A hybrid systematic design for multiobjective market problems: a case study in crude oil markets

This paper studies an application of hybrid systematic design in multiobjective market problems. The target problem is suggested as unstructured real world problem such that the objectives cannot be expressed mathematically and only a set of historical data is utilized. Obviously, traditional methods and even meta-heuristic methods are broken in such cases. Instead, a systematic design using the hybrid of intelligent systems, particularly fuzzy rule base and neural networks can guide the decision maker towards noninferior solutions. The system does not stay in search phase. It also supports the decision maker in selection phase (after the search) to analyze various noninferior points and select the best ones based on the desired goal levels. In addition, numerical examples of real crude oil markets are provided to clarify the accuracy and performance of the developed system.

[1]  W. C. Benton Quantity discount decisions under conditions of multiple items, multiple suppliers and resource limitations , 1991 .

[2]  John Durkin,et al.  Expert systems - design and development , 1994 .

[3]  Kate A. Smith,et al.  Neural Networks for Combinatorial Optimization: a Review of More Than a Decade of Research , 1999 .

[4]  Rajkumar Roy,et al.  Evolutionary-based techniques for real-life optimisation: development and testing , 2002, Appl. Soft Comput..

[5]  Hans-Jürgen Zimmermann,et al.  Fuzzy Set Theory - and Its Applications , 1985 .

[6]  Bart Kosko,et al.  Fuzzy Engineering , 1996 .

[7]  Efraim Turban,et al.  Decision support systems and intelligent systems , 1997 .

[8]  Torsten Kuhlen,et al.  Comparative analysis of fuzzy ART and ART-2A network clustering performance , 1998, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks.

[9]  J. Murphy Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications , 1986 .

[10]  Wei Li,et al.  Optimal market timing strategies under transaction costs , 2002 .

[11]  Lothar Thiele,et al.  Multiobjective evolutionary algorithms: a comparative case study and the strength Pareto approach , 1999, IEEE Trans. Evol. Comput..

[12]  C. Hwang,et al.  Fuzzy Multiple Objective Decision Making: Methods And Applications , 1996 .

[13]  Marco Laumanns,et al.  Performance assessment of multiobjective optimizers: an analysis and review , 2003, IEEE Trans. Evol. Comput..

[14]  S. Sosvilla‐Rivero,et al.  On the profitability of technical trading rules based on artificial neural networks:: Evidence from the Madrid stock market , 2000 .

[15]  Spyros Skouras,et al.  Financial returns and efficiency as seen by an artificial technical analyst , 2001 .

[16]  Douglas Wood,et al.  Neural network protocols and model performance , 2003, Neurocomputing.

[17]  Gary B. Lamont,et al.  Evolutionary Algorithms for Solving Multi-Objective Problems , 2002, Genetic Algorithms and Evolutionary Computation.

[18]  Marco Laumanns,et al.  Performance assessment of multiobjective optimizers , 2002 .

[19]  Anna D. Martin Technical trading rules in the spot foreign exchange markets of developing countries , 2001 .

[20]  Li-Xin Wang,et al.  A Course In Fuzzy Systems and Control , 1996 .

[21]  ZitzlerE.,et al.  Multiobjective evolutionary algorithms , 1999 .

[22]  Russell L. Purvis,et al.  Stock market trading rule discovery using technical charting heuristics , 2002, Expert Syst. Appl..

[23]  Marco Laumanns,et al.  SPEA2: Improving the Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm For Multiobjective Optimization , 2002 .

[24]  Milan Zeleny,et al.  Multiple criteria decision making: eight concepts of optimality , 1998 .

[25]  Efraim Turban,et al.  Decision Support Systems and Intelligent Systems (7th Edition) , 2004 .

[26]  Ronald R. Yager,et al.  Fuzzy sets, neural networks, and soft computing , 1994 .

[27]  Jean-Yves Potvin,et al.  Generating trading rules on the stock markets with genetic programming , 2004, Comput. Oper. Res..

[28]  Mehrdad Tamiz,et al.  Multi-objective meta-heuristics: An overview of the current state-of-the-art , 2002, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[29]  Andrzej Jaszkiewicz,et al.  Genetic local search for multi-objective combinatorial optimization , 2022 .

[30]  Seyyed M. T. Fatemi Ghomi,et al.  A hybrid intelligent system for multiobjective decision making problems , 2006, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[31]  Franklin Allen,et al.  Using genetic algorithms to find technical trading rules , 1999 .

[32]  H. Zimmermann,et al.  Fuzzy Set Theory and Its Applications , 1993 .

[33]  J. Murphy Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets , 1999 .