Application of evolutionary Gaussian processes regression by particle swarm optimization for prediction of dew point pressure in gas condensate reservoirs

One of the most critical quantities for characterizing a gas condensate reservoir is dew point pressure. But, accurate determination of dew point pressure is a very challengeable task in reservoir development. Experimental measurement of dew point pressure in PVT (Pressure, Volume, Temperature) cell is often difficult, especially in the case of lean retrograde gas condensate. So, different empirical correlations and equations of state are developed by researchers to calculate this property. Empirical correlations do not have ability to reliably duplicate the temperature behavior of constant composition fluids, and equations of state have convergence problem and need to be tuned against some experimental data. In addition, these approaches are not generalizable to unseen data, and they usually memorize the data used to develop them. In this paper, we develop an intelligent model to predict dew point pressure of gas condensate reservoirs using Gaussian processes optimized by particle swarm optimization. The developed model is generalizable and can estimate unseen data with the same distribution of training data accurately. Results show that the proposed method in this paper outperforms the previous published models and correlations.

[1]  David E. Goldberg,et al.  Genetic Algorithms in Search Optimization and Machine Learning , 1988 .

[2]  Qian Liu,et al.  FMI image based rock structure classification using classifier combination , 2011, Neural Computing and Applications.

[3]  A. Danesh PVT and Phase Behaviour of Petroleum Reservoir Fluids , 1998 .

[4]  Thomas Stützle,et al.  Ant Colony Optimization Theory , 2004 .

[5]  Ilsis Marruffo,et al.  Statistical Forecast Models To Determine Retrograde Dew Pressure and C7+ Percentage of Gas Condensates on Basis of Production Test Data of Eastern Venezuelan Reservoirs , 2001 .

[6]  Nello Cristianini,et al.  An Introduction to Support Vector Machines and Other Kernel-based Learning Methods , 2000 .

[7]  M. R. Carlson,et al.  Obtaining PVT Data For Very Sour Retrograde Condensate Gas and Volatile Oil Reservoirs: A Multi-disciplinary Approach , 1996 .

[8]  M. Ranjbar,et al.  Development of a neural fuzzy system for advanced prediction of dew point pressure in gas condensate reservoirs , 2009 .

[9]  L. Buydens,et al.  Facilitating the application of Support Vector Regression by using a universal Pearson VII function based kernel , 2006 .

[10]  Riccardo Poli,et al.  Particle swarm optimization , 1995, Swarm Intelligence.

[11]  K. T. Potsch,et al.  A Novel Graphical Method for Determining Dewpoint Pressures of Gas Condensates , 1996 .

[12]  Sridhar Ramaswamy,et al.  Efficient algorithms for mining outliers from large data sets , 2000, SIGMOD '00.

[13]  Marco Dorigo,et al.  Distributed Optimization by Ant Colonies , 1992 .

[14]  Chun Zhang,et al.  Storing and querying ordered XML using a relational database system , 2002, SIGMOD '02.

[15]  Harvey T. Kennedy,et al.  A Correlation of Dewpoint Pressure With Fluid Composition and Temperature , 1967 .

[16]  R. Suganya,et al.  Data Mining Concepts and Techniques , 2010 .

[17]  Ingo Mierswa,et al.  YALE: rapid prototyping for complex data mining tasks , 2006, KDD '06.

[18]  Mark A. Hall,et al.  Correlation-based Feature Selection for Machine Learning , 2003 .

[19]  Sahar Amiri,et al.  An artificial neural network for prediction of gas holdup in bubble columns with oily solutions , 2011, Neural Computing and Applications.

[20]  Yue Shi,et al.  A modified particle swarm optimizer , 1998, 1998 IEEE International Conference on Evolutionary Computation Proceedings. IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence (Cat. No.98TH8360).

[21]  Ian H. Witten,et al.  The WEKA data mining software: an update , 2009, SKDD.

[22]  Dimitris Bertsimas,et al.  Robust optimization with simulated annealing , 2010, J. Glob. Optim..

[23]  Karen Schou Pedersen,et al.  Phase Behavior of Petroleum Reservoir Fluids , 2006 .

[24]  Adel M. Elsharkawy,et al.  Predicting the dew point pressure for gas condensate reservoirs: empirical models and equations of state , 2002 .

[25]  James Kennedy,et al.  Particle swarm optimization , 2002, Proceedings of ICNN'95 - International Conference on Neural Networks.

[26]  S. Cessie,et al.  Ridge Estimators in Logistic Regression , 1992 .

[27]  Adnan Darwiche,et al.  Modeling and Reasoning with Bayesian Networks , 2009 .

[28]  Manoj Khandelwal Application of an expert system to predict thermal conductivity of rocks , 2011, Neural Computing and Applications.

[29]  Laurene V. Fausett,et al.  Fundamentals Of Neural Networks , 1994 .