Near real-time monitoring of HIV transmission hotspots from routine HIV genotyping: an implementation case study

Background Due to the rapid evolution of HIV, infections with similar genetic sequences are likely to be related by recent transmission events. Clusters of related infections can represent subpopulations with high rates of HIV transmission. Here we describe the implementation of an automated “near real-time” system using clustering analysis of routinely collected HIV resistance genotypes to monitor and characterize HIV transmission hotspots in British Columbia (BC). Methods A monitoring system was implemented on the BC Drug Treatment Database, which currently holds over 32000 anonymized HIV genotypes for nearly 9000 residents of BC living with HIV. On average, five to six new HIV genotypes are deposited in the database every day, which triggers an automated re-analysis of the entire database. Clusters of five or more individuals were extracted on the basis of short phylogenetic distances between their respective HIV sequences. Monthly reports on the growth and characteristics of clusters were generated by the system and distributed to public health officers. Findings In June 2014, the monitoring system detected the expansion of a cluster by 11 new cases over three months, including eight cases with transmitted drug resistance. This cluster generally comprised young men who have sex with men. The subsequent report precipitated an enhanced public health follow-up to ensure linkage to care and treatment initiation in the affected subpopulation. Of the nine cases associated with this follow-up, all had already been linked to care and five cases had started treatment. Subsequent to the follow-up, three additional cases started treatment and the majority of cases achieved suppressed viral loads. Over the following 12 months, 12 new cases were detected in this cluster with a marked reduction in the onward transmission of drug resistance. Interpretation Our findings demonstrate the first application of an automated phylogenetic system monitoring a clinical database to detect a recent HIV outbreak and support the ensuing public health response. By making secondary use of routinely collected HIV genotypes, this approach is cost-effective, attains near realtime monitoring of new cases, and can be implemented in all settings where HIV genotyping is the standard of care. Funding This work was supported by the BC Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS and by grants from the Canadian Institutes for Health Research (CIHR HOP-111406, HOP-107544), the Genome BC, Genome Canada and CIHR Partnership in Genomics and Personalized Health (Large-Scale Applied Research Project HIV142 contract to PRH, JSGM, and AFYP), and by the US National Institute on Drug Abuse (1-R01-DA036307-01, 5-R01-031055-02, R01-DA021525-06, and R01-DA011591).