Estimation of the Energy Security Level and Definition of the Criteria for Damage Forecasts

Estimation of the Energy Security Level and Definition of the Criteria for Damage Forecasts In the work, the energy security indicators in a region (a state) are considered, and two general directions are proposed for search among the criteria for estimation and forecast of the damage inflicted by power supply limitations: based on the differentiated calculations for each economic subject, and on the generalised indices of regional economy. Of especial interest is analysis of a recently introduced damage intensity factor and its dependence on the level of limitations and the type of energy carriers. Energētiskā Drošuma Novērtējums UN Kritēriju Noteikšana Zaudējumu Prognozēšanai Darbā nosaukti energētiskā drošuma indikatori, pamatota kritēriju izvēle uz to pamata piedāvāta metodika iespējamo energonesēju piegēžu zaudējumu novērtēsanai regionam pie dažādiem ierobežojumu līmeņiem.