The global NPP dependence on ENSO: La Niña and the extraordinary year of 2011

[1] Global ecosystems remove about 25% of anthropogenic CO2 emissions; however, the response of the land sink to climate variability and change is not yet fully understood. In 2011, the highest global value of net primary production (NPP) since 2000 was registered on the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer record, together with the highest value on the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center record of carbon land sink strength since 1959. Here we show that El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is responsible for much of the variability observed in the land sink and that the high NPP anomaly observed in 2011 was largely influenced by the strongest La Nina since the 1970s that lasted from late 2010 to early 2012. ENSO explains more than 40% of global NPP variability, mainly driven by the response of Southern Hemisphere ecosystems, particularly in tropical and subtropical regions. Water availability, controlled by temperature and precipitation anomalies, appears to be the main factor driving the regional response of NPP to ENSO.

[1]  C. Tucker,et al.  Climate-Driven Increases in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Production from 1982 to 1999 , 2003, Science.

[2]  M. Hoerling,et al.  ENSO variability, teleconnections and climate change , 2001 .

[3]  S. Mason,et al.  Probabilistic Precipitation Anomalies Associated with ENSO , 2001 .

[4]  Corinne Le Quéré,et al.  Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide , 2009 .

[5]  Maosheng Zhao,et al.  Drought-Induced Reduction in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Production from 2000 Through 2009 , 2010, Science.

[6]  C. Wirth,et al.  Reconciling Carbon-cycle Concepts, Terminology, and Methods , 2006, Ecosystems.

[7]  S. Ganguly,et al.  Amazon forests did not green‐up during the 2005 drought , 2009 .

[8]  Michael H. Glantz,et al.  ENSO as an Integrating Concept in Earth Science , 2006, Science.

[9]  P. Cox,et al.  Modeling the volcanic signal in the atmospheric CO2 record , 2001 .

[10]  P. Ciais,et al.  Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003 , 2005, Nature.

[11]  Atul K. Jain,et al.  The global carbon budget 1959-2011 , 2012 .

[12]  M. Raupach Carbon cycle: Pinning down the land carbon sink , 2011 .

[13]  Jessica Blunden,et al.  State of the Climate in 2011 , 2012 .

[14]  R. Steven Nerem,et al.  The 2011 La Niña: So strong, the oceans fell , 2012 .

[15]  M. Kanamitsu,et al.  NCEP–DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2) , 2002 .

[16]  S. Schubert,et al.  MERRA: NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications , 2011 .

[17]  P. Ciais,et al.  Net carbon dioxide losses of northern ecosystems in response to autumn warming , 2008, Nature.

[18]  Benjamin Smith,et al.  Too early to infer a global NPP decline since 2000 , 2012 .

[19]  J. Marengo Interdecadal variability and trends of rainfall across the Amazon basin , 2004 .

[20]  Molly O. Baringer,et al.  State of the Climate in 2009 , 2010 .

[21]  M. Heimann,et al.  Terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics and climate feedbacks , 2008, Nature.

[22]  Maosheng Zhao,et al.  A Continuous Satellite-Derived Measure of Global Terrestrial Primary Production , 2004 .

[23]  Jason P. Evans,et al.  Local sea surface temperatures add to extreme precipitation in northeast Australