Shaped by Booms and Busts: How the Economy Impacts CEO Careers and Management Styles

We show that economic conditions when managers enter the labor market have long-run effects on their career paths and managerial styles. Managers who began their careers during recessions become CEOs more quickly, but at smaller firms. They also have more conservative styles, such as lower investment in capital expenditures and research and development, more cost cutting, and lower leverage and working capital needs. These recession effects appear to be largely driven by the characteristics of the CEO’s first job (recession CEOs tend to start in smaller or private firms), which suggests that the early work environment is important to the formation and selection of managers.

[1]  Derek A. Neal The Complexity of Job Mobility Among Young Men , 1998 .

[2]  Jeffrey L. Coles,et al.  Managerial Incentives and Risk-Taking , 2006 .

[3]  Murray Z. Frank,et al.  Testing the Pecking Order Theory of Capital Structure , 2000 .

[4]  James N. Baron,et al.  Engineering Bureaucracy: The Genesis of Formal Policies, Positions, and Structures in High-Technology Firms , 1999 .

[5]  Paul Oyer,et al.  The Making of an Investment Banker: Stock Market Shocks, Career Choice, and Lifetime Income , 2008 .

[6]  Francisco Pérez-Gónzalez,et al.  Inside the Family Firm: The Role of Families in Succession Decisions and Performance , 2006 .

[7]  A. Heisz,et al.  The Short- and Long-Term Career Effects of Graduating in a Recession , 2012 .

[8]  Sendhil Mullainathan,et al.  Are CEOs Rewarded for Luck? The Ones Without Principals Are , 2001 .

[9]  Robert E. Verrecchia,et al.  When Does Information Asymmetry Affect the Cost of Capital? , 2010 .

[10]  Alexander W. Butler,et al.  Managers with and without Style: Evidence Using Exogenous Variation , 2013 .

[11]  J. Graham,et al.  Corporate Survival and Managerial Experiences During the Great Depression , 2004 .

[12]  Carola Frydman,et al.  Executive Compensation: A New View from a Long-Term Perspective, 1936-2005 , 2007 .

[13]  John R. Graham,et al.  How Big are the Tax Benefits of Debt , 2000 .

[14]  Ulrike Malmendier,et al.  Overconfidence and Early-Life Experiences: The Impact of Managerial Traits on Corporate Financial Policies , 2010 .

[15]  Ross L. Watts,et al.  Conservatism in Accounting - Part I: Explanations and Implications , 2003 .

[16]  The Effects of Executives on Corporate Tax Avoidance , 2009 .

[17]  Sheridan Titman,et al.  Why Do Firms Hold so Much Cash? A Tax-Based Explanation , 2006 .

[18]  Christopher Marquis,et al.  Imprinting: Toward A Multilevel Theory , 2013 .

[19]  Camelia M. Kuhnen Searching for Jobs: Evidence from MBA Graduates , 2011 .

[20]  Camelia M. Kuhnen,et al.  CEO Turnover in a Competitive Assignment Framework , 2010 .

[21]  G. Elder,et al.  Turning Points in Life: The Case of Military Service and War , 1991 .

[22]  Lisa B. Kahn,et al.  The Long-Term Labor Market Consequences of Graduating from College in a Bad Economy , 2006 .

[23]  R. Parrino,et al.  CEO turnover and outside succession A cross-sectional analysis , 1997 .

[24]  Ulrike Malmendier,et al.  Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk-Taking? , 2009 .

[25]  Bill McEvily,et al.  Not All Bridging Ties Are Equal: Network Imprinting and Firm Growth in the Nashville Legal Industry, 1933-1978 , 2012, Organ. Sci..

[26]  Executive Compensation: A New View from a Long-Term Perspective, 1936-2005 , 2010 .

[27]  Michael S. Weisbach,et al.  CEO turnover and the firm's investment decisions , 1995 .

[28]  Boyan Jovanovic,et al.  Firm-specific Capital and Turnover , 1979, Journal of Political Economy.

[29]  Scott D. Schuh,et al.  Job Creation and Destruction , 1997 .

[30]  Boyan Jovanovic Job Matching and the Theory of Turnover , 1979, Journal of Political Economy.

[31]  Paul Oyer,et al.  Initial Labor Market Conditions and Long-Term Outcomes for Economists , 2006 .

[32]  Patricia M. Dechow,et al.  The Quality of Accruals and Earnings: The Role of Accrual Estimation Errors , 2002 .

[33]  Antoinette Schoar,et al.  Managing with Style: The Effect of Managers on Firm Policies , 2003 .

[34]  Jess Cornaggia,et al.  Does Initial Placement Matter for Equity Analysts' Forecast Accuracy , 2008 .

[35]  Ross L. Watts,et al.  Estimation and Empirical Properties of a Firm-Year Measure of Accounting Conservatism , 2009 .

[36]  Francisco Pérez-Gónzalez,et al.  Inherited Control and Firm Performance , 2002 .

[37]  Michael Waldman,et al.  Enriching a Theory of Wage and Promotion Dynamics Inside Firms , 2003 .

[38]  E. Lazear Balanced Skills and Entrepreneurship , 2004 .

[39]  Neil Fligstein,et al.  FROM THE TRANSFORMATION OF CORPORATE CONTROL , 2021, The New Economic Sociology.

[40]  Monica C. Higgins,et al.  Career Imprints: Creating Leaders Across An Industry , 2005 .

[41]  Manju Puri,et al.  Managerial Attitudes and Corporate Actions , 2012 .

[42]  Jerold B. Warner,et al.  Stock prices and top management changes , 1988 .

[43]  J. Kotter The General Managers , 1982 .

[44]  Anwer S. Ahmed,et al.  Managerial Overconfidence and Accounting Conservatism , 2012 .

[45]  Financial Distress in the Great Depression , 2011 .

[46]  R. Topel,et al.  Job Mobility and the Careers of Young Men , 1988 .

[47]  D. Hambrick,et al.  Upper Echelons: The Organization as a Reflection of Its Top Managers , 1984 .

[48]  Thomas W. Bates,et al.  Why Do U.S. Firms Hold so Much More Cash than They Used to? , 2006 .

[49]  Morten Sorensen,et al.  Which CEO Characteristics and Abilities Matter? , 2008 .

[50]  Ulrike Malmendier,et al.  CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Investment , 2002 .

[51]  Jan Zabojnik,et al.  Managerial Capital and the Market for CEOs , 2007 .

[52]  Michael Waldman,et al.  Task-Specific Human Capital , 2004 .

[53]  Glen H. Elder,et al.  Military times and turning points in men's lives. , 1986 .

[54]  Zhe Wang,et al.  Accounting Conservatism , 2010 .

[55]  Katherine Schipper,et al.  Costs of Equity and Earnings Attributes , 2004 .

[56]  Michael Maccoby Searching for a Corporate Savior: The Irrational Quest for Charismatic CEOs , 2004 .

[57]  E. Clipp,et al.  Combat experience and emotional health: impairment and resilience in later life. , 1989, Journal of personality.

[58]  E. Fama,et al.  Industry costs of equity , 1997 .

[59]  Jake,et al.  Children of the Great Depression , 2009 .

[60]  Todd T. Milbourn,et al.  Asymmetric benchmarking in compensation: Executives are rewarded for good luck but not penalized for bad , 2006 .

[61]  Pian Shu,et al.  The Long-Term Impact of Business Cycles on Innovation: Evidence from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology , 2012 .