Distinguishing between legitimate and illegitimate values in climate modeling

While it is widely acknowledged that science is not “free” of non-epistemic values, there is disagreement about the roles that values can appropriately play. Several have argued that non-epistemic values can play important roles in modeling decisions, particularly in addressing uncertainties (Moss and Schneider 2000; Kandlikar et al. (C.R. Geoscience 337:443-455, 2005); Risbey 2007; Biddle and Winsberg 2010; Winsberg (Kennedy Institute of Ethics Journal 22(2): 111-137, 2012); van der Sluijs (Climatic Change 75 (3) 359-389, 2012). On the other hand, such values can (even unconsciously) lead to bias (Pielke 2007; Oppenhiemer et al. (Science 317:1505-1506, 2007); Bray (Environmental Science & Policy 13:340-350, 2010); Oreskes and Conway 2010). Thus, it is important to identify when it is legitimate to appeal to non-epistemic values in modeling decisions. An approach is defended here whereby such value judgments are legitimate when they promote democratically endorsed epistemological and social aims of research. This framework accounts for why it is legitimate to appeal to non-epistemic values in a range of modeling decisions, while addressing concerns that the presence of such values will lead to bias or give scientists disproportionate power in deciding what values ought to be endorsed.

[1]  Gregor Betz,et al.  In defence of the value free ideal , 2013 .

[2]  Jay Odenbaugh,et al.  Values, Advocay and Conservation Biology , 2003 .

[3]  Helen E. Longino,et al.  Gender, politics, and the theoretical virtues , 1995, Synthese.

[4]  J. Pielke The Honest Broker: Making Sense of Science in Policy and Politics , 2007 .

[5]  Suraje Dessai,et al.  Usable Science? The U.K. Climate Projections 2009 and Decision Support for Adaptation Planning , 2012 .

[6]  S. Dessai,et al.  Actionable Knowledge for Environmental Decision Making: Broadening the Usability of Climate Science , 2013 .

[7]  Mark Maslin,et al.  Uncertainty: Climate models at their limit? , 2012, Nature.

[8]  Kristen Intemann,et al.  Social values and scientific evidence: the case of the HPV vaccines , 2010, Biology & philosophy.

[9]  Q. Schiermeier The real holes in climate science , 2010, Nature.

[10]  James S. Risbey,et al.  Subjective elements in climate policy advice , 2007 .

[11]  D. Bray The scientific consensus of climate change revisited , 2010 .

[12]  E. Anderson Uses of Value Judgments in Science: A General Argument, with Lessons from a Case Study of Feminist Research on Divorce , 2004, Hypatia.

[13]  Myles Allen,et al.  Liability for climate change , 2003, Nature.

[14]  K. Elliott,et al.  Nonepistemic Values and the Multiple Goals of Science , 2014, Philosophy of Science.

[15]  Stephen H. Schneider,et al.  Integrated assessment modeling of global climate change: Transparent rational tool for policy making or opaque screen hiding value‐laden assumptions? , 1997 .

[16]  W. Parker,et al.  Values and uncertainties in climate prediction, revisited. , 2014, Studies in history and philosophy of science.

[17]  P. Stott,et al.  Human activity and anomalously warm seasons in Europe , 2012 .

[18]  Leonard A. Smith,et al.  Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know? , 2010, Philosophy of Science.

[19]  Eric Winsberg Values and Uncertainties in the Predictions of Global Climate Models , 2012, Kennedy Institute of Ethics journal.

[20]  Wendy S. Parker,et al.  Predicting weather and climate: Uncertainty, ensembles and probability , 2010 .

[21]  Matthew J. Brown Values in Science beyond Underdetermination and Inductive Risk , 2013, Philosophy of Science.

[22]  D. Klocke,et al.  Tuning the climate of a global model , 2012 .

[23]  L. Mearns Quantification of Uncertainties of Future Climate Change: Challenges and Applications , 2010, Philosophy of Science.

[24]  Jeroen P. van der Sluijs,et al.  Uncertainty and Dissent in Climate Risk Assessment: A Post-Normal Perspective , 2012 .

[25]  P. Stott,et al.  Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000 , 2011, Nature.

[26]  P. D. Magnus,et al.  New Waves in Philosophy of Science , 2010 .

[27]  W. Parker II—Wendy S. Parker: Confirmation and adequacy-for-Purpose in Climate Modelling , 2009 .

[28]  Larry B. Crowder,et al.  Current Normative Concepts in Conservation , 1999 .

[29]  Robert T. Lackey,et al.  Science, Scientists, and Policy Advocacy , 2007, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[30]  S. Dessai,et al.  Is Weather Event Attribution Necessary for Adaptation Funding? , 2011, Science.

[31]  H. Lacey Is Science Value Free?: Values and Scientific Understanding , 2004 .

[32]  K. Elliott Douglas on values: From indirect roles to multiple goals , 2013 .

[33]  Milind Kandlikar,et al.  Representing and communicating deep uncertainty in climate-change assessments , 2005 .

[34]  H. Longino Science as Social Knowledge: Values and Objectivity in Scientific Inquiry , 1990 .

[35]  John Dupré,et al.  Fact and Value , 2007 .

[36]  Daniel Steel,et al.  Epistemic Values and the Argument from Inductive Risk* , 2010, Philosophy of Science.

[37]  Gregor Betz,et al.  Probabilities in climate policy advice: a critical comment , 2007 .

[38]  J. Sluijs,et al.  The Inclusion of Stakeholder Knowledge and Perspectives in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change , 2006 .

[39]  Stephen H. Schneider,et al.  Climate change policy : a survey , 2003 .

[40]  Eric Winsberg,et al.  Value judgements and the estimation of uncertainty in climate modeling , 2010 .

[41]  Heather Douglas Science, Policy, and the Value-Free Ideal , 2009 .

[42]  K. Elliott Is a Little Pollution Good for You?: Incorporating Societal Values in Environmental Research , 2014 .

[43]  Robert T. Lackey,et al.  Policy Advocacy in Science: Prevalence, Perspectives, and Implications for Conservation Biologists , 2007, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[44]  S. Epstein Impure Science: AIDS, Activism, and the Politics of Knowledge , 1998 .

[45]  Roger A. Pielke,et al.  When scientists politicize science: making sense of controversy over The Skeptical Environmentalist , 2004 .

[46]  Brian C. O'Neill,et al.  The Limits of Consensus , 2007, Science.

[47]  F. L. Stepke INTERACADEMY COUNCIL/IAP- THE GLOBAL NETWORK OF SCIENCE ACADEMIES, 2012. Responsible Conduct in the Global Research Enterprise: A Policy Report , 2013 .

[48]  Toru Nozawa,et al.  The Detection and Attribution of Human Influence on Climate , 2009 .