Reliability modelling for multi-component systems subject to stochastic deterioration and generalized cumulative shock damages

Abstract For a complex system consisting of multiple components, it is often unrealistic that one type of environmental shocks affects all the components at the same time. Correspondingly, random shocks are categorized into several distinct sets according to their functions, attributes or sizes. This study develops generalized reliability models for multi-component systems, where each component is subject to two dependent competing failure processes, i.e., a soft failure process caused jointly by internal performance degradation and an incremental damage due to effective external shock sets, and a hard failure process caused by the same random shocks. A damage improvement coefficient and a damage aggravation coefficient are respectively introduced to extend the standard cumulative shock damage model into two more generalized shock cases. Analytical representations of system reliability for a series–parallel system and a parallel–series system are derived based on a gamma to normal distribution approximation approach. To quantitatively compare the effects of these two damage coefficients, a block replacement policy is further adopted by searching for the optimal replacement intervals with a Nelder–Mead downhill simplex method. Finally, an illustrative example of micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) consisting of four silicon micro-mechanical resonators is provided to examine the effects of self-healing ability in the materials of polymer binder on system reliability and replacement period.

[1]  Jeffrey S. Moore,et al.  Self-Healing Polymers and Composites , 2010 .

[2]  Gregory Levitin,et al.  Bivariate preventive maintenance of systems with lifetimes dependent on a random shock process , 2018, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[3]  Yu Zhao,et al.  Degradation-shock-based Reliability Models for Fault-tolerant Systems , 2016, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[4]  Lirong Cui,et al.  System performance of damage self-healing systems under random shocks by using discrete state method , 2018, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[5]  David W. Coit,et al.  Reliability for systems of degrading components with distinct component shock sets , 2014, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[6]  Sifeng Liu,et al.  Optimal periodic maintenance policies for a parallel redundant system with component dependencies , 2019, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[7]  David W. Coit,et al.  Reliability Analysis for Multi-Component Systems Subject to Multiple Dependent Competing Failure Processes , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[8]  Min Xie,et al.  Stochastic modelling and analysis of degradation for highly reliable products , 2015 .

[9]  Qianmei Feng,et al.  Reliability modeling for dependent competing failure processes with changing degradation rate , 2014 .

[10]  Enrico Zio,et al.  A stochastic hybrid systems model of common-cause failures of degrading components , 2018, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[11]  Hoang Pham,et al.  Reliability modeling of multi-state degraded systems with multi-competing failures and random shocks , 2005, IEEE Trans. Reliab..

[12]  Lirong Cui,et al.  A study on stochastic degradation process models under different types of failure Thresholds , 2019, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[13]  Jing Wang,et al.  Extended Periodic Inspection Policies for a Single Unit System Subject to Shocks , 2020, IEEE Access.

[14]  Xiaojun Zhou,et al.  A preventive maintenance model for leased equipment subject to internal degradation and external shock damage , 2016, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[15]  T. E. Mølholt,et al.  Damage annealing in low temperature Fe/Mn implanted ZnO , 2015 .

[16]  Loon Ching Tang,et al.  Reliability analysis and spares provisioning for repairable systems with dependent failure processes and a time-varying installed base , 2016 .

[17]  Enrico Zio,et al.  Reliability assessment of systems subject to dependent degradation processes and random shocks , 2016 .

[18]  Toshio Nakagawa,et al.  Stochastic Processes: with Applications to Reliability Theory , 2011 .

[19]  David W. Coit,et al.  Reliability assessment of competing risks with generalized mixed shock models , 2017, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[20]  Yao Wang,et al.  Reliability modeling for dependent competing failure processes with mutually dependent degradation process and shock process , 2018, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[21]  Suk Joo Bae,et al.  Degradation models and implied lifetime distributions , 2007, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[22]  Suk Joo Bae,et al.  Time‐based replacement policies for a fault tolerant system subject to degradation and two types of shocks , 2020, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int..

[23]  Jun Yang,et al.  Dependent Competing Failure Modeling for the GIL Subject to Partial Discharge and Air Leakage With Random Degradation Initiation Time , 2019, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[24]  Jiulin Wang,et al.  Silicon Microparticle Anodes with Self-Healing Multiple Network Binder , 2018 .

[25]  Enrico Zio,et al.  Modeling dependent competing failure processes with degradation-shock dependence , 2017, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[26]  Jeremy A. Walraven,et al.  MEMS reliability in shock environments , 2000, 2000 IEEE International Reliability Physics Symposium Proceedings. 38th Annual (Cat. No.00CH37059).

[27]  Wan-Thai Hsu,et al.  Recent Progress in Silicon MEMS Oscillators , 2008 .

[28]  Hanlin Liu,et al.  Reliability modeling for dependent competing failure processes of damage self-healing systems , 2017, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[29]  Khac Tuan Huynh,et al.  A periodic inspection and replacement policy for systems subject to competing failure modes due to degradation and traumatic events , 2011, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[30]  Yada Zhu,et al.  Availability optimization of systems subject to competing risk , 2010, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[31]  Yu Zhao,et al.  Reliability modeling for mutually dependent competing failure processes due to degradation and random shocks , 2017 .

[32]  Min Xie,et al.  An imperfect maintenance policy for mission-oriented systems subject to degradation and external shocks , 2016, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[33]  Yong Sun,et al.  A review on degradation models in reliability analysis , 2010, WCE 2010.

[34]  Lijun Liu,et al.  A novel reliability model for multi-component systems subject to multiple dependent competing risks with degradation rate acceleration , 2018 .

[35]  David W. Coit,et al.  Dynamic maintenance policy for systems with repairable components subject to mutually dependent competing failure processes , 2020, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[36]  Xiaoxin Guo,et al.  Reliability and maintenance policies for a two-stage shock model with self-healing mechanism , 2018, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[37]  Hong-Zhong Huang,et al.  An Approach to Reliability Assessment Under Degradation and Shock Process , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[38]  David W. Coit,et al.  Reliability and maintenance modeling for systems subject to multiple dependent competing failure processes , 2010 .

[39]  Yingsai Cao,et al.  Reliability modeling and optimal random preventive maintenance policy for parallel systems with damage self-healing , 2020, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[40]  Lei Jiang,et al.  Reliability and Maintenance Modeling for Dependent Competing Failure Processes With Shifting Failure Thresholds , 2012, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[41]  W. J. Padgett,et al.  Accelerated Degradation Models for Failure Based on Geometric Brownian Motion and Gamma Processes , 2005, Lifetime data analysis.

[42]  Qianmei Feng,et al.  Reliability analysis of multiple-component series systems subject to hard and soft failures with dependent shock effects , 2016 .

[43]  Lajos Takács,et al.  Stochastic Processes: Problems and Solutions. , 1960 .

[44]  Lirong Cui,et al.  Reliability for systems with self-healing effect under shock models , 2018 .