrid model of Bagging-based Naïve Bayes Trees for landslide susceptibility assessment , 2019, Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment.

[38]  A-Xing Zhu,et al.  Landslide susceptibility modelling using GIS-based machine learning techniques for Chongren County, Jiangxi Province, China. , 2018, The Science of the total environment.

[39]  Leo Breiman,et al.  Bagging Predictors , 1996, Machine Learning.

[40]  D. Bui,et al.  A Novel Hybrid Model of Rotation Forest Based Functional Trees for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Case Study at Kon Tum Province, Vietnam , 2017 .

[41]  Vincent Kakembo,et al.  Land use changes on the slopes of Mount Elgon and the implications for the occurrence of landslides , 2012 .

[42]  B. Pradhan,et al.  A comparative study of logistic model tree, random forest, and classification and regression tree models for spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility , 2017 .

[43]  Jianbing Peng,et al.  Distribution and characteristics of landslide in Loess Plateau: A case study in Shaanxi province , 2017 .

[44]  Claudia Meisina,et al.  The role of land use changes in the distribution of shallow landslides. , 2017, The Science of the total environment.

[45]  Seyed Amir Naghibi,et al.  Prioritization of landslide conditioning factors and its spatial modeling in Shangnan County, China using GIS-based data mining algorithms , 2018, Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment.

[46]  Joaquín Abellán,et al.  Credal Decision Trees to Classify Noisy Data Sets , 2014, HAIS.

[47]  A. Zhu,et al.  GIS-based landslide susceptibility evaluation using a novel hybrid integration approach of bivariate statistical based random forest method , 2018 .

[48]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Spatial prediction models for shallow landslide hazards: a comparative assessment of the efficacy of support vector machines, artificial neural networks, kernel logistic regression, and logistic model tree , 2016, Landslides.

[49]  S. Leroueil,et al.  The Varnes classification of landslide types, an update , 2014, Landslides.

[50]  Wei Chen,et al.  Performance evaluation of the GIS-based data mining techniques of best-first decision tree, random forest, and naïve Bayes tree for landslide susceptibility modeling. , 2018, The Science of the total environment.

[51]  Sotiris B. Kotsiantis,et al.  Combining Bagging, Boosting and Dagging for Classification Problems , 2007, KES.

[52]  Thomas Glade,et al.  The influence of forest cover on landslide occurrence explored with spatio-temporal information , 2017 .

[53]  Wei Chen,et al.  Landslide spatial modeling: Introducing new ensembles of ANN, MaxEnt, and SVM machine learning techniques , 2017 .

[54]  Heng Lian,et al.  Quantile index coefficient model with variable selection , 2017, J. Multivar. Anal..

[55]  Eric Bauer,et al.  An Empirical Comparison of Voting Classification Algorithms: Bagging, Boosting, and Variants , 1999, Machine Learning.

[56]  Wen-Chieh Chou,et al.  Vegetation recovery assessment at the Jou-Jou Mountain landslide area caused by the 921 Earthquake in Central Taiwan , 2004 .

[57]  Andrés R. Masegosa,et al.  Combining Decision Trees Based on Imprecise Probabilities and Uncertainty Measures , 2007, ECSQARU.

[58]  Juan José Rodríguez Diez,et al.  Rotation Forest: A New Classifier Ensemble Method , 2006, IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence.

[59]  Zohre Sadat Pourtaghi,et al.  Landslide susceptibility assessment in Lianhua County (China); a comparison between a random forest data mining technique and bivariate and multivariate statistical models , 2016 .

[60]  Xiaoqin Li,et al.  GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping using analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and certainty factor (CF) models for the Baozhong region of Baoji City, China , 2015, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[61]  Seyed Amir Naghibi,et al.  A comparative study of landslide susceptibility maps produced using support vector machine with different kernel functions and entropy data mining models in China , 2018, Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment.

[62]  B. Pradhan,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping at Al-Hasher area, Jizan (Saudi Arabia) using GIS-based frequency ratio and index of entropy models , 2015, Geosciences Journal.

[63]  K. Solaimani,et al.  Mapping landslide susceptibility with frequency ratio, statistical index, and weights of evidence models: a case study in northern Iran , 2017, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[64]  Serafín Moral,et al.  A Non-Specificity Measure for Convex Sets of Probability Distributions , 2000, Int. J. Uncertain. Fuzziness Knowl. Based Syst..

[65]  H. Pourghasemi,et al.  GIS-based frequency ratio and index of entropy models for landslide susceptibility assessment in the Caspian forest, northern Iran , 2014, International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology.

[66]  Wei Chen,et al.  A hybrid fuzzy weight of evidence method in landslide susceptibility analysis on the Wuyuan area, China , 2017 .

