Experience and the base-rate fallacy.
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] M. Hammerton,et al. A case of radical probability estimation. , 1973 .
[2] Eugene Borgida,et al. Judgment under uncertainty: Popular induction: Information is not necessarily informative , 1982 .
[3] R. Hogarth,et al. BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY: PROCESSES OF JUDGMENT AND CHOICE , 1981 .
[4] Robert S. Siegler,et al. Strategies for the Use of Base-Rate Information , 1977 .
[5] W. Edwards,et al. Conservatism in a simple probability inference task. , 1966, Journal of experimental psychology.
[6] W. Casscells,et al. Interpretation by physicians of clinical laboratory results. , 1978, The New England journal of medicine.
[7] P. Slovic,et al. Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation , 1976 .
[8] Jay J.J. Christensen-Szalanski,et al. Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting. , 1981 .
[9] Eugene Borgida,et al. Attribution and the psychology of prediction. , 1975 .
[10] A. Tversky,et al. On the psychology of prediction , 1973 .
[11] W. Estes. The cognitive side of probability learning. , 1976 .
[12] M. Bar-Hillel. The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments. , 1980 .
[13] B. Fischhoff,et al. Subjective sensitivity analysis. , 1979 .
[14] D. Nelson,et al. Sequential Memory for Pictures and the Role of the Verbal System. , 1973 .
[15] Nancy E. Avis,et al. Base rates can affect individual predictions. , 1980 .
[16] Baruch Fischhoff,et al. When Do Base Rates Affect Predictions , 1981 .