A mass media programme to prevent smoking among adolescents: costs and cost effectiveness.

OBJECTIVE: To examine costs and cost-effectiveness ratios of a four-year mass media programme previously shown to prevent the onset of smoking among adolescents. DESIGN: A matched control design. SETTING: Two cities in Montana, one in New York and one in Vermont, USA. SUBJECTS: Students in grades 10-12 (ages 15-18). INTERVENTION: A four-year mass media campaign to prevent the onset of smoking. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cost per student potentially exposed to the mass media campaign; cost per student smoker potentially averted; and cost per life-year gained. Cost estimates were also made for a similar campaign that would be broadcast nationally in the United States. RESULTS: In 1996 dollars, the cost of developing and broadcasting the mass media campaign was $759,436, and the cost per student potentially exposed to the campaign (n = 18,600) was $41. The cost per student smoker averted (n = 1023) was $754 (95% confidence interval (CI) = $531-$1296). The cost per life-year gained discounted at 3% over the life expectancy for young adult smokers was $696 (95% CI = $445-$1269). The estimated cost of developing and broadcasting a similar four-year mass media campaign in all 209 American media markets would be approximately $84.5 million, at a cost of $8 per student potentially exposed to a national campaign, $162 per student smoker averted, and $138 (95% CI = $88-$252) per life-year gained. CONCLUSION: Estimates of the cost-effectiveness ratios of this mass media campaign in preventing the onset of smoking showed it to be economically attractive and to compare favourably with other preventive and therapeutic strategies.

[1]  Gary J. Badger,et al.  Using Mass Media to Prevent Cigarette Smoking Among Adolescent Girls , 1996, Health education quarterly.

[2]  P. Franks,et al.  Cost-effectiveness of the transdermal nicotine patch as an adjunct to physicians' smoking cessation counseling. , 1996, JAMA.

[3]  B. Hillner,et al.  Economic evaluation of a randomized clinical trial comparing vinorelbine, vinorelbine plus cisplatin, and vindesine plus cisplatin for non-small-cell lung cancer. , 1995, Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology.

[4]  T. Glynn,et al.  Reducing the prevalence of smoking in youth in Western countries: an international review , 1995 .

[5]  Sehwan Kim,et al.  Benefit-Cost Analysis of Drug Abuse Prevention Programs: A Macroscopic Approach , 1995, Journal of drug education.

[6]  E. Gilpin,et al.  Smoking initiation rates in adults and minors: United States, 1944-1988. , 1994, American journal of epidemiology.

[7]  T. Glynn School Programs To Prevent Smoking: The National Cancer Institute Guide to Strategies That Succeed. , 1994 .

[8]  J R Beck,et al.  Markov Models in Medical Decision Making , 1993, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[9]  J K Worden,et al.  Prevention of cigarette smoking through mass media intervention and school programs. , 1992, American journal of public health.

[10]  A. Mushlin,et al.  Is screening for breast cancer cost‐effective? , 1992, Cancer.

[11]  G G Koch,et al.  The influence of three mass media campaigns on variables related to adolescent cigarette smoking: results of a field experiment. , 1991, American journal of public health.

[12]  L. Goldman,et al.  Expected Gains in Life Expectancy From Various Coronary Heart Disease Risk Factor Modifications , 1991, Circulation.

[13]  D. Mackinnon,et al.  A multicommunity trial for primary prevention of adolescent drug abuse. Effects on drug use prevalence. , 1989, JAMA.

[14]  G. Oster,et al.  The cost-effectiveness of counseling smokers to quit. , 1989, JAMA.

[15]  J K Worden,et al.  Development of a smoking prevention mass media program using diagnostic and formative research. , 1988, Preventive medicine.

[16]  G. Oster,et al.  Cost-effectiveness of antihyperlipemic therapy in the prevention of coronary heart disease. The case of cholestyramine. , 1987, JAMA.

[17]  K. Warner Health and economic implications of a tobacco-free society. , 1987, JAMA.

[18]  A. Komaroff,et al.  Cholesterol reduction and life expectancy. A model incorporating multiple risk factors. , 1987, Annals of internal medicine.

[19]  D G Altman,et al.  The cost-effectiveness of three smoking cessation programs. , 1987, American journal of public health.

[20]  M. Weinstein Challenges for Cost-effectiveness Research , 1986, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[21]  G. Oster,et al.  Cost-effectiveness of nicotine gum as an adjunct to physician's advice against cigarette smoking. , 1986, JAMA.

[22]  K E Willard,et al.  Probabilistic Analysis of Decision Trees Using Monte Carlo Simulation , 1986, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[23]  Torsten Schaub,et al.  More on the impact of smoking on medical care expenditures. , 1985, Social science & medicine.

[24]  B. Cohen,et al.  A catalog of risks. , 1979, Health physics.

[25]  E. Rogot Smoking and life expectancy among U.S. veterans. , 1978, American journal of public health.

[26]  E. C. Hammond Life expectancy of American men in relation to their smoking habits. , 1969, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[27]  D. Hedeker,et al.  The television, school, and family smoking prevention and cessation project. VIII. Student outcomes and mediating variables. , 1995, Preventive medicine.

[28]  A. Farkas,et al.  Tobacco Use in California: An Evaluation of the Tobacco Control Program, 1989-1993. A Report to the California Department of Health Services , 1994 .

[29]  T. Hodgson,et al.  Cigarette smoking and lifetime medical expenditures. , 1992, Milbank Quarterly.

[30]  R. G. Rogers,et al.  Life expectancies of cigarette smokers and nonsmokers in the United States. , 1991, Social science & medicine.

[31]  Torsten Schaub,et al.  Does smoking increase medical care expenditure? , 1983, Social science & medicine.