A DBN-Based Risk Assessment Model for Prediction and Diagnosis of Offshore Drilling Incidents

Author preprint - © 2016. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

[1]  Jon Espen Skogdalen,et al.  Developing safety indicators for preventing offshore oil and gas deepwater drilling blowouts , 2011 .

[2]  Richard E. Neapolitan,et al.  Learning Bayesian networks , 2007, KDD '07.

[3]  Ali Karimi Vajargah,et al.  Early kick detection and well control decision-making for managed pressure drilling automation , 2015 .

[4]  Shahid Abbas Abbasi,et al.  Major accidents in process industries and an analysis of causes and consequences , 1999 .

[5]  William Marsh,et al.  Generalising Event Trees Using Bayesian Networks with a Case Study of Train Derailment , 2005, SAFECOMP.

[6]  Vikram Garaniya,et al.  Risk analysis of deepwater drilling operations using Bayesian network , 2015 .

[7]  Yonghong Liu,et al.  Using Bayesian networks in reliability evaluation for subsea blowout preventer control system , 2012, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[8]  Ildar Z. Batyrshin,et al.  Fuzzy expert system for solving lost circulation problem , 2005, Fifth International Conference on Hybrid Intelligent Systems (HIS'05).

[9]  Nima Khakzad,et al.  Safety analysis in process facilities: Comparison of fault tree and Bayesian network approaches , 2011, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[10]  Nima Khakzad,et al.  Dynamic safety risk analysis of offshore drilling , 2014 .

[11]  Anders L. Madsen,et al.  Bayesian networks and influence diagrams , 2007 .

[12]  Finn V. Jensen,et al.  Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs , 2001, Statistics for Engineering and Information Science.

[13]  Chen Shen.  Transient dynamics study on casing deformation resulted from lost circulation in low-pressure formation in the Yuanba Gasfield, Sichuan Basin , 2015 .

[14]  Yu Wang,et al.  Fault propagation behavior study and root cause reasoning with dynamic Bayesian network based framework , 2015 .

[15]  Qian Fan,et al.  Dynamic Bayesian networks based performance evaluation of subsea blowout preventers in presence of imperfect repair , 2013, Expert Syst. Appl..

[16]  Wei Liang,et al.  An integrated safety prognosis model for complex system based on dynamic Bayesian network and ant colony algorithm , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[17]  Stephen Butt,et al.  Safety and risk analysis of managed pressure drilling operation using Bayesian network , 2015 .

[18]  Kristina Lauche,et al.  Incident Command Skills in the Management of an Oil Industry Drilling Incident: A Case Study , 2005 .

[19]  Marvin Rausand,et al.  A safety barrier-based accident model for offshore drilling blowouts , 2013 .

[20]  Luigi Portinale,et al.  Improving the analysis of dependable systems by mapping fault trees into Bayesian networks , 2001, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[21]  Ingrid Bouwer Utne,et al.  Use of dynamic Bayesian networks for life extension assessment of ageing systems , 2015, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[22]  Jing Zhou,et al.  Adaptive observer design for the bottomhole pressure of a managed pressure drilling system , 2008, 2008 47th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control.

[23]  Jon Espen Skogdalen,et al.  Quantitative risk analysis of oil and gas drilling, using Deepwater Horizon as case study , 2012, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[24]  Cécile Fiévez,et al.  ARAMIS project: a more explicit demonstration of risk control through the use of bow-tie diagrams and the evaluation of safety barrier performance. , 2006, Journal of hazardous materials.

[25]  Ian Jenkinson,et al.  The use of Bayesian network modelling for maintenance planning in a manufacturing industry , 2010, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[26]  Dave Elliott.  Managed Pressure Drilling Erases the Lines For generations , 2011 .

[27]  M. Rausand.  Reliability of Safety-Critical Systems: Theory and Applications , 2014 .

[28]  Seyed Reza Shadizadeh,et al.  Fuzzy consequence modeling of blowouts in Iranian drilling operations; HSE consideration , 2015 .

[29]  Yan Yan,et al.  Application of fine managed pressure drilling technique in complex wells with both blowout and lost circulation risks , 2015 .

[30]  Faisal Khan,et al.  Dynamic safety analysis of process systems by mapping bow-tie into Bayesian network , 2013 .

[31]  Miroslaw J. Skibniewski,et al.  A dynamic Bayesian network based approach to safety decision support in tunnel construction , 2015, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[32]  Bhavin Patel,et al.  Optimized Unconventional Shale Development With MPD Techniques , 2013 .

[33]  Stuart J. Russell,et al.  Dynamic bayesian networks: representation, inference and learning , 2002 .

[34]  Yunpeng Ma,et al.  Real-time reliability evaluation methodology based on dynamic Bayesian networks: A case study of a subsea pipe ram BOP system. , 2015, ISA transactions.