Summertime ENSO–North African–Asian Jet teleconnection and implications for the Indian monsoons

(1) Recent findings indicate that ENSO may modulate the strength of the Indian monsoons by altering the meridional tropospheric temperature gradient between Asia and the equatorial Indian Ocean. Here we show that during northern hemisphere summertime El Nino events both colder upper tropospheric temperatures and increased vorticity anomalies are observed within the North African-Asian (NAA) jet. The temperature response within the NAA jet is the dominant ENSO-related change to the meridional tropospheric temperature gradient between Asia and the equatorial Indian Ocean. Forced solutions of the linearized barotropic vorticity equation indicate that these anomalies within the NAA jet are a response to northern hemisphere summertime El Nino-related convective activity over the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Additional experiments indicate that westward propagating anomalies in both the tropics and middle latitudes produce the anomaly response within the NAA jet. These findings suggest that the teleconnection linking ENSO and the monsoons is mediated by the response of the NAA jet to westward propagating Rossby waves. Citation: Shaman, J., and E. Tziperman (2007), Summertime ENSO - North African - Asian Jet teleconnection and implications for the Indian monsoons, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L11702, doi:10.1029/2006GL029143.

[1]  F. Bretherton Critical layer instability in baroclinic flows , 1966 .

[2]  Chengfeng Li,et al.  Mechanism of Heating and the Boundary Layer over the Tibetan Plateau , 1994 .

[3]  D. Karoly Rossby wave propagation in a barotropic atmosphere , 1983 .

[4]  G. Branstator Horizontal energy propagation in a barotropic atmosphere with meridional and zonal structure , 1983 .

[5]  Bin Wang,et al.  Circumglobal Teleconnection in the Northern Hemisphere Summer , 2005 .

[6]  M. Yanai,et al.  The onset and interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon in relation to land-sea thermal contrast , 1996 .

[7]  G. Burgers,et al.  Searching for decadal variations in ENSO precipitation teleconnections , 2005 .

[8]  K. Lau,et al.  Influence of solar irradiance on the Indian Monsoon‐ENSO relationship at decadal‐multidecadal time scales , 1997 .

[9]  Balaji Rajagopalan,et al.  Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856–1991 , 1998 .

[10]  T. Yasunari Global Structure of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation: Part II. Time Evolution@@@第2部:ENSOサイクルに伴う変化 , 1987 .

[11]  C. Ropelewski,et al.  Global and Regional Scale Precipitation Patterns Associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation , 1987 .

[12]  B. Hoskins,et al.  On the use and significance of isentropic potential vorticity maps , 2007 .

[13]  M. Hoerling,et al.  Unraveling the Mystery of Indian Monsoon Failure During El Niño , 2006, Science.

[14]  Haiyan He,et al.  Onset of the Asian Summer Monsoon in 1979 and the Effect of the Tibetan Plateau , 1987 .

[15]  Peter J. Webster,et al.  Monsoon and Enso: Selectively Interactive Systems , 1992 .

[16]  Ryan L. Sriver,et al.  Low frequency variability in globally integrated tropical cyclone power dissipation , 2006 .

[17]  M. Yanai,et al.  The Large-Scale Circulation and Heat Sources over the Tibetan Plateau and Surrounding Areas during the Early Summer of 1979. Part II: Heat and Moisture Budgets , 1984 .

[18]  G. T. Walker,et al.  CORRELATION IN SEASONAL VARIATIONS OF WEATHER—A FURTHER STUDY OF WORLD WEATHER1 , 1925 .

[19]  Sulochana Gadgil,et al.  On the Maximum Cloud Zone and the ITCZ over Indian, Longitudes during the Southwest Monsoon , 1980 .

[20]  T. Nathan,et al.  Effects of low-frequency tropical forcing on intraseasonal tropical-extratropical interactions , 1997 .

[21]  Chengfeng Li,et al.  Seasonal Heating of the Tibetan Plateau and Its Effects on the Evolution of the Asian Summer Monsoon , 1992 .

[22]  P. Xavier,et al.  ENSO control on the south Asian monsoon through the length of the rainy season , 2005 .

[23]  Alexander Gershunov,et al.  Low-Frequency Modulation of the ENSO-Indian Monsoon Rainfall Relationship: Signal or Noise? , 2001 .

[24]  K. K. Kumar,et al.  ENSO‐monsoon relationships in a greenhouse warming scenario , 2001 .

[25]  B. Hoskins,et al.  The Generation of Global Rotational Flow by Steady Idealized Tropical Divergence , 1988 .

[26]  M. Rodwell,et al.  Subtropical Anticyclones and Summer Monsoons , 2001 .

[27]  Rajagopalan,et al.  On the weakening relationship between the indian monsoon and ENSO , 1999, Science.

[28]  M. Watanabe Asian Jet Waveguide and a Downstream Extension of the North Atlantic Oscillation , 2004 .

[29]  C. Sui,et al.  The Evolution of Tropospheric Temperature Field and its Relationship with the Onset of Asian Summer Monsoon , 2003 .

[30]  E. Rasmusson,et al.  The Relationship Between Eastern Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and Rainfall over India and Sri Lanka , 1983 .

[31]  B. Goswami,et al.  Indian Monsoon–ENSO Relationship on Interdecadal Timescale , 2000 .

[32]  Brian J. Hoskins,et al.  Rossby Wave Propagation on a Realistic Longitudinally Varying Flow , 1993 .

[33]  Bin Wang,et al.  Structures and Mechanisms of the Northward Propagating Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation , 2004 .

[34]  R. Reynolds,et al.  The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project , 1996, Renewable Energy.

[35]  Brian J. Hoskins,et al.  The Steady Linear Response of a Spherical Atmosphere to Thermal and Orographic Forcing , 1981 .

[36]  Sulochana Gadgil,et al.  The Indian monsoon and its variability , 2003 .

[37]  Jeffrey Shaman,et al.  The Effect of ENSO on Tibetan Plateau Snow Depth: A Stationary Wave Teleconnection Mechanism and Implications for the South Asian Monsoons , 2005 .

[38]  G. Branstator Circumglobal Teleconnections, the Jet Stream Waveguide, and the North Atlantic Oscillation , 2002 .

[39]  P. Webster,et al.  Monsoons: Processes, predictability, and the prospects for prediction , 1998 .