Optimizing fuzzy portfolio selection problems by parametric quadratic programming

This paper develops a robust method to describe fuzzy returns by employing parametric possibility distributions. The parametric possibility distributions are obtained by equivalent value (EV) reduction methods. For common type-2 triangular and trapezoidal fuzzy variables, their reduced fuzzy variables are studied in the current development. The parametric possibility distributions of reduced fuzzy variables are first derived, then the second moment formulas for the reduced fuzzy variables are established. Taking the second moment as a new risk measure, the reward-risk and risk-reward models are developed to optimize fuzzy portfolio selection problems. The mathematical properties of the proposed optimization models are analyzed, including the analytical representations for the second moments of linear combinations of reduced fuzzy variables as well as the convexity of second moments with respect to decision vectors. On the basis of the analytical representations for the second moments, the reward-risk and risk-reward models can be turned into their equivalent parametric quadratic convex programming problems, which can be solved by conventional solution methods or general-purpose software. Finally, some numerical experiments are performed to demonstrate the new modeling ideas and the efficiency of solution method.

[1]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  The Concepts of a Linguistic Variable and its Application to Approximate Reasoning , 1975 .

[2]  Yian-Kui Liu,et al.  Type-2 fuzzy variables and their arithmetic , 2010, Soft Comput..

[3]  H. Konno,et al.  Mean-absolute deviation portfolio optimization model and its applications to Tokyo stock market , 1991 .

[4]  Didier Dubois,et al.  Operations in a Fuzzy-Valued Logic , 1979, Inf. Control..

[5]  R. Rockafellar,et al.  Optimization of conditional value-at risk , 2000 .

[6]  Jerry M. Mendel,et al.  Centroid of a type-2 fuzzy set , 2001, Inf. Sci..

[7]  Baoding Liu,et al.  Uncertainty Theory - A Branch of Mathematics for Modeling Human Uncertainty , 2011, Studies in Computational Intelligence.

[8]  Jerry M. Mendel,et al.  Advances in type-2 fuzzy sets and systems , 2007, Inf. Sci..

[9]  M. Arenas,et al.  A fuzzy goal programming approach to portfolio selection , 2001 .

[10]  Xiaoxia Huang,et al.  Portfolio Analysis - From Probabilistic to Credibilistic and Uncertain Approaches , 2012, Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing.

[11]  Amelia Bilbao-Terol,et al.  A fuzzy goal programming approach to portfolio selection , 2001, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[12]  J. E. Kelley,et al.  The Cutting-Plane Method for Solving Convex Programs , 1960 .

[13]  Yian-Kui Liu,et al.  Expected value of fuzzy variable and fuzzy expected value models , 2002, IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst..

[14]  H. B. Mitchell Pattern recognition using type-II fuzzy sets , 2005, Inf. Sci..

[15]  A. Stuart,et al.  Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments , 1959 .

[16]  B. van Brunt,et al.  The Lebesgue-Stieltjes Integral , 2000 .

[17]  Li Duan,et al.  A portfolio selection model using fuzzy returns , 2011, Fuzzy Optim. Decis. Mak..

[18]  Jerry M. Mendel,et al.  Type-2 fuzzy sets made simple , 2002, IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst..

[19]  Shouyang Wang,et al.  A cutting plane algorithm for MV portfolio selection model , 2009, Appl. Math. Comput..

[20]  Yankui Liu,et al.  Spread of fuzzy variable and expectation-spread model for fuzzy portfolio optimization problem , 2011 .

[21]  Yian-Kui Liu,et al.  Methods of critical value reduction for type-2 fuzzy variables and their applications , 2011, J. Comput. Appl. Math..

[22]  Xiaoxia Huang,et al.  A review of credibilistic portfolio selection , 2009, Fuzzy Optim. Decis. Mak..

[23]  Yanju Chen,et al.  Some New Results about Arithmetic of Type-2 Fuzzy Variables , 2011 .

[24]  Zhi-Qiang Liu,et al.  Modeling fuzzy data envelopment analysis by parametric programming method , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[25]  L. Zadeh Fuzzy sets as a basis for a theory of possibility , 1999 .

[26]  Masaharu Mizumoto,et al.  Some Properties of Fuzzy Sets of Type 2 , 1976, Inf. Control..