Simulating urban transformation in Haaglanden, the Netherlands

This paper describes a group model-building project about new housing construction, urban renewal and the impact of both processes on a regional social housing market. A team of seven stakeholders participated in model construction over a 1-year period. The paper addresses the modeling process, model analysis and policy experiments. The model yielded several counterintuitive insights, helped the stakeholders to settle a contentious issue and was used in flight simulator workshops with managers and policy makers. By means of questionnaires, we found that most attendants in the project or workshops consider system dynamics modeling as improving communication, insight, alignment and commitment to results. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

[1]  J. Conijn Dansen op de vulkaan , 2006 .

[2]  George P. Richardson,et al.  Group model building: problem structuring, policy simulation and decision support , 2007, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[3]  George P. Richardson,et al.  Group model building: adding more science to the craft , 1997 .

[4]  Jay W. Forrester,et al.  System dynamics—the next fifty years , 2007 .

[5]  David C. Lane,et al.  Rerum cognoscere causas: Part I — How do the ideas of system dynamics relate to traditional social theories and the voluntarism/determinism debate? , 2001 .

[6]  Jac A. M. Vennix,et al.  System dynamics and organizational interventions , 2006 .

[7]  Camilla Monefeldt,et al.  Client Involvement in Simulation Model Building: Hints and Insights from a Case Study in a London Hospital , 2003, Health care management science.

[8]  Jay W. Forrester,et al.  System dynamics—a personal view of the first fifty years , 2007 .

[9]  Carolus Grütters Learning from Failure , 2006 .

[10]  George P. Richardson,et al.  Teamwork in group model building , 1995 .

[11]  Etiënne A. J. A. Rouwette,et al.  Simulating the urban transformation process in the Haaglanden region, the Netherlands , 2004 .

[12]  Martijn Eskinasi,et al.  Lessons learned from unsuccessful modelling interventions , 2006 .

[13]  Jac A. M. Vennix,et al.  Group model building effectiveness: a review of assessment studies † , 2002 .

[14]  Etienne A.J.A. Rouwette,et al.  Measuring MARCO POLIS Management Game's Influence on Market Orientations , 1998 .