Impacts of agriculture and urbanization on the climate of the Northeastern United States

Abstract The climate sensitivity to specification of agricultural and urban land cover was investigated using the climate version of the Pennsylvania State University/National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5) for 1990 over northeastern United States. The simulations were for 5 yr at a spatial resolution of 36 km. Urbanization resulted in near-surface temperature increases of more than 1 K over the urban sites during both winter and summer. The increase in summer temperature due to urbanization was more widespread than that due to the effect of agricultural land use. The conversion of forest to agricultural land resulted in a decrease in temperature of more than 0.5 K during winter and an increase of more than 1 K during summer over the sites of perturbation. The reduced temperature during winter is related to snow cover. Agricultural lands are covered by snow while the trees in non-agricultural areas protrude through the snow, reducing the albedo of the surface. The warming during summer reflects reduced evaporation. Urbanization also reduces the diurnal temperature range (DTR) by about 0.4 K.

[1]  D. Pollard,et al.  A Global Climate Model (GENESIS) with a Land-Surface Transfer Scheme (LSX). Part I: Present Climate Simulation. , 1995 .

[2]  Jed O. Kaplan,et al.  Geophysical Applications of Vegetation Modeling , 2001 .

[3]  I. C. Prentice,et al.  BIOME3: An equilibrium terrestrial biosphere model based on ecophysiological constraints, resource availability, and competition among plant functional types , 1996 .

[4]  Timothy R. Oke,et al.  An objective urban heat storage model and its comparison with other schemes , 1991 .

[5]  H. Davies,et al.  Updating prediction models by dynamical relaxation - An examination of the technique. [for numerical weather forecasting] , 1977 .

[6]  S. Changnon Inadvertent Weather Modification in Urban Areas: Lessons for Global Climate Change , 1992 .

[7]  R. G. Semonin,et al.  METROMEX: an Investigation of Inadvertent Weather Modification , 1971 .

[8]  Matthias Roth,et al.  Effects of Cities on Local Climates , 2002 .

[9]  H. Pan,et al.  Nonlocal Boundary Layer Vertical Diffusion in a Medium-Range Forecast Model , 1996 .

[10]  D. Foster,et al.  Impact of Human Activity on Regional Forest Composition and Dynamics in Central New England , 1998, Ecosystems.

[11]  David R. Foster,et al.  Land-Use History as Long-Term Broad-Scale Disturbance: Regional Forest Dynamics in Central New England , 1998, Ecosystems.

[12]  G. Müller,et al.  The Scientific Basis , 1995 .

[13]  R. Pielke,et al.  Influence of landscape structure on local and regional climate , 1990, Landscape Ecology.

[14]  N. Tapper,et al.  Modeling the Winter Urban Heat Island Over Christchurch, New Zealand , 1981 .

[15]  R. Koster,et al.  Variance and Predictability of Precipitation at Seasonal-to-Interannual Timescales , 2000 .

[16]  K. K. Goldewijk Estimating global land use change over the past 300 years: The HYDE Database , 2001 .

[17]  T. Oke The energetic basis of the urban heat island , 1982 .

[18]  Valéry Masson,et al.  Modeling the Surface Energy Balance of the Core of an Old Mediterranean City: Marseille , 2004 .

[19]  Piers J. Sellers,et al.  A Global Climatology of Albedo, Roughness Length and Stomatal Resistance for Atmospheric General Circulation Models as Represented by the Simple Biosphere Model (SiB) , 1989 .

[20]  G. Brusasca,et al.  Numerical experiments on urban heat island intensity , 1989 .

[21]  J. Dudhia Numerical Study of Convection Observed during the Winter Monsoon Experiment Using a Mesoscale Two-Dimensional Model , 1989 .

[22]  N. Mölders,et al.  Impact of Urban Effects on Precipitation in High Latitudes , 2004 .

[23]  David Pollard,et al.  Greenland and Antarctic Mass Balances for Present and Doubled Atmospheric CO2 from the GENESIS Version-2 Global Climate Model , 1997 .

[24]  V. Masson,et al.  Investigating the Surface Energy Balance in Urban Areas – Recent Advances and Future Needs , 2002 .

[25]  J. Marshall Shepherd,et al.  Inclusion of Urban Landscape in a Climate Model: How Can Satellite Data Help? , 2005 .

[26]  D. Lawrence,et al.  Regions of Strong Coupling Between Soil Moisture and Precipitation , 2004, Science.

[27]  J. Marshall Shepherd,et al.  Linkages between the built urban environment and Earth's Climate System , 2004 .

[28]  J. Compton,et al.  LONG‐TERM IMPACTS OF AGRICULTURE ON SOIL CARBON AND NITROGEN IN NEW ENGLAND FORESTS , 2000 .

[29]  Cristina Milesi,et al.  U.S. constructed area approaches the size of Ohio , 2004 .

[30]  H. Briassoulis Analysis of Land Use Change: Theoretical and Modeling Approaches , 2000 .

[31]  D. Pollard,et al.  Regional Climate Change in East Asia Simulated by an Interactive Atmosphere–Soil–Vegetation Model , 2004 .

[32]  William P. Lowry,et al.  Empirical Estimation of Urban Effects on Climate: A Problem Analysis. , 1977 .

[33]  Jong‐Jin Baik,et al.  A DYNAMICAL MODEL FOR URBAN HEAT ISLANDS , 1997 .

[34]  R. Avissar Potential effects of vegetation on the urban thermal environment , 1996 .

[35]  P. Jonsson Vegetation as an urban climate control in the subtropical city of Gaborone, Botswana , 2004 .

[36]  G. Grell,et al.  A description of the fifth-generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5) , 1994 .

[37]  David Pollard,et al.  Use of a land-surface-transfer scheme (LSX) in a global climate model: the response to doubling stomatal resistance , 1995 .

[38]  Tim N. Palmer,et al.  Physical Climate Processes and Feedbacks , 2001 .

[39]  A. Arnfield Micro- and mesoclimatology , 1998 .

[40]  H. Diaz,et al.  Urbanization: Its Detection and Effect in the United States Climate Record , 1988 .

[41]  D. Pollard,et al.  Comparison of future climate change over North America simulated by two regional models , 2003 .

[42]  G. Fischer,et al.  Land-use and land-cover change. Science/research plan , 1995 .

[43]  Climate Scenarios for the Southeastern U.S. Based on GCM and Regional Model Simulations , 2003 .

[44]  William P. Lowry,et al.  Urban effects on precipitation amount , 1998 .

[45]  A. Arnfield Two decades of urban climate research: a review of turbulence, exchanges of energy and water, and the urban heat island , 2003 .

[46]  David S. Schimel,et al.  The climate system: an overview , 2001 .

[47]  János Unger,et al.  The relationship between built‐up areas and the spatial development of the mean maximum urban heat island in Debrecen, Hungary , 2005 .

[48]  Wolfgang Cramer,et al.  INCORPORATING DYNAMIC VEGETATION COVER WITHIN GLOBAL CLIMATE MODELS , 2000 .