Approval voting and positional voting methods: Inference, relationship, examples

Abstract.Approval voting is the voting method recently adopted by the Society for Social Choice and Welfare. Positional voting methods include the famous plurality, antiplurality, and Borda methods. We extend the inference framework of Tsetlin and Regenwetter (2003) from majority rule to approval voting and all positional voting methods. We also establish a link between approval voting and positional voting methods whenever Falmagne et al.’s (1996) size-independent model of approval voting holds: In all such cases, approval voting mimics some positional voting method. We illustrate our inference framework by analyzing approval voting and ranking data, with and without the assumption of the size-independent model. For many of the existing data, including the Society for Social Choice and Welfare election analyzed by Brams and Fishburn (2001) and Saari (2001), low turnout implies that inferences drawn from such elections carry low (statistical) confidence. Whenever solid inferences are possible, we find that, under certain statistical assumptions, approval voting tends to agree with positional voting methods, and with Borda, in particular.

[1]  Samuel MerrillIII Strategic decisions under one-stage multi-candidate voting systems , 1981 .

[2]  John R. Chamberlin,et al.  Selecting a Voting System , 1986, The Journal of Politics.

[3]  David Lindley,et al.  Optimal Statistical Decisions , 1971 .

[4]  Donald G. Saari,et al.  Analyzing a nail-biting election , 2001, Soc. Choice Welf..

[5]  Samuel Merrill,et al.  Strategic decisions under one-stage multi-candidate voting systems , 1981 .

[6]  Clyde H. Coombs,et al.  Social Choice Observed: Five Presidential Elections of the American Psychological Association , 1984, The Journal of Politics.

[7]  Jean-Paul Doignon,et al.  On the combinatorial structure of the approval-voting polytope , 2002 .

[8]  A. A. J. Marley,et al.  Aggregation Theorems and the Combination of Probabilistic Rank Orders , 1993 .

[9]  Samuel Fiorini,et al.  The approval-voting polytope: combinatorial interpretation of the facets , 2003 .

[10]  A. Rapoport,et al.  An Empirical Evaluation of Six Voting Procedures: Do They Really Make Any Difference? , 1993, British Journal of Political Science.

[11]  B. Grofman,et al.  Approval Voting, Borda Winners, and Condorcet Winners: Evidence From Seven Elections , 1998 .

[12]  A. Pekec,et al.  The repeated insertion model for rankings: Missing link between two subset choice models , 2004 .

[13]  D. Saari Geometry of voting , 1994 .

[14]  William V. Gehrlein Borda efficiency of constant scoring rules with large electorates , 1981 .

[15]  William V. Gehrlein,et al.  The Condorcet efficiency of Borda Rule with anonymous voters , 2001, Math. Soc. Sci..

[16]  A. A. J. Marley,et al.  On the model dependence of majority preference relations reconstructed from ballot or survey data , 2002, Math. Soc. Sci..

[17]  Peter C. Fishburn,et al.  A nail-biting election , 2001, Soc. Choice Welf..

[18]  Samuel Fiorini,et al.  The facets and the symmetries of the approval-voting polytope , 2004, J. Comb. Theory, Ser. B.

[19]  Regenwetter,et al.  The Choice Probabilities of the Latent-Scale Model Satisfy the Size-Independent Model When n Is Small. , 1998, Journal of mathematical psychology.

[20]  Jean-Paul Doignon,et al.  An Approval-Voting Polytope for Linear Orders , 1997, Journal of mathematical psychology.

[21]  Michel Regenwetter,et al.  The impartial culture maximizes the probability of majority cycles , 2003, Soc. Choice Welf..

[22]  A. Tabarrok,et al.  President Perot or Fundamentals of Voting Theory Illustrated with the 1992 Election , 2001 .

[23]  Michel Regenwetter,et al.  Probabilistic preferences and topset voting , 1997 .

[24]  S J Brams,et al.  The Science of Elections , 2001, Science.

[25]  Harry Joe,et al.  Random Utility Threshold Models of Subset Choice , 1998 .

[26]  Michel Regenwetter,et al.  A random utility model for approval voting , 1996 .

[27]  Douglas Muzzio,et al.  Approval voting , 1983 .

[28]  William V. Gehrlein,et al.  The Condorcet efficiency of approval voting and the probability of electing the Condorcet loser , 1998 .

[29]  Michel Regenwetter,et al.  On the probabilities of correct or incorrect majority preference relations , 2003, Soc. Choice Welf..

[30]  Michel Regenwetter,et al.  Choosing subsets: a size-independent probabilistic model and the quest for a social welfare ordering , 1998 .