Modularity-In-Design: An Analysis Based On the Theory Of Real Options

This paper investigates the economic role of modularity in the design of new products and processes. We construct a formal model of the design process based on the financial theory of options, and analyze the benefits and costs of breaking apart a complex design into independent modules linked by pre-established interfaces. The model provides a rigorous framework for dealing with the effects of uncertainty, and shows how modular designs, independent experiments and testing technologies interact to create economic value. The model also shows how modularity rests on and contributes to the knowledge and organizational structure of a company.

[1]  William J. Abernathy,et al.  Patterns of Industrial Innovation , 1978 .

[2]  Fred P. Brooks,et al.  The Mythical Man-Month , 1975, Reliable Software.

[3]  M. C. Jensen,et al.  Specific and General Knowledge and Organizational Structure , 1995 .

[4]  John Sutton,et al.  Sunk Costs and Market Structure: Price Competition, Advertising, and the Evolution of Concentration , 1992 .

[5]  Richard N. Langlois,et al.  Capabilities and Vertical Disintegration in Process Technology: The Case of Semiconductor Fabrication Equipment , 1994 .

[6]  Marco Iansiti,et al.  Technology integration: Managing technological evolution in a complex environment , 1995 .

[7]  F. Black,et al.  The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[8]  R. C. Merton,et al.  Continuous-Time Finance , 1990 .

[9]  J. Harrison,et al.  Brownian motion and stochastic flow systems , 1986 .

[10]  Nam P. Suh,et al.  principles in design , 1990 .

[11]  R. C. Merton,et al.  The Role of Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance , 1985, World Scientific Reference on Contingent Claims Analysis in Corporate Finance.

[12]  I. Sommerville,et al.  Software engineering (2nd ed.) , 1985 .

[13]  David Lorge Parnas,et al.  The Modular Structure of Complex Systems , 1984, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering.

[14]  James Brian Quinn,et al.  Managing Innovation : Controlled Chaos : Harvard Business Review , 1987 .

[15]  Christopher Alexander Notes on the Synthesis of Form , 1964 .

[16]  Eduardo S. Schwartz,et al.  Investment Under Uncertainty. , 1994 .

[17]  James M. Utterback,et al.  Mastering the Dynamics of Innovation: How Companies Can Seize Opportunities in the Face of Technological Change , 1994 .

[18]  Clayton M. Christensen,et al.  Explaining the attacker's advantage: Technological paradigms, organizational dynamics, and the value network , 1995 .

[19]  Pierre Regibeau,et al.  Compatibility and Bundling of Complementary Goods in a Duopoly , 1992 .

[20]  Paul R. Milgrom,et al.  The Economics of Modern Manufacturing: Technology, Strategy, and Organization , 1990 .

[21]  Charles H. Ferguson,et al.  Computer Wars: How the West Can Win in a Post-IBM World , 1993 .

[22]  D. L. Marples,et al.  THE DECISIONS OF ENGINEERING DESIGN , 1961, IRE Transactions on Engineering Management.

[23]  M. C. Jensen,et al.  The Modern Industrial Revolution, Exit, and the Failure of Internal Control Systems , 1993, A Theory of the Firm.

[24]  Victor Tang,et al.  The Silverlake Project: Transformation at IBM , 1992 .

[25]  Kim B. Clark,et al.  CAPABILITIES AND CAPITAL INVESTMENT: NEW PERSPECTIVES ON CAPITAL BUDGETING , 1992 .

[26]  Nam P. Suh,et al.  Measures of Functional Coupling in Design , 1982 .

[27]  Emerson W. Pugh,et al.  IBM's 360 and early 370 systems , 1991 .

[28]  Bronwyn H Hall,et al.  The Impact of Corporate Restructuring on Industrial Research and Development , 1989, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. Microeconomics.

[29]  R. Garud,et al.  Changing competitive dynamics in network industries: An exploration of sun microsystems' open systems strategy , 1993 .

[30]  S. Winter,et al.  An evolutionary theory of economic change , 1983 .

[31]  Steven C. Wheelwright,et al.  Revolutionizing product development , 1992 .

[32]  Steven D. Eppinger,et al.  Model-based Approaches to Managing Concurrent Engineering , 1991 .

[33]  Vijay K. Vaishnavi,et al.  An empirical study of the effects of modularity on program modifiability , 1986 .

[34]  R. Langlois,et al.  Networks and innovation in a modular system: Lessons from the microcomputer and stereo component industries , 1992 .

[35]  Glenford J Myers,et al.  Reliable software through composite design , 1975 .

[36]  Richard N. Langlois,et al.  External Economies and Economic Progress: The Case of the Microcomputer Industry , 1992, Business History Review.

[37]  Manuel Trajtenberg,et al.  Economic Analysis of Product Innovation: The Case of CT Scanners , 1990 .

[38]  René M. Stulz,et al.  Options on the minimum or the maximum of two risky assets : Analysis and applications , 1982 .

[39]  Richard N. Langlois,et al.  Cognition and Capabilities: Opportunities Seized and Missed in the History of the Computer Industry , 1994 .

[40]  Glenford J. Myers,et al.  Structured Design , 1974, IBM Syst. J..

[41]  N. Dorfman,et al.  Innovation and Market Structure: Lessons from the Computer and Semiconductor Industries , 1987 .

[42]  D. L. Parnas,et al.  On the criteria to be used in decomposing systems into modules , 1972, Software Pioneers.

[44]  N. A. Nichols Scientific management at Merck: An interview with CFO Judy Lewent , 1994 .

[45]  Kim B. Clark,et al.  The Interaction of Design Hierarchies and market Concepts in Technological Evolution : Research Policy , 1985 .

[46]  Kim B. Clark,et al.  Product development performance : strategy, organization, and management in the world auto industry / Kim B. Clark, Tahahiro Fujimoto , 1991 .

[47]  M. Tushman,et al.  Technological Discontinuities and Organizational Environments , 1986 .

[48]  R. Pindyck Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment , 1990 .

[49]  Herbert A. Simon,et al.  The Sciences of the Artificial , 1970 .

[50]  Susan Walsh Sanderson,et al.  Cost models for evaluating virtual design strategies in multicycle product families , 1991 .

[51]  J. B. Quinn,et al.  Managing Innovation: Controlled Chaos , 1985 .

[52]  K. Lancaster A New Approach to Consumer Theory , 1966, Journal of Political Economy.

[53]  Brian W. Kernighan,et al.  Software tools , 1976, SOEN.

[54]  N. Economides,et al.  COMPETITION AND INTEGRATION AMONG COMPLEMENTS, AND NETWORK MARKET STRUCTURE* , 1992 .

[55]  David Lorge Parnas,et al.  A technique for software module specification with examples , 1972, CACM.