Remaining life prognostics of rolling bearing based on relative features and multivariable support vector machine

Life prognostics are an important way to reduce production loss, save maintenance cost and avoid fatal machine breakdowns. Predicting the remaining life of rolling bearing with small samples is a challenge due to lack of enough condition monitoring data. This study proposes a novel prognostics model based on relative features and multivariable support vector machine to meet the challenge. Support vector machine is an effective prediction method for the small samples. However, it only focuses on the univariate time series prognosis and fails to predict the remaining life directly. So multivariable support vector machine is constructed for the life prognostics with many relative features, which are closely linked to the remaining life. Unlike the univariate support vector machine, multivariable support vector machine considers the influences among various variables and excavates the potential information of small samples as much as possible. Besides, relative root mean square with ineffectiveness of the individual difference is used to assess the bearing performance degradation and divided the stages of the whole bearing life. The simulation and run-to-failure experiments are carried out to validate the novel prognostics model. And the results demonstrate that multivariable support vector machine utilizes many kinds of useful information for the precise prediction with practical values.

[1]  Joseph Mathew,et al.  Rotating machinery prognostics. State of the art, challenges and opportunities , 2009 .

[2]  A. Palmgren,et al.  Dynamic capacity of rolling bearings , 1947 .

[3]  Takashi Hiyama,et al.  Predicting remaining useful life of rotating machinery based artificial neural network , 2010, Comput. Math. Appl..

[4]  Jay Lee,et al.  Robust performance degradation assessment methods for enhanced rolling element bearing prognostics , 2003, Adv. Eng. Informatics.

[5]  Jin Chen,et al.  Bearing performance degradation assessment based on lifting wavelet packet decomposition and fuzzy c-means , 2010 .

[6]  T. A. Harris,et al.  A New Fatigue Life Model for Rolling Bearings , 1985 .

[7]  Steven Y. Liang,et al.  Adaptive Prognostics for Rolling Element Bearing Condition , 1999 .

[8]  Y. Wang,et al.  Analysis and modeling of multivariate chaotic time series based on neural network , 2009, Expert Syst. Appl..

[9]  Fulei Chu,et al.  Application of support vector machine based on pattern spectrum entropy in fault diagnostics of rolling element bearings , 2011 .

[10]  Ruqiang Yan,et al.  Permutation entropy: A nonlinear statistical measure for status characterization of rotary machines , 2012 .

[11]  Yunqian Ma,et al.  Practical selection of SVM parameters and noise estimation for SVM regression , 2004, Neural Networks.

[12]  F. Takens Detecting strange attractors in turbulence , 1981 .

[13]  Nagi Gebraeel,et al.  Residual life predictions from vibration-based degradation signals: a neural network approach , 2004, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[14]  Xing Wang,et al.  A dynamic multi-scale Markov model based methodology for remaining life prediction , 2011 .

[15]  Qiao Hu,et al.  Fault diagnosis of rotating machinery based on multiple ANFIS combination with GAs , 2007 .

[16]  Erwin V. Zaretsky,et al.  Comparison of Life Theories for Rolling-Element Bearings , 1996 .

[17]  Donghua Zhou,et al.  Remaining useful life estimation - A review on the statistical data driven approaches , 2011, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[18]  Lei Guo,et al.  Robust bearing performance degradation assessment method based on improved wavelet packet–support vector data description , 2009 .

[19]  Y N Pan,et al.  Spectral entropy: A complementary index for rolling element bearing performance degradation assessment , 2009 .

[20]  Louis Narens,et al.  Using the past to predict the future , 2005, Memory & cognition.

[21]  F Zhao,et al.  Condition prediction based on wavelet packet transform and least squares support vector machine methods , 2009 .

[22]  Li-Chang Hsu,et al.  Forecasting the output of integrated circuit industry using genetic algorithm based multivariable grey optimization models , 2009, Expert Syst. Appl..

[23]  G. Meng,et al.  A generalized similarity measure for similarity-based residual life prediction , 2011 .

[24]  Steven Y. Liang,et al.  STOCHASTIC PROGNOSTICS FOR ROLLING ELEMENT BEARINGS , 2000 .

[25]  Vladimir Vapnik,et al.  Statistical learning theory , 1998 .

[26]  Y Shao,et al.  Prognosis of remaining bearing life using neural networks , 2000 .

[27]  M-Y You,et al.  Approaches for component degradation modelling in time-varying environments with application to residual life prediction , 2012 .

[28]  Robert X. Gao,et al.  A Nonlinear Noise Reduction Approach to Vibration Analysis for Bearing Health Diagnosis , 2012 .

[29]  X L Zhang,et al.  Fault diagnosis based on support vector machines with parameter optimization by an ant colony algorithm , 2010 .

[30]  Ligang Cai,et al.  Roller Bearing Fault Diagnosis Based on Nonlinear Redundant Lifting Wavelet Packet Analysis , 2010, Sensors.

[31]  Lifeng Xi,et al.  Residual life predictions for ball bearings based on self-organizing map and back propagation neural network methods , 2007 .

[32]  Nagi Gebraeel,et al.  A Neural Network Degradation Model for Computing and Updating Residual Life Distributions , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and Engineering.

[33]  Fulei Chu,et al.  Modal Analysis of Rubbing Acoustic Emission for Rotor-Bearing System Based on Reassigned Wavelet Scalogram , 2008 .

[34]  Zhigang Tian,et al.  A neural network approach for remaining useful life prediction utilizing both failure and suspension histories , 2010 .

[35]  Ingo Steinwart,et al.  On the Optimal Parameter Choice for v-Support Vector Machines , 2003, IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell..

[36]  M-Y You,et al.  Residual life prediction of repairable systems subject to imperfect preventive maintenance using extended proportional hazards model , 2012 .

[37]  Zhongkui Zhu,et al.  Transient modeling and parameter identification based on wavelet and correlation filtering for rotating machine fault diagnosis , 2011 .