Global warming : the hard science

1. Preface 2. Acknowledgements 3. Chapter Highlights 4. Part One Introduction 5. Climatic Change and Variability - Past, Present and Future 6. The Climate System and Climatic Change 7. The Physics of the Greenhouse Effect, Radiative Forcing, and Climate Sensitivity 8. Factors Driving Anthropogenic Emissions to the Atmosphere 9. Observed Changes in the Climate System and Sea Level During the Recent Past 10. Part Two Climatic Change - from emissions to climate system response 11. Models used in Projecting Future Climatic Change and Sea Level Rise 12. Computation of Direct and Indirect Radiative Forcings Associated with Changes in the Concentration of Greenhouse Gases and Aerosols 13. Response of the Carbon Cycle and other Biogeochemical Cycles: Translating Emissions of GHGs and Aerosols into Concentrations and Radiative Forcing 14. Climate Sensitivity 15. The Regional Equilibrium Response to a Doubling of the Atmospheric Concentration of Carbon Dioxide 16. The Transient Climatic Response and the Detection of Anthropogenic Effects on Climate 17. Sea Level Rise 18. Part Three The Science-Policy Interface 19. Scenarios of Future Climatic Change 20. The Prospects for Surprises 21. Glossary 22. References 23. Web Sites Used 24. Index