SIREN protocol: Impact of detectable anti-SARS-CoV-2 on the subsequent incidence of COVID-19 in 100,000 healthcare workers: do antibody positive healthcare workers have less reinfection than antibody negative healthcare workers?

BACKGROUND The overall risk of reinfection in individuals who have previously had COVID-19 is unknown. To determine if prior SARS-CoV-2 infection (as determined by at least one positive commercial antibody test performed in a laboratory) in healthcare workers confers future immunity to reinfection, we are undertaking a large-scale prospective longitudinal cohort study of healthcare staff across the United Kingdom. METHODS Population and Setting: staff members of healthcare organisations working in hospitals in the UK At recruitment, participants will have their serum tested for anti-SARS-CoV-2 at baseline and using these results will be initially allocated to either antibody positive or antibody negative cohorts. Participants will undergo antibody and viral RNA testing at 1-4 weekly intervals throughout the study period, and based on these results may move between cohorts. Any results from testing undertaken for other reasons (e.g. symptoms, contact tracing etc.) or prior to study entry will also be included. Individuals will complete enrolment and fortnightly questionnaires on exposures and symptoms. Follow-up will be for at least 12 months from study entry. Outcome: The primary outcome of interest is a reinfection with SARS -CoV-2 during the study period. Secondary outcomes will include incidence and prevalence (both RNA and antibody) of SARS-CoV-2, viral genomics, viral culture, symptom history and antibody/neutralising antibody titres. CONCLUSION This large study will help us to understand the impact of the presence of antibodies on the risk of reinfection with SARS-CoV-2; the results will have substantial implications in terms of national and international policy, as well as for risk management of contacts of COVID-19 cases. TRIAL REGISTRATION IRAS ID 284460, HRA and Health and Care Research Wales approval granted 22 May 2020.

[1]  B. Gutiérrez,et al.  A case of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection in Ecuador , 2020, The Lancet Infectious Diseases.

[2]  C. Donnelly,et al.  Declining prevalence of antibody positivity to SARS-CoV-2: a community study of 365,000 adults , 2020, medRxiv.

[3]  M. Malim,et al.  Longitudinal observation and decline of neutralizing antibody responses in the three months following SARS-CoV-2 infection in humans , 2020, Nature Microbiology.

[4]  P. Maes,et al.  Symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 reinfection by a phylogenetically distinct strain , 2020, Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

[5]  A. Gylfason,et al.  Humoral Immune Response to SARS-CoV-2 in Iceland , 2020, The New England journal of medicine.

[6]  K. To,et al.  COVID-19 re-infection by a phylogenetically distinct SARS-coronavirus-2 strain confirmed by whole genome sequencing , 2020, Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

[7]  S. Perlman,et al.  Lessons for COVID-19 Immunity from Other Coronavirus Infections , 2020, Immunity.

[8]  Robert L. Goldstone,et al.  Pandemic peak SARS-CoV-2 infection and seroconversion rates in London frontline health-care workers , 2020, The Lancet.

[9]  Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan,et al.  Bayesian cure rate models induced by frailty in survival analysis , 2017, Statistical methods in medical research.

[10]  Christopher H. Jackson,et al.  Multi-State Models for Panel Data: The msm Package for R , 2011 .