Pension fund management with hedging derivatives, stochastic dominance and nodal contamination

Abstract The main goal of a pension fund manager is sustainability. We propose an Asset and Liability Management model structured as a multi-stage stochastic programming problem adopting a discrete scenario tree and a multi-objective function. Among other constraints, we consider the second-order stochastic dominance with respect to a benchmark portfolio. To protect the pension fund from shocks, we test the inclusion of hedge financial contracts in the form of put options and, moreover, we stress the portfolio introducing a new scenario tree contamination technique, namely the nodal contamination. Numerical results show that we can efficiently manage the pension fund satisfying several targets such as liquidity, returns, sponsor’s extraordinary contribution and funding gap. Moreover, we test the sensitivity with respect to put option strikes and to the stochastic dominance constraints. Finally, we demonstrate the effect of the scenario tree contamination.

[1]  William T. Ziemba,et al.  The Russell-Yasuda Kasai, InnoALM and related models for pensions, insurance companies and high net worth individuals , 2008 .

[2]  Lars E. O. Svensson Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates: Sweden 1992-1994 , 1994, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[3]  M.A.H. Dempster,et al.  Object-oriented model integration in MIDAS (Manager's Intelligent Debt Advisory System) , 1989, [1989] Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Volume III: Decision Support and Knowledge Based Systems Track.

[4]  William T. Ziemba,et al.  Concepts, Technical Issues, and Uses of the Russell-Yasuda Kasai Financial Planning Model , 1998, Oper. Res..

[5]  Stavros A. Zenios,et al.  Stochastic-Programming Models for Portfolio Optimization with Mortgage-Backed Securities - Comprehen , 1993 .

[6]  E. Davis Portfolio regulation of life insurance companies and pension funds , 2000 .

[7]  William T. Ziemba,et al.  Formulation of the Russell-Yasuda Kasai Financial Planning Model , 1998, Oper. Res..

[8]  W. Ziemba,et al.  The Russell-Yasuda Kasai Model: An Asset/Liability Model for a Japanese Insurance Company Using Multistage Stochastic Programming , 1994 .

[9]  Milos Kopa,et al.  Individual optimal pension allocation under stochastic dominance constraints , 2018, Ann. Oper. Res..

[10]  J. Mulvey,et al.  Improving investment performance for pension plans , 2006 .

[11]  James R. Luedtke New Formulations for Optimization under Stochastic Dominance Constraints , 2008, SIAM J. Optim..

[12]  J. Mulvey An Asset-Liability Investment System , 1994 .

[13]  Thierry Post,et al.  Empirical Tests for Stochastic Dominance Efficiency , 2003 .

[14]  Vittorio Moriggia,et al.  Retirement planning in individual asset-liability management , 2012 .

[15]  Vittorio Moriggia,et al.  Optimal multistage defined-benefit pension fund management , 2018 .

[16]  A. Ruszczynski,et al.  Semi-infinite probabilistic optimization: first-order stochastic dominance constrain , 2004 .

[17]  H. Levy,et al.  Efficiency analysis of choices involving risk , 1969 .

[18]  Milos Kopa,et al.  Optimal pension fund composition for an Italian private pension plan sponsor , 2017, Comput. Manag. Sci..

[19]  J. Quirk,et al.  Admissibility and Measurable Utility Functions , 1962 .

[20]  S. Zenios,et al.  Handbook of asset and liability management: applications and case studies , 2007 .

[21]  Stavros A. Zenios,et al.  A stochastic programming model for funding single premium deferred annuities , 1996, Math. Program..

[22]  G.Ch. P ug,et al.  Dynamic Asset Allocation under Uncertainty for Pension Fund Management , 1998 .

[24]  William T. Ziemba,et al.  The Innovest Austrian Pension Fund Financial Planning Model InnoALM , 2008, Oper. Res..

[25]  Giorgio Consigli,et al.  Optimal Long-Term Property and Casualty ALM with Risk Capital control , 2012 .

[26]  Timo Kuosmanen,et al.  Efficient Diversification According to Stochastic Dominance Criteria , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[27]  A. M. Ireland,et al.  Object-oriented model integration in a financial decision support system , 1991, Decis. Support Syst..

[28]  Thierry Post,et al.  A general test for SSD portfolio efficiency , 2015, OR Spectr..

[29]  John M. Mulvey,et al.  An Asset and Liability Management System for Towers Perrin-Tillinghast , 2000, Interfaces.

[30]  Michael A. H. Dempster,et al.  MIDAS: An expert debt management advisory system , 1988 .

[31]  Giorgio Consigli,et al.  Dynamic stochastic programmingfor asset-liability management , 1998, Ann. Oper. Res..

[32]  S. Bradley,et al.  A Dynamic Model for Bond Portfolio Management , 1972 .

[33]  M. Dempster,et al.  Global Asset Liability Management , 2003, British Actuarial Journal.

[34]  Frank J. Fabozzi,et al.  OR PRACTICE - Assisting Defined-Benefit Pension Plans , 2008, Oper. Res..

[35]  Christian Gollier,et al.  Intergenerational Risk-Sharing and Risk-Taking of a Pension Fund , 2007, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[36]  Jitka Dupacová,et al.  Robustness of optimal portfolios under risk and stochastic dominance constraints , 2014, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[37]  Stavros A. Zenios,et al.  Asset/liability management under uncertainty for fixed-income securities , 1995, Ann. Oper. Res..

[38]  Darinka Dentcheva,et al.  Optimization with Stochastic Dominance Constraints , 2003, SIAM J. Optim..

[39]  Jacek Gondzio,et al.  Asset liability management modelling with risk control by stochastic dominance , 2010 .

[40]  Mary R. Hardy,et al.  Investment guarantees : modeling and risk management for equity-linked life insurance , 2003 .

[41]  Victor DeMiguel,et al.  Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy? , 2009 .

[42]  Jitka Dupacová,et al.  Robustness in stochastic programs with risk constraints , 2012, Ann. Oper. Res..

[43]  G. Consigli,et al.  Applying stochastic programming to insurance portfolios stress-testing , 2014 .

[44]  Josef Hadar,et al.  Rules for Ordering Uncertain Prospects , 1969 .

[45]  G. Consigli,et al.  Dynamic Portfolio Management for Property and Casualty Insurance , 2011 .

[46]  W. Ziemba,et al.  A dynamic model for asset liability management for defined benefit pension funds , 1996 .

[47]  William T. Ziemba,et al.  A Bank Asset and Liability Management Model , 1986, Oper. Res..

[48]  J. Mulvey,et al.  Improving performance for long-term investors: wide diversification, leverage, and overlay strategies , 2007 .

[49]  Stephen P. Bradley,et al.  Managing a Bank Bond Portfolio over Time , 1978 .