Network design problems for controlling virus spread

The spread of viruses in human populations (e.g., SARS) or computer networks is closely related to the network's topological structure. In this paper, we study the problem of allocating limited control resources (e.g., quarantine or recovery resources) in these networks to maximize the speed at which the virus is eliminated, by exploiting the topological structure. This problem can be abstracted to that of designing diagonal K or D to minimize the dominant eigenvalue of one of the system matrices KG, D + KG or D + G under constraints on K and D (where G is a square matrix that captures the network topology). We give explicit solutions to these problems, using eigenvalue sensitivity ideas together with constrained optimization methods employing Lagrange multipliers. Finally, we show that this decentralized control approach can provide significant advantage over a homogeneous control strategy, using a model for SARS transmission in Hong Kong derived from real data.

[1]  A. Barabasi,et al.  Halting viruses in scale-free networks. , 2001, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[2]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Epidemic dynamics in finite size scale-free networks. , 2002, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[3]  R. Pastor-Satorras,et al.  Epidemic spreading in correlated complex networks. , 2002, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[4]  Ron J. Patton,et al.  Methods for fault diagnosis in rail vehicle traction and braking systems , 1995 .

[5]  Jeffrey O. Kephart,et al.  Directed-graph epidemiological models of computer viruses , 1991, Proceedings. 1991 IEEE Computer Society Symposium on Research in Security and Privacy.

[6]  O. Diekmann,et al.  Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases: Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation , 2000 .

[7]  O. Diekmann,et al.  On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations , 1990, Journal of mathematical biology.

[8]  E. Davison,et al.  On the stabilization of decentralized control systems , 1973 .

[9]  R. May,et al.  Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control , 1991, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[10]  Julien Arino,et al.  The Basic Reproduction Number in a Multi-city Compartmental Epidemic Model , 2003, POSTA.

[11]  Daryl J. Daley,et al.  Epidemic Modelling: An Introduction , 1999 .

[12]  Christos Faloutsos,et al.  Epidemic spreading in real networks: an eigenvalue viewpoint , 2003, 22nd International Symposium on Reliable Distributed Systems, 2003. Proceedings..

[13]  C. Fraser,et al.  Transmission Dynamics of the Etiological Agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of Public Health Interventions , 2003, Science.

[14]  Matthew C. Elder,et al.  On computer viral infection and the effect of immunization , 2000, Proceedings 16th Annual Computer Security Applications Conference (ACSAC'00).

[15]  Reza Olfati-Saber,et al.  Consensus and Cooperation in Networked Multi-Agent Systems , 2007, Proceedings of the IEEE.

[16]  Antoine Danchin,et al.  A double epidemic model for the SARS propagation , 2003, BMC infectious diseases.

[17]  O. Diekmann Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases , 1996 .

[18]  Alessandro Vespignani,et al.  Immunization of complex networks. , 2001, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[19]  A. Saberi,et al.  Designing spatially heterogeneous strategies for control of virus spread. , 2008, IET systems biology.

[20]  Ring Vaccination as a Control Strategy for Foot-and-Mouth Disease , 2009 .

[21]  Sandip Roy,et al.  Scaling: a canonical design problem for networks , 2006, 2006 American Control Conference.

[22]  J. Robins,et al.  Transmission Dynamics and Control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome , 2003, Science.

[23]  D. Watts,et al.  Multiscale, resurgent epidemics in a hierarchical metapopulation model. , 2005, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[24]  J. Watmough,et al.  Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission. , 2002, Mathematical biosciences.