Rapid altitudinal migration of mountain plants in Taiwan and its implications for high altitude biodiversity

Mountain systems throughout the globe are characterized by high levels of species richness and species endemism. Biodiversity, however, is not distributed evenly with altitude, but often declines from mid to high altitudes. Conversely, endemic species may be over-represented at high altitudes. Upward elevational range shifts of mountain species have been reported in response to ongoing changes in climate, yet the reports are dominated by studies on woody species and mountains at high latitudes. We investigated spatial and temporal changes in the mountain biodiversity in the subtropical island of Taiwan, based on historical survey and resurvey data during the period 1906–2006. We found that upper altitudinal limits of mountain plant distributions have risen by ca 3.6 m yr � 1 during the last century, in parallel with rising temperatures in the region. Although species, genus, and family richness decline with altitude, ca 55% of species at the highest altitudes are endemic to the island. Given the steep decline in land area with increasing elevation, these high altitude areas are disproportionately important for plant biodiversity when richness and endemism are standardized by available land area. We argue that the distributional shift that we report, in combination with the altitudinal distribution of plant diversity, is likely to pose a major threat to high mountain species of this highly biodiverse island, a threat that is becoming increasingly evident for high mountain plants throughout the globe.

[1]  J. Peñuelas,et al.  The altitude-for-latitude disparity in the range retractions of woody species. , 2009, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[2]  D. Stone,et al.  Extinction vulnerability of tropical montane endemism from warming and upslope displacement: a preliminary appraisal for the highest massif in Madagascar , 2008, Global Change Biology.

[3]  B. McCarl,et al.  Land Use and Climate Change , 2014 .

[4]  K. Gaston Global patterns in biodiversity , 2000, Nature.

[5]  W. Jetz,et al.  global warming Projected range contractions of montane biodiversity under Supplementary data tml , 2010 .

[6]  Corinne Le Quéré,et al.  Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis , 2013 .

[7]  A. Britton,et al.  Biodiversity gains and losses: Evidence for homogenisation of Scottish alpine vegetation , 2009 .

[8]  Peter D. Moore,et al.  Biogeography: An Ecological and Evolutionary Approach , 1974 .

[9]  D. Wascher,et al.  Climate change meets habitat fragmentation: linking landscape and biogeographical scale levels in research and conservation , 2004 .

[10]  Melanie A. Harsch,et al.  Are treelines advancing? A global meta-analysis of treeline response to climate warming. , 2009, Ecology letters.

[11]  G. Grabherr,et al.  Signals of range expansions and contractions of vascular plants in the high Alps: observations (1994–2004) at the GLORIA * master site Schrankogel, Tyrol, Austria , 2007 .

[12]  Y. Malhi Extinction Risk from Climate Change in Tropical Forests , 2012 .

[13]  P. D. Körner Alpine Plant Life , 1999, Springer Berlin Heidelberg.

[14]  H. Barlow,et al.  Elevation increases in moth assemblages over 42 years on a tropical mountain , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[15]  Biing T. Guan,et al.  Modeling monthly mean temperatures for the mountain regions of Taiwan by generalized additive models , 2009 .

[16]  O. Hoegh‐Guldberg,et al.  Ecological responses to recent climate change , 2002, Nature.

[17]  M. Silman,et al.  Land‐use and climate change effects on population size and extinction risk of Andean plants , 2010 .

[18]  J. Grytnes,et al.  A comparison of altitudinal species richness patterns of bryophytes with other plant groups in Nepal, Central Himalaya , 2007 .

[19]  M. McGeoch,et al.  Rapid range expansion and community reorganization in response to warming , 2008 .

[20]  M. Sturm,et al.  Climate change: Increasing shrub abundance in the Arctic , 2001, Nature.

[21]  C. Körner The use of 'altitude' in ecological research. , 2007, Trends in ecology & evolution.

[22]  William F. Laurance,et al.  Global warming, elevational ranges and the vulnerability of tropical biota , 2010 .

[23]  G. Yohe,et al.  A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems , 2003, Nature.

[24]  James H. Brown,et al.  Using Montane Mammals to Model Extinctions Due to Global Change , 1992 .

