Multiobjective robustness for portfolio optimization in volatile environments

Multiobjective methods are ideal for evolving a set of portfolio optimisation solutions that span a range from high-return/high-risk to low-return/low-risk, and an investor can choose her preferred point on the risk-return frontier. However, there are no guarantees that a low-risk solution will remain low-risk . if the environment changes, the relative positions of previously identified solutions may alter. A low-risk solution may become high-risk and vice versa. The robustness of a Multiobjective Genetic Programming (MOGP) algorithm such as SPEA2 is vitally important in the context of the real-world problem of portfolio optimisation. We explore robustness in this context, providing new definitions and a statistical measure to quantify the robustness of solutions. A new robustness measure is incorporated into a MOGP fitness function to bias evolution towards more robust solutions. This new system ("R-SPEA2") is compared against the original SPEA2 and we present our results.

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