Forecasting Earthquakes with the Virtual Quake Simulator: Regional and Fault-Partitioned Catalogs

We introduce a framework for forecasting earthquakes using Virtual Quake (VQ), the generalized successor to the perhaps better known Virtual California earthquake simulator. We briefly introduce the VQ simulator, including its availability to research organizations and statistics relevant to earthquake forecasting applications. We discuss contemporary, regional type, forecasts and also show that forecasts can be significantly improved by partitioning catalogs along fault sections.

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