[67]  Wei Chen,et al.  A novel ensemble approach of bivariate statistical-based logistic model tree classifier for landslide susceptibility assessment , 2018 .

[68]  Wei Chen,et al.  Applying population-based evolutionary algorithms and a neuro-fuzzy system for modeling landslide susceptibility , 2019, CATENA.

[69]  B. Pradhan,et al.  Spatial prediction of landslide hazard at the Yihuang area (China) using two-class kernel logistic regression, alternating decision tree and support vector machines , 2015 .

[70]  J. Blahůt,et al.  Spatial agreement of predicted patterns in landslide susceptibility maps , 2011 .

[71]  B. Pham,et al.  Landslide susceptibility assesssment in the Uttarakhand area (India) using GIS: a comparison study of prediction capability of naïve bayes, multilayer perceptron neural networks, and functional trees methods , 2017, Theoretical and Applied Climatology.

[72]  H. Pourghasemi,et al.  Prediction of the landslide susceptibility: Which algorithm, which precision? , 2018 .

[73]  Kiyonobu Kasama,et al.  Generating landslide inventory by participatory mapping: an example in Purwosari Area, Yogyakarta, Java , 2015 .

[74]  Chong Xu,et al.  GIS-based support vector machine modeling of earthquake-triggered landslide susceptibility in the Jianjiang River watershed, China , 2012 .

[75]  Salvatore Martino,et al.  Composite mechanism of the Büyükçekmece (Turkey) landslide as conditioning factor for earthquake-induced mobility , 2018 .

[76]  Wei Chen,et al.  A novel hybrid artificial intelligence approach based on the rotation forest ensemble and naïve Bayes tree classifiers for a landslide susceptibility assessment in Langao County, China , 2017 .

[77]  Arif Gülten,et al.  Classifier ensemble construction with rotation forest to improve medical diagnosis performance of machine learning algorithms , 2011, Comput. Methods Programs Biomed..

[78]  D. Bui,et al.  A hybrid machine learning ensemble approach based on a Radial Basis Function neural network and Rotation Forest for landslide susceptibility modeling: A case study in the Himalayan area, India , 2017, International Journal of Sediment Research.

[79]  Ionut Cristi Nicu,et al.  Frequency ratio and GIS-based evaluation of landslide susceptibility applied to cultural heritage assessment , 2017 .

[80]  W. Z. Savage,et al.  Guidelines for landslide susceptibility, hazard and risk zoning for land-use planning , 2008 .

[81]  E. Muszyńska,et al.  Seasonal Variations of Mercury Levels in Selected Medicinal Plants Originating from Poland , 2016, Biological Trace Element Research.

[82]  B. Pradhan,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping using certainty factor, index of entropy and logistic regression models in GIS and their comparison at Mugling–Narayanghat road section in Nepal Himalaya , 2012, Natural Hazards.

[83]  Li-hua Chen,et al.  Why fine tree roots are stronger than thicker roots: The role of cellulose and lignin in relation to slope stability , 2014 .

[84]  Tetsuya Kubota,et al.  Comparison of GIS-based landslide susceptibility models using frequency ratio, logistic regression, and artificial neural network in a tertiary region of Ambon, Indonesia , 2018, Geomorphology.

[85]  B. Pham,et al.  A Comparative Study of Least Square Support Vector Machines and Multiclass Alternating Decision Trees for Spatial Prediction of Rainfall-Induced Landslides in a Tropical Cyclones Area , 2016, Geotechnical and Geological Engineering.

[86]  Wei Chen,et al.  Applying Information Theory and GIS-based quantitative methods to produce landslide susceptibility maps in Nancheng County, China , 2017, Landslides.

[87]  A. Trigila,et al.  Comparison of Logistic Regression and Random Forests techniques for shallow landslide susceptibility assessment in Giampilieri (NE Sicily, Italy) , 2015 .

[88]  Glenn Shafer,et al.  A Mathematical Theory of Evidence , 2020, A Mathematical Theory of Evidence.

[89]  Robert P. W. Duin,et al.  The Role of Combining Rules in Bagging and Boosting , 2000, SSPR/SPR.

[90]  Fausto Guzzetti,et al.  Rainfall thresholds for possible landslide occurrence in Italy , 2017 .

[91]  A. Zhu,et al.  Novel hybrid artificial intelligence approach of bivariate statistical-methods-based kernel logistic regression classifier for landslide susceptibility modeling , 2018, Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment.

[92]  Wei Chen,et al.  Spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility using data mining-based kernel logistic regression, naive Bayes and RBFNetwork models for the Long County area (China) , 2019, Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment.

[93]  Samuele Segoni,et al.  Landslides triggered by rainfall: A semi-automated procedure to define consistent intensity-duration thresholds , 2014, Comput. Geosci..

