SEISMIC HAZARD IN THE PANNONIAN REGION

Seismic hazard for single sites and hazard maps for the whole Pannonian region (44.0-50.0N; 13.0-28.0E) have been calculated. The hazard assessment was carried out using a probabilistic approach by incorporating a wide range of parameter values and viable interpretations that were consistent with the data. Alternative interpretations were described by branches of a logic tree. Each branch was weighted according to the ability of that interpretation to explain the available data. The resulting seismic hazard map describes expected shaking with a 475-year return period in terms of peak ground acceleration. Furthermore, some important contributors to seismic risk are highlighted, and a liquefaction hazard map is presented for the territory of Hungary.

[1]  B. Gutenberg,et al.  Frequency of Earthquakes in California , 1944, Nature.

[2]  C. Cornell Engineering seismic risk analysis , 1968 .

[3]  Vít Kárník,et al.  Seismicity of the European area , 1971 .

[4]  F. Horváth Neotectonic Behavior of the Alpine-Mediterranean Region: Chapter 4 , 1988 .

[5]  J. Dieterich A constitutive law for rate of earthquake production and its application to earthquake clustering , 1994 .

[6]  S. Cloetingh,et al.  Stress-induced late stage subsidence anomalies in the Pannonian Basin , 1996 .

[7]  J. Bommer,et al.  PREDICTION OF HORIZONTAL RESPONSE SPECTRA IN EUROPE , 1996 .

[8]  W. B. Joyner,et al.  Equations for Estimating Horizontal Response Spectra and Peak Acceleration from Western North American Earthquakes: A Summary of Recent Work , 1997 .

[9]  R. Youngs,et al.  Attenuation Relationships for Shallow Crustal Earthquakes Based on California Strong Motion Data , 1997 .

[10]  A. Rebez,et al.  Seismic hazard maps of Italy , 1998 .

[11]  G. Bada,et al.  Sources of recent tectonic stress in the Pannonian region:inferences from finite element modelling , 1998 .

[12]  G. Bada,et al.  Recent tectonic stress and crustal deformation in and around the Pannonian Basin: data and models , 1999, Geological Society, London, Special Publications.

[13]  R. Musson Probabilistic seismic hazard maps for the North Balkan region , 1999 .

[14]  D. Mayer-Rosa,et al.  Compilation of the GSHAP regional seismic hazard for Europe, Africa and the Middle East , 1999 .

[15]  G. Bada,et al.  Tertiary tectonic evolution of the Pannonian Basin system and neighbouring orogens: a new synthesis of palaeostress data , 1999, Geological Society, London, Special Publications.

[16]  G. Bada,et al.  Review of the present-day geodynamics of the Pannonian basin: progress and problems , 1999 .

[17]  A. Kenyeres,et al.  Present crustal deformation pattern in the Pancardi Region: Constraints from Space Geodesy , 2001 .

[18]  S. Cloetingh,et al.  Geothermics of the Pannonian basin and its bearing on the neotectonics. , 2001 .

[19]  L. Csontos,et al.  Geodynamics of SW-Pannonian inselbergs (Mecsek and Villany Mts., SW Hungary): inferences from a complex structural analysis. , 2001 .

[20]  M. Lew Liquefaction evaluation guidelines for practicing engineering and geological professionals and regulators , 2001 .

[21]  L. G.-Tóth,et al.  Seismicity in the Pannonian Region – earthquake data , 2001 .

[22]  Polona Zupančič,et al.  Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment Methodology for Distributed Seismicity , 2003 .

[23]  S. Stein,et al.  Characteristic and Uncharacteristic Earthquakes as Possible Artifacts: Applications to the New Madrid and Wabash Seismic Zones , 2003 .

[24]  Earthquake activity and hazard in the Carpathian Basin I , 2003 .

[25]  E. Tondi,et al.  Active faults: analysis, processes and monitoring , 2004 .