Building consensus in strategic decision making: System dynamics as a group support system

System dynamics was originally founded as a method for modeling and simulating the behavior of industrial systems. In recent years it is increasingly employed as a Group Support System for strategic decision-making groups. The model is constructed in direct interaction with a management team, and the procedure is generally referred to as group model-building. The model can be conceptual (qualitative) or a full-blown (quantitative) computer simulation model. In this article, a case is described in which a qualitative system dynamics model was built to support strategic decision making in a Dutch government agency.Since people from different departments held strongly opposite viewpoints on the strategy, the agency had discussed its strategic problem for more than a year, but was obviously not able to reach consensus. The application of group model-building was successful in integrating opposite points of view, as well as in fostering consensus and creating commitment.The purpose of the article is twofold: first, to illustrate the process of group model-building with system dynamics; second, to evaluate why it was successful. Evaluation results reveal the importance of both systemic thinking through model-building and the role of the facilitator in catalyzing the strategic decision-making process.

[1]  David H. Gustafson,et al.  Group Techniques for Program Planning: A Guide to Nominal Group and Delphi Processes , 1976 .

[2]  Fran Ackermann,et al.  Issues in computer and non-computer supported GDSSs , 1994, Decis. Support Syst..

[3]  H. Simon,et al.  Selective perception: A note on the departmental identifications of executives. , 1958 .

[4]  Dale G. Leathers Quality of group communication as a determinant of group product , 1972 .

[5]  Fran Rees How to Lead Work Teams: Facilitation Skills , 1991 .

[6]  Randy Hirokawa,et al.  Effective Group Decision Making in Organizations , 1992 .

[7]  R. Bostrom,et al.  Group Facilitation and Group Support Systems , 1993 .

[8]  Colin Eden,et al.  On evaluating the performance of 'wide-band' GDSS's , 1995 .

[9]  Jac A. M. Vennix,et al.  A structured approach to knowledge elicitation in conceptual model building , 1990 .

[10]  Bruce L. Golden,et al.  Analysis for Public Decisions (2nd ed.). , 1983 .

[11]  J. Gibb,et al.  Defensive Communication , 1982, The Journal of nursing administration.

[12]  A. Tversky,et al.  The simulation heuristic , 1982 .

[13]  Randy Hirokawa Discussion Procedures and Decision-Making Performance: A Test of a Functional Perspective. , 1985 .

[14]  Arthur D. Jensen,et al.  Small Group Communication: Theory and Application , 1990 .

[15]  James A. Thurber,et al.  Limitations of Procedures for Improving Group Problem Solving , 1969, Psychological reports.

[16]  R. G. Coyle,et al.  The Development of System Dynamics as a Methodology for System Description and Qualitative Analysis , 1983 .

[17]  Edward B. Roberts,et al.  Strategies for Effective Implementation of Complex Corporate Models , 1977 .

[18]  Carl E. Larson Forms of analysis and small group problem‐solving , 1969 .

[19]  I. Janis Victims of Groupthink: A psychological study of foreign-policy decisions and fiascoes. By Irving L. Janis. (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1972. viii + 276 pp. Map, illustrations, chart, notes, sources, bibliography, and index. Cloth, $7.95; paper $4.50.) , 1973 .

[20]  P. Senge The fifth discipline : the art and practice of the learning organization/ Peter M. Senge , 1991 .

[21]  Anthony M. Hodgson,et al.  Hexagons for systems thinking , 1992 .

[22]  Victoria K. Clawson,et al.  The Role of the Facilitator in Computer-Supported Meetings , 1993 .

[23]  I. Janis,et al.  Decision Making: A Psychological Analysis of Conflict, Choice, and Commitment , 1977 .

[24]  R. Gallupe,et al.  Unblocking brainstorms. , 1991, The Journal of applied psychology.

[25]  E. S. Quade,et al.  Analysis for public decisions , 1975 .

[26]  E. F. Wolstenholme,et al.  System Dynamics in Perspective , 1982 .

[27]  Alan R. Dennis,et al.  An experimental investigation of facilitation in an EMS decision room , 1992 .

[28]  David C. Lane,et al.  Modelling as learning: A consultancy methodology for enhancing learning in management teams , 1992 .

[29]  C. Eden A framework for thinking about Group Decision Support Systems (GDSS) , 1992 .

[30]  Ovid L. Bayless AN ALTERNATE PATTERN FOR PROBLEM SOLVING DISCUSSION , 1967 .

[31]  Jac A. M. Vennix,et al.  Knowledge elicitation in conceptual model building: A case study in modeling a regional Dutch health care system , 1992 .

[32]  D. Sterman,et al.  Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment , 1989 .

[33]  P. Schoemaker MULTIPLE SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT: ITS CONCEPTUAL AND BEHAVIORAL FOUNDATION , 1993 .

[34]  K. Jantke Planning for Learning , 2020, The Power of Assessment for Learning: Twenty Years of Research and Practice in UK and US Classrooms.

[35]  A. Hare,et al.  Handbook of small group research , 1962 .

[36]  J. E. Russo,et al.  Decision traps : ten barriers to brilliant decision-making and how to overcome them , 1989 .

[37]  H. Simon,et al.  Organizations, 2nd ed. , 1993 .

[38]  Gerardine DeSanctis,et al.  A foundation for the study of group decision support systems , 1987 .

[39]  J. Sterman Misperceptions of feedback in dynamic decision making , 1989 .

[40]  John K. Brilhart,et al.  Effects of different patterns on outcomes of problem-solving discussion. , 1964 .

[41]  L. Phillips A theory of requisite decision models , 1984 .

[42]  R. Brent Gallupe,et al.  Blocking electronic brainstorms. , 1994 .

[43]  Jac A. M. Vennix,et al.  Participative modelling to facilitate organizational change: a case study , 1993 .

[44]  Jay W. Forrester,et al.  Lessons from system dynamics modeling , 1987 .

[45]  Eric F. Wolstenholme,et al.  System Enquiry: A System Dynamics Approach , 1990 .

[46]  R. Hall The Natural Logic of Management Policy Making: Its Implications for the Survival of an Organization , 1984 .

[47]  H. Guetzkow,et al.  Measurement of self-oriented needs in discussion groups. , 1950, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[48]  E. F. Wolstenholme,et al.  The definition and application of a stepwise approach to model conceptualisation and analysis , 1992 .

[49]  John Keltner,et al.  Facilitation Catalyst for Group Problem Solving , 1989 .

[50]  L. Phillips,et al.  Faciliated Work Groups: Theory and Practice , 1993 .

[51]  C. Eden Strategy development as a social process , 1992 .