Is big data risk assessment a novelty?

Abstract Objective: What metaphors, models and theories were developed in the safety science domain? And which research was based upon ‘big data’?Method: The study was confined to original articles and documents, written in English or Dutch from the period under consideration.Results and conclusions: From the start of the 20th century, human error was a dominant explanation for causes of occupational accidents. Although external factors were seen as main contributors, it was not till after World War II when scenario analysis was conducted in detail. The main drivers were the upscaling op the process industry in this period, as well as the introduction of high hazardous industries, like aerospace and nuclear sector, and consequently disasters occurring in these sectors. Already from the beginning, big data research was no exception in the safety science domain. ‘Big’ in this context is defined by numbers.

[1]  P. G. Moore.  Basic Operational Research , 1968 .

[2]  George L. Germain,et al.  Damage control : a new horizon in accident prevention and cost improvement , 1966 .

[3]  L. R. Palmer.  History of the Safety Movement , 1926 .

[4]  L.W.D. Cullen,et al.  The public inquiry into the Piper Alpha disaster , 1993 .

[5]  Emery R. Hayhurst,et al.  Industrial Accident Prevention, A Scientific Approach , 1932 .

[6]  I. Svedung,et al.  Graphic representation of accident scenarios: mapping system structure and the causation of accidents , 2002 .

[7]  Paul Swuste,et al.  Safety metaphors and theories, a review of the occupational safety literature of the US, UK and The Netherlands, till the first part of the 20th century , 2010 .

[8]  Alfred Baron Robens Robens.  Safety and health at work : report of the Committee, 1970-72 , 1972 .

[9]  L. Wohlgemuth,et al.  Occupational safety. , 2005, Nursing management.

[10]  Andrew R. Hale,et al.  A review of the industrial accident research literature , 1972 .

[11]  K. Roberts.  Some Characteristics of One Type of High Reliability Organization , 1990 .

[12]  J. E. Groves,et al.  Made in America: Science, Technology and American Modernist Poets , 1989 .

[13]  Frank W. Guldenmund,et al.  Understanding and Exploring Safety Culture , 2010 .

[14]  P. Swuste,et al.  Occupational safety theories, models and metaphors in the three decades since World War II, in the United States, Britain and the Netherlands: A literature review , 2014 .

[15]  L. T. C. Rolt,et al.  Red for danger : a history of railway accidents and railway safety precautions , 1955 .

[16]  Joseph H. Saleh,et al.  Highlights from the early (and pre-) history of reliability engineering , 2006, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

[17]  J CHARLES,et al.  The epidemiology of accidents. , 1954, The Practitioner.

[18]  John Calder.  The prevention of factory accidents : being an account of manufacturing industry and accident and a practical guide to the law on the safe-guarding, safe-working, and safe-construction of factory machinery, plant and premises , 1899 .

[19]  Ronny Lardner,et al.  Accidents in Perspective , 2005 .

[20]  D. Zohar.  Safety climate in industrial organizations: theoretical and applied implications. , 1980, The Journal of applied psychology.

[21]  Huw Beynon,et al.  Exploring the Industrial Subculture , 1973 .

[22]  Paul Swuste,et al.  Developments in the safety science domain, in the fields of general and safety management between 1970 and 1979, the year of the near disaster on Three Mile Island, a literature review , 2016 .

[23]  Robert M. Whaples.  Safety First: Technology, Labor, and Business in the Building of American Work Safety, 1870–1939 , 1998 .

[24]  Jens Rasmussen,et al.  Risk management in a dynamic society: a modelling problem , 1997 .

[25]  Dan S. Nielsen.  The cause/consequence diagram method as a basis for quantitative accident analysis , 1971 .

[26]  Jens Rasmussen,et al.  Human errors. a taxonomy for describing human malfunction in industrial installations , 1982 .

[27]  Robert L. Wears,et al.  Resilience Engineering: Concepts and Precepts , 2006, Quality and Safety in Health Care.

[28]  SARAH BUNNEY.  Red for Danger , 1969, Nature.

[29]  Frederick L. Hoffman.  Industrial Accidents and Industrial Diseases , 1909 .

[30]  W. T. Singleton.  Future trends in accident research in European countries , 1984 .

[31]  L.T.C. Geoffrey Kichenside Rolt.  Red for Danger , 1971 .

[32]  W. Haddon.  The changing approach to the epidemiology, prevention, and amelioration of trauma: the transition to approaches etiologically rather than descriptively based. , 1968, American journal of public health and the nation's health.

[33]  Jop Groeneweg,et al.  Promoting safety in the oil industry. The Ergonomics Society Lecture Presented at the Ergonomics Society Annual Conference, Edinburgh, 13-16 April 1993 , 1994 .

[34]  S. Kaplan,et al.  On The Quantitative Definition of Risk , 1981 .

[35]  Andrew Hale,et al.  10 years of the chair in safety science at the delft university of technology , 1997 .

[36]  Horace Middleton Vernon,et al.  Accidents and their Prevention , 1937, Nature.

[37]  Barry Turner,et al.  A Theory of Organization and Behavior in Batch Production Factories , 1972 .

[38]  J. L. Coze.  New models for new times. An anti-dualist move , 2013 .

[39]  Ute Hoffmann.  Techniques Of Safety Management , 2016 .

[40]  Karlene H. Roberts,et al.  The Self-Designing High-Reliability Organization: Aircraft Carrier Flight Operations at Sea , 1987 .

[41]  W. Haddon.  A NOTE CONCERNING ACCIDENT THEORY AND RESEARCH WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO MOTOR VEHICLE ACCIDENTS , 1963, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences.

[42]  David Okrent,et al.  Man-made disasters , 1998 .

[43]  K. Weick.  Organizational Culture as a Source of High Reliability , 1987 .

[44]  W. A. Kerr,et al.  Psychological climate and accidents in an automotive plant. , 1951 .

[45]  Hans J. Pasman,et al.  A review of the past, present and future of the European loss prevention and safety promotion in the process industries , 2014 .

[46]  Controlling the controllable : the management of safety , 1992 .

[47]  Urban Kjellén,et al.  The role of deviations in accident causation and control , 1984 .