[94]  Wei Chen,et al.  Spatial prediction of landslide susceptibility using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system combined with frequency ratio, generalized additive model, and support vector machine techniques , 2017, Geomorphology.

[95]  Florence W. Y. Ko,et al.  Rainfall-based landslide susceptibility analysis for natural terrain in Hong Kong - A direct stock-taking approach , 2016 .

[96]  M. Rossi,et al.  Characterization and quantification of path dependency in landslide susceptibility , 2017 .

[97]  Wei Chen,et al.  GIS-based groundwater potential analysis using novel ensemble weights-of-evidence with logistic regression and functional tree models. , 2018, The Science of the total environment.

[98]  Olga Vasilieva,et al.  Sustainable thresholds for cooperative epidemiological models. , 2018, Mathematical biosciences.

[99]  Uwe Fink,et al.  Classic Works Of The Dempster Shafer Theory Of Belief Functions , 2016 .

[100]  Tri Dev Acharya,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping using J48 Decision Tree with AdaBoost, Bagging and Rotation Forest ensembles in the Guangchang area (China) , 2018 .

[101]  Dieu Tien Bui,et al.  A novel hybrid intelligent model of support vector machines and the MultiBoost ensemble for landslide susceptibility modeling , 2019, Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment.

[102]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping at Hoa Binh province (Vietnam) using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system and GIS , 2012, Comput. Geosci..

[103]  B. Pradhan,et al.  A novel hybrid evidential belief function-based fuzzy logic model in spatial prediction of rainfall-induced shallow landslides in the Lang Son city area (Vietnam) , 2015 .

[104]  Murat Ercanoglu,et al.  Landslide identification and classification by object-based image analysis and fuzzy logic: An example from the Azdavay region (Kastamonu, Turkey) , 2012, Comput. Geosci..

[105]  Jui-Yi Ho,et al.  Assessment of susceptibility to rainfall-induced landslides using improved self-organizing linear output map, support vector machine, and logistic regression , 2017 .

[106]  Luljeta Bozo,et al.  Problems with Landslide Stabilization of Dukat in the Road Vlora – Saranda☆ , 2016 .

[107]  Seokcheon Lee,et al.  Response Threshold Model Based UAV Search Planning and Task Allocation , 2014, J. Intell. Robotic Syst..

[108]  Arnold K. Bregt,et al.  Implementing landslide path dependency in landslide susceptibility modelling , 2018, Landslides.

[109]  D. Bui,et al.  Spatial prediction of landslides using a hybrid machine learning approach based on Random Subspace and Classification and Regression Trees , 2018 .

[110]  Chunuhng Wu,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping by using landslide ratio-based logistic regression: A case study in the southern Taiwan , 2015, Journal of Mountain Science.

[111]  Arthur P. Dempster,et al.  Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping , 1967, Classic Works of the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Belief Functions.

[112]  Wei Chen,et al.  Landslide Detection and Susceptibility Mapping by AIRSAR Data Using Support Vector Machine and Index of Entropy Models in Cameron Highlands, Malaysia , 2018, Remote. Sens..

[113]  C. Hsein Juang,et al.  Neural network-based model for assessing failure potential of highway slopes in the Alishan, Taiwan Area: Pre- and post-earthquake investigation , 2009 .

[114]  Paraskevas Tsangaratos,et al.  Comparison of a logistic regression and Naïve Bayes classifier in landslide susceptibility assessments: The influence of models complexity and training dataset size , 2016 .

[115]  Wei Chen,et al.  GIS-based landslide susceptibility modelling: a comparative assessment of kernel logistic regression, Naïve-Bayes tree, and alternating decision tree models , 2017 .

[116]  Gökhan Demir,et al.  Landslide susceptibility mapping by using statistical analysis in the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) on the northern part of Suşehri Town, Turkey , 2018, Natural Hazards.

[117]  Saro Lee,et al.  Enhancing Prediction Performance of Landslide Susceptibility Model Using Hybrid Machine Learning Approach of Bagging Ensemble and Logistic Model Tree , 2018, Applied Sciences.

[118]  Biswajeet Pradhan,et al.  Effects of the Spatial Resolution of Digital Elevation Models and Their Products on Landslide Susceptibility Mapping , 2017 .

[119]  Bo Yu,et al.  Landslide detection using probability regression, a case study of Wenchuan, northwest of Chengdu , 2017 .

[120]  Bo Yu,et al.  Analysis of satellite-derived landslide at Central Nepal from 2011 to 2016 , 2018, Environmental Earth Sciences.

[121]  F. Guzzetti,et al.  Scaling properties of rainfall induced landslides predicted by a physically based model , 2013, 1306.1529.