论文信息 - Cognitive Analysis and Modeling of the Investment Situation in Ukraine

Cognitive Analysis and Modeling of the Investment Situation in Ukraine

The article deals with the issues of cognitive analysis and modeling of the investment situation in Ukraine. With the help of fuzzy cognitive analysis, the main factors influencing the investment situation were identified. Based on these factors, a fuzzy cognitive model of the investment situation was built. To construct a fuzzy cognitive model, Silov’s cognitive maps were used. The systemic indicators of the cognitive map were determined, which made it possible to identify the main factors that affect the investment situation. The ranking of factors influencing the development of the situation has been carried out. Based on the analysis of these factors, a probable model of the development of the investment situation was built. The model was built on the basis of a Bayesian network. The performance of the model was verified on benchmark data. The probabilities of three possible variants of the situation development have been determined. The analysis of simulation results is carried out.

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