The Orestad Traffic Passenger Demand Model

The passenger travel demand model for the greater Copenhagen area is a tour based nested logit model where the generation, distribution and mode choice models are connected via the measure of accessibility. The model is very detailed in all three levels and that is the main strength in the model forecasting power. The model validity is strongly proved by the fact that the forecasting results for 2000 exhibit a very good fit to the observed car and public transport traffic. The main aim of the paper is to provide a detailed description of the model. Secondly, an application of the model in a study of road pricing in Copenhagen is described in order to give an idea to the reader of how such a policy measure can be modelled as well as the plausible magnitude of changes caused by a road pricing system.