[25]  S. Schneider,et al.  Climate Change, Elevational Range Shifts, and Bird Extinctions , 2008, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology.

[26]  H. Barlow,et al.  Asymmetric boundary shifts of tropical montane Lepidoptera over four decades of climate warming , 2011 .

[27]  J. Palutikof,et al.  Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability , 2001 .

[28]  J. Abatzoglou,et al.  Changes in Climatic Water Balance Drive Downhill Shifts in Plant Species’ Optimum Elevations , 2011, Science.

[29]  Y. Malhi,et al.  Upslope migration of Andean trees , 2011 .

[30]  W. Rabitsch,et al.  Disproportional risk for habitat loss of high‐altitude endemic species under climate change , 2011 .

[31]  A. Lloyd,et al.  Recent changes in treeline forest distribution and structure in interior Alaska , 2003 .

[32]  L. Kullman Long‐term geobotanical observations of climate change impacts in the Scandes of West‐Central Sweden , 2010 .

[33]  J. Grytnes,et al.  Distribution of vascular plant species richness and endemic richness along the Himalayan elevation gradient in Nepal , 2002 .

[34]  H. Birks,et al.  Recent increases in species richness and shifts in altitudinal distributions of Norwegian mountain plants , 2003 .

[35]  Mark V. Lomolino,et al.  Elevation gradients of species‐density: historical and prospective views , 2001 .

[36]  P. Grant Drought effect on high-altitude forests, Ruahine Range, North Island, New Zealand , 1984 .

[37]  G. Grabherr,et al.  Climate effects on mountain plants , 1994, Nature.

[38]  Jingyun Fang,et al.  Altitudinal patterns of seed plant richness in the Gaoligong Mountains, south‐east Tibet, China , 2007 .

[39]  Robert K. Colwell,et al.  Global Warming, Elevational Range Shifts, and Lowland Biotic Attrition in the Wet Tropics , 2008, Science.

[40]  M. Kessler Elevational gradients in species richness and endemism of selected plant groups in the central Bolivian Andes , 2000, Plant Ecology.

[41]  G. Rossi,et al.  Upward migration of vascular plants following a climate warming trend in the Alps , 2008 .

[42]  Upward shift of alpine plants increases floristic similarity of mountain summits , 2007 .

[43]  Stephen E. Williams,et al.  Detecting climate change induced range shifts: where and how should we be looking? , 2006 .

[44]  C. Parmesan Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change , 2006 .

[45]  S. Yeaman,et al.  Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations , 2008, Evolutionary applications.

[46]  P. García‐Fayos,et al.  Relictual distribution reaches the top: Elevation constrains fertility and leaf longevity in Juniperus thurifera , 2010 .

[47]  J. Lockwood,et al.  Biotic homogenization a sequential and selective process , 2001 .

[48]  Gian-Reto Walther,et al.  Plants in a warmer world , 2003 .

[49]  S. Williams,et al.  Climate change in Australian tropical rainforests: an impending environmental catastrophe , 2003, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series B: Biological Sciences.

[50]  L. Nagy Alpine Biodiversity in Europe , 2003, Ecological Studies.

[51]  M. Araújo,et al.  Scale effects and human impact on the elevational species richness gradients , 2008, Nature.

[52]  C. Rahbek The elevational gradient of species richness: a uniform pattern? , 1995 .

[53]  M. C. F. Proctor,et al.  Biogeography: an Ecological and Evolutionary Approach. , 1974 .

[54]  P. Marquet,et al.  A Significant Upward Shift in Plant Species Optimum Elevation During the 20th Century , 2008, Science.

[55]  Bunzō Hayata Flora montana formosae , 1908 .

[56]  F. Woodward Climate and plant distribution , 1987 .

[57]  F. I. Woodward,et al.  Effects of elevated concentrations of carbon dioxide on individual plants, populations, communities and ecosystems , 1991 .

[58]  Walter Jetz,et al.  Projected range contractions of montane biodiversity under global warming , 2010, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[59]  G. Walther,et al.  Trends in the upward shift of alpine plants , 2005 .