Better Schools, Less Crime?

I estimate the impact of attending a first-choice middle or high school on adult crime, using data from public school choice lotteries in Charlotte-Mecklenburg school district (CMS). Seven years after random assignment, lottery winners had been arrested for fewer serious crimes and had spent fewer days incarcerated. The gain in school quality as measured by peer and teacher inputs was equivalent to moving from one of the lowest-ranked schools to one at the district average. The reduction in crime comes largely from years after enrollment in the preferred school is complete. The impacts are concentrated among high-risk youth, who commit about 50% less crime across several different outcome measures and scalings of crime by severity. I find suggestive evidence that school quality explains more of the impact in high school, whereas peer effects are more important in middle school. Copyright 2011, Oxford University Press.

[1]  E. Glaeser,et al.  Crime and Social Interactions , 1995 .

[2]  I. Ehrlich Participation in Illegitimate Activities: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[3]  Roland G. Fryer,et al.  Are High Quality Schools Enough to Close the Achievement Gap? Evidence from a Social Experiment in Harlem , 2009 .

[4]  Bruce I. Sacerdote Peer Effects with Random Assignment: Results for Dartmouth Roommates , 2001 .

[5]  D. Nagin,et al.  Trajectories of boys' physical aggression, opposition, and hyperactivity on the path to physically violent and nonviolent juvenile delinquency. , 1999, Child development.

[6]  D. Epple,et al.  American Economic Association Competition between Private and Public Schools , Vouchers , and Peer-Group Effects , 2007 .

[7]  B. Jacob Public Housing, Housing Vouchers and Student Achievement: Evidence from Public Housing Demolitions in Chicago , 2003 .

[8]  Atila Abdulkadiroglu,et al.  School Choice: A Mechanism Design Approach , 2003 .

[9]  Richard B. Freeman,et al.  Crime and the Job Market , 1994 .

[10]  Alan B. Krueger,et al.  The Effect of Attending a Small Class in the Early Grades on College-Test Taking and Middle School Test Results: Evidence from Project Star , 1999 .

[11]  C. Hoxby Does Competition Among Public Schools Benefit Students and Taxpayers? , 1994 .

[12]  Externalities in the Classroom: How Children Exposed to Domestic Violence Affect Everyone&Apos;S Kids , 2008 .

[13]  David S. Lee,et al.  Crime, Punishment, and Myopia , 2005 .

[14]  Lance Lochner,et al.  Education, Work, and Crime: A Human Capital Approach , 2004 .

[15]  C. Belfield,et al.  The High/Scope Perry Preschool Program , 2006, The Journal of Human Resources.

[16]  School Crime Control and Prevention , 2009 .

[17]  T. Moffitt Adolescence-limited and life-course-persistent antisocial behavior: a developmental taxonomy. , 1993, Psychological review.

[18]  R. Sah Social Osmosis and Patterns of Crime , 1991, Journal of Political Economy.

[19]  Steven D. Levitt,et al.  The Determinants of Juvenile Crime , 2001 .

[20]  Debopam Bhattacharya,et al.  Inferring Welfare Maximizing Treatment Assignment Under Budget Constraints , 2008 .

[21]  J. Ludwig,et al.  Urban Poverty and Juvenile Crime: Evidence from a Randomized Housing-Mobility Experiment , 2001 .

[22]  A. Sum,et al.  The consequences of dropping out of high school , 2009 .

[23]  Susanna Loeb,et al.  Teacher Sorting and the Plight of Urban Schools: A Descriptive Analysis , 2002 .

[24]  M. Wolfgang,et al.  Delinquency in a birth cohort , 1972 .

[25]  Bruce Western,et al.  Mass Imprisonment and the Life Course: Race and Class Inequality in U.S. Incarceration , 2004 .

[26]  D. Deming Early Childhood Intervention and Life-Cycle Skill Development: Evidence from Head Start , 2009 .

[27]  T. Miller,et al.  O F Jus Tice Pr O G Ra Ms Bja N National Institute of Justice Victim Costs and Consequences: a New Look Victim Costs and Consequences: a New Look Introduction , 2022 .

[28]  Victor Lavy,et al.  Immigrating to Opportunity: Estimating the Effect of School Quality Using a Natural Experiment on Ethiopians in Israel , 2003 .

[29]  Justine S. Hastings,et al.  School Choice and College Attendance Evidence from Randomized Lotteries , 2009 .

[30]  J. Goodman The Labor of Division: Returns to Compulsory Math Coursework , 2012 .

[31]  Parag A. Pathak,et al.  Accountability and Flexibility in Public Schools: Evidence from Boston's Charters and Pilots , 2009 .

[32]  D. Haynie Delinquent Peers Revisited: Does Network Structure Matter?1 , 2001, American Journal of Sociology.

