Weather, Stock Returns, and the Impact of Localized Trading Behavior

Abstract We document by several methods that trading in Nasdaq stocks is localized, but find little evidence that cloudy weather in the city in which a company is based affects its returns. The first evidence of localized trading is that the time zone of a company's headquarters affects intraday trading patterns in its stock. Second, firms in blizzard-struck cities see a dramatic trading volume drop compared to firms in other cities. Third, the Yom Kippur holiday dampens trading volume in companies located in cities with high Jewish populations. Despite the strong evidence of localized trading, cloudy conditions near the firm's headquarters do not provide profitable trading opportunities.

[1]  H. White A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity , 1980 .

[2]  Jeffrey L Sanders,et al.  Relationships between Weather and Mood. , 1982, The Journal of general psychology.

[3]  D. Lester Perceived stress in police officers and belief in locus of control. , 1982, The Journal of general psychology.

[4]  E. Howarth,et al.  A multidimensional approach to the relationship between mood and weather. , 1984, British journal of psychology.

[5]  Joel Hasbrouck,et al.  Measuring the Information Content of Stock Trades , 1991 .

[6]  T. Nordahl,et al.  Preliminary data on the metabolic brain pattern of patients with winter seasonal affective disorder. , 1992, Archives of general psychiatry.

[7]  Edward M. Saunders Stock Prices and Wall Street Weather , 1993 .

[8]  S. Dager,et al.  Dawn simulation treatment of winter depression: a controlled study. , 1993 .

[9]  R. Williams,et al.  Frequency of seasonal affective disorder among individuals seeking treatment at a Northern Canadian mental health center , 1993, Psychiatry Research.

[10]  R. Bagby,et al.  Seasonal and non-seasonal depression and the five-factor model of personality. , 1996, Journal of affective disorders.

[11]  H. Stoll,et al.  Dealer versus auction markets: A paired comparison of execution costs on NASDAQ and the NYSE , 1996 .

[12]  Mark A. Trombley Stock Prices and Wall Street Weather: Additional Evidence , 1997 .

[13]  Tobias J. Moskowitz,et al.  Home Bias at Home: Local Equity Preference in Domestic Portfolios , 1999 .

[14]  Joshua D. Coval,et al.  The Geography of Investment: Informed Trading and Asset Prices , 1999, Journal of Political Economy.

[15]  Gur Huberman,et al.  Familiarity Breeds Investment , 1999 .

[16]  Lisa A. Kramer,et al.  Winter Blues: A Sad Stock Market Cycle , 2003 .

[17]  Mark Grinblatt,et al.  How Distance, Language, and Culture Influence Stockholdings and Trades , 2001 .

[18]  D. Hirshleifer,et al.  Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather , 2001 .

[19]  Laura Frieder,et al.  Non-Secular Regularities in Stock Returns: The Impact of the High Holy Days on the U.S. Equity Market, Forthcoming in the Financial Analysts Journal , 2001 .

[20]  Ning Zhu,et al.  Rain or Shine: Where is the Weather Effect? , 2002 .

[21]  Who Underreacts to Cash-Flow News? Evidence from Trading between Individuals and Institutions , 2002 .

[22]  Ning Zhu,et al.  The Local Bias of Individual Investors , 2002 .

[23]  P. Schultz Who makes markets , 2003 .

[24]  Wang Yan,et al.  Measuring the Information Content of Stock Trades , 2004 .

[25]  Liquidity: Urban versus rural firms , 2005 .