This paper proposes a novel method to locate crowd behavior instability spatio-temporally using a velocity-field based social force model. Considering the impacts of velocity field on interaction force between individuals, we establish an improved social force model by introducing collision probability in view of velocity distribution. As compared with commonly-used social force model, which defines interaction force as a dependent variable of relative geometric (physical) position of the individuals, this improved model can provide a better prediction of interactions using the collision probability in a dynamic crowd. With spatio-temporal instability analysis, we can extract video clips with potential abnormality and as well locate region of interest where abnormality is likely to happen. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can be applied to detection of abnormal events with high accuracy of instability estimation due to the velocity-field based social force model.
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