[33]  C. Jackson Student Demographics, Teacher Sorting, and Teacher Quality: Evidence from the End of School Desegregation , 2009, Journal of Labor Economics.

[34]  Victor Lavy,et al.  © 2009 The Review of Economic Studies Limited doi: 10.1111/j.1467-937X.2009.00588.x Effects of Free Choice Among Public Schools , 2008 .

[35]  Jinyong Hahn,et al.  When to Control for Covariates? Panel Asymptotics for Estimates of Treatment Effects , 2004, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[36]  Philip Oreopoulos,et al.  Estimating Average and Local Average Treatment Effects of Education when Compulsory Schooling Laws Really Matter , 2006 .

[37]  Jeffrey T. Grogger,et al.  Market Wages and Youth Crime , 1997, Journal of Labor Economics.

[38]  Parag A. Pathak,et al.  Who Benefits from Kipp? , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[39]  Jeffrey R. Kling,et al.  Neighborhoods and Academic Achievement: Results from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment. NBER Working Paper No. 11909. , 2006 .

[40]  Steven D. Levitt,et al.  The Effect of School Choice on Participants: Evidence from Randomized Lotteries , 2006 .

[41]  Robert J. Sampson,et al.  LIFE‐COURSE DESISTERS? TRAJECTORIES OF CRIME AMONG DELINQUENT BOYS FOLLOWED TO AGE 70* , 2003 .

[42]  Kevin Lang,et al.  Does School Integration Generate Peer Effects? Evidence from Boston's Metco Program , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[43]  Bruce I. Sacerdote,et al.  Katrina's Children: Evidence on the Structure of Peer Effects from Hurricane Evacuees. NBER Working Paper No. 15291. , 2009 .

[44]  S. Carrell,et al.  Externalities in the Classroom: How Children Exposed to Domestic Violence Affect Everyone&Apos;S Kids , 2008 .

[45]  C. Hoxby,et al.  Appendices to : “ Does Competition among Public Schools Benefit Students and Taxpayers ? , 2004 .

[46]  Joshua D. Angrist,et al.  Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables , 1993 .

[47]  David N. Figlio Testing, Crime and Punishment , 2005 .

[48]  Roland G. Fryer,et al.  Are High-Quality Schools Enough to Increase Achievement Among the Poor? Evidence from the Harlem Children's Zone † , 2011 .

[49]  J. Ludwig,et al.  The Effects of School Desegregation on Crime , 2009 .

[50]  Jens Ludwig,et al.  Is Crime Contagious? , 2006, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[51]  R. Murnane,et al.  The Growing Importance of Cognitive Skills in Wage Determination , 1995 .

[52]  Bruce Sacerdote,et al.  Katrina&Apos;S Children: Evidence on the Structure of Peer Effects from Hurricane Evacuees , 2009 .

[53]  Lawrence F. Katz,et al.  Neighborhood Effects on Crime for Female and Male Youth: Evidence from a Randomized Housing Voucher Experiment , 2004 .

[54]  Bridget Terry Long,et al.  How have college decisions changed over time? An application of the conditional logistic choice model , 2004 .

[55]  Enrico Moretti,et al.  The Effect of Education on Crime: Evidence from Prison Inmates, Arrests, and Self-Reports , 2001 .

[56]  S. Raphael,et al.  Urban Crime, Race, and the Criminal Justice System in the United States , 2007 .

[57]  D. Farrington,et al.  UNEMPLOYMENT, SCHOOL LEAVING, AND CRIME , 1986 .

[58]  S. Raudenbush,et al.  Neighborhoods and violent crime: a multilevel study of collective efficacy. , 1997, Science.

[59]  R. Freeman,et al.  The economics of crime , 1999 .

[60]  C. Hoxby,et al.  Charter Schools in New York City: Who Enrolls and How They Affect Their Students' Achievement , 2009 .

[61]  R. Sampson,et al.  ASSESSING "NEIGHBORHOOD EFFECTS": Social Processes and New Directions in Research , 2002 .

[62]  Duncan C. Thomas,et al.  Early Test Scores, School Quality and Ses: Longrun Effects on Wage and Employment Outcomes , 2012 .

[63]  Peter Siegelman,et al.  Allocating Resources Among Prisons And Social Programs In The Battle Against Crime , 1998, The Journal of Legal Studies.

[64]  R. Murnane Educating Urban Children , 2008 .

[65]  Olivier Marie,et al.  The Crime Reducing Effect of Education , 2010, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[66]  W. Evans,et al.  Measuring Peer Group Effects: A Study of Teenage Behavior , 1992, Journal of Political Economy.

[67]  Brian A. Jacob,et al.  Are Idle Hands the Devil's Workshop? Incapacitation, Concentration and Juvenile Crime , 2003 .

[68]  Justine S. Hastings,et al.  Heterogeneous Preferences and the Efficacy of Public School Choice , 2008 .