Land Use Change Simulation Based on Case-based Reasoning Cellular Automata:A Case Study of Xianju County in Zhejiang Province

At present,CA is used regularly in simulating land use/cover change.Land use/cover change is a complex phenomenon influenced by many factors,so that CA is difficult to determine the transition rules in the simulation.Instead of the traditional methods in CA,the paper used Case-based Reasoning(CBR) to explain the knowledge and rules among the multi-factors driving the land use change.The land use changes of Xianju County from 1995 to 2005 were simulated,and the simulation accuracy reach to 87%.By predicting the land use changes of Xianju,it is found that the areas of construction land and farmland will increase in 2015.