Fuzzy Multiple Criteria Workflow Robustness and Resiliency Modeling with Petri Nets

The increasing complexity and tight coupling between people and computer systems in military operations has led to improved efficiency, as well as greater vulnerability due to system failure. Careful management of workflow systems can minimize operational vulnerability in command and control. Tavana et al. (2011) developed a workflow management framework capable of both modeling structure and providing a wide range of quantitative analysis with high-level Petri nets (PNs). The framework is based on a sustainability index that captures the concepts of self-protecting and self-healing systems. This index uses crisp numerical values to measure the robustness and resiliency of the system. However, the observed values of data in real-world military operations are often imprecise or vague. These inexact data can be represented by fuzzy numbers to reflect the decision makers’ intuition and subjective judgments. In this paper, the authors extend this model to a fuzzy framework by proposing a new fuzzy workflow modeling system with PNs. The new model plots the fuzzy robustness and resiliency measures in a Cartesian coordinate system and derives an overall fuzzy sustainability index for the system based on the theory of displaced ideals. The proposed model also considers multiple criteria to produce this fuzzy index.

[1]  Roy Rada,et al.  Integrating Knowledge Sources: An Ontological Approach , 2013, Int. J. Knowl. Manag..

[2]  Murray E. Jennex Knowledge Management: Concepts, Methodologies, Tools and Applications , 2007 .

[3]  Alessandro Giua,et al.  First-order hybrid Petri nets: a model for optimization and control , 2000, IEEE Trans. Robotics Autom..

[4]  William Acar,et al.  A Petri Net model view of decision making: an operational management analysis , 1995 .

[5]  P. Smets Imperfect information : Imprecision-Uncertainty , 1999 .

[6]  Dennis T. Kennedy,et al.  An Applied Study Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process to Translate Common Verbal Phrases to Numerical Probabilities , 1997 .

[7]  Fu-Shiung Hsieh,et al.  Collaborative composition of processes in holonic manufacturing systems , 2011, Comput. Ind..

[8]  Murray E. Jennex Ubiquitous Developments in Knowledge Management: Integrations and Trends , 2010 .

[9]  El-Sayed Abou-Zeid,et al.  Knowledge Management and Business Strategies: Theoretical Frameworks and Empirical Research , 2007 .

[10]  Kees M. van Hee,et al.  Workflow Management: Models, Methods, and Systems , 2002, Cooperative information systems.

[11]  Taho Yang,et al.  Multiple-attribute decision making methods for plant layout design problem , 2007 .

[12]  Mike Wright,et al.  Petri net-based modelling of workflow systems: An overview , 2001, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[13]  Jörg Desel,et al.  Validation of Process Models by Construction of Process Nets , 2000, Business Process Management.

[14]  Min-Jen Tsai,et al.  A computing coordination based fuzzy group decision-making (CC-FGDM) for web service oriented architecture , 2008, Expert Syst. Appl..

[15]  Angela Lacerda Nobre Social Philosophy, Communities, and the Epistemic Shifts , 2008 .

[16]  Miriam A. M. Capretz,et al.  OSTRA: A Process Framework for the Transition to Service-Oriented Architecture , 2009, Int. J. Inf. Technol. Syst. Approach.

[17]  Z. Pawlak Rough Sets: Theoretical Aspects of Reasoning about Data , 1991 .

[18]  Angelo Corallo,et al.  Semantic Knowledge Management: An Ontology-based Framework , 2008 .

[19]  Stéphane Julia,et al.  Real time scheduling of Workflow Management Systems based on a p-time Petri net model with hybrid resources , 2008, Simul. Model. Pract. Theory.

[20]  Madjid Tavana,et al.  Modeling Operational Robustness and Resiliency with High-Level Petri Nets , 2011, Int. J. Knowl. Based Organ..

[21]  Stephen E. Fienberg,et al.  When did Bayesian Inference Become , 1973 .

[22]  Peter Urbach,et al.  Scientific Reasoning: The Bayesian Approach , 1989 .

[23]  L. Zadeh Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility , 1999 .

[24]  Nadia Nedjah,et al.  Introducing You to Fuzziness , 2005 .

[25]  S. Fienberg When did Bayesian inference become "Bayesian"? , 2006 .

[26]  I. R. Goodman,et al.  Mathematics of Data Fusion , 1997 .

[27]  Philippe Smets,et al.  Imperfect Information: Imprecision and Uncertainty , 1996, Uncertainty Management in Information Systems.

[28]  E. Jaynes Probability theory : the logic of science , 2003 .

[29]  Glenn Shafer,et al.  A Mathematical Theory of Evidence , 2020, A Mathematical Theory of Evidence.

[30]  Marcello Braglia,et al.  A fuzzy multi-criteria approach for critical path definition , 2009 .

[31]  Dan Zhu,et al.  A Specialized Evaluation and Comparison of Sample Data Mining Software , 2012 .

[32]  L. Pereira,et al.  International Journal of Knowledge-Based Organizations , 2011 .

[33]  Marcin Paprzycki,et al.  Utilizing Semantic Web and Software Agents in a Travel Support System , 2009 .

[34]  Geert-Jan Houben,et al.  Modeling workflow management systems with high-level Petri nets , 1994 .

[35]  J. Buckley Fuzzy Probability and Statistics , 2006 .

[36]  Wil M. P. van der Aalst,et al.  Verification of Workflow Nets , 1997, ICATPN.

[37]  Amit P. Sheth,et al.  Petri-net-based workflow management software , 1996 .

[38]  Ying-Ming Wang,et al.  Fuzzy TOPSIS method based on alpha level sets with an application to bridge risk assessment , 2006, Expert Syst. Appl..

[39]  W. A. Taylor,et al.  Measuring Organizational Readiness for Knowledge Management , 2005 .

[40]  Philip Calvert,et al.  Encyclopedia of Knowledge Management , 2008 .

[41]  Ping-Yu Hsu,et al.  A fuzzy-based decision-making procedure for data warehouse system selection , 2007, Expert Syst. Appl..

[42]  Arthur P. Dempster,et al.  Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping , 1967, Classic Works of the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Belief Functions.

[43]  Wil M. P. van der Aalst,et al.  Business Process Management, Models, Techniques, and Empirical Studies , 2000 .

[44]  Fabio Casati,et al.  Conceptual Modelling of WorkFlows , 1995 .