Long Term Traffic Flow Prediction Using Residual Net and Deconvolutional Neural Network

Nowadays accurate and efficient traffic flow prediction is strongly needed by individual travelers and public transport management. Traffic flow prediction, especially long-term prediction, plays an important role in the application of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). In this paper, we propose a personalized design model (ResDeconvNN) based on Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for long-term traffic flow prediction of elevated highways in Shanghai. The next whole day flow information can be predicted using the previous day flows. Taking the correlation of traffic parameters into account, we analogy flow, speed and occupancy (FSO) to the 3 channels of RGB as the 3 inputs of model. So the raw data collected from loop detectors are transformed into a spatial-temporal matrix which has 3 channels. Our model consists of two modules: Residual net and deconvolutional neural network. First, we take advantage of the residual net in deep network to extract the features of traffic. Then, we develop a deconvolutional network module and apply it to decode the flow of the next day from the comprehensive spatial and temporal traffic features. Experimental results indicate that the proposed model is robust and can achieve a better prediction accuracy compared with the other existing popular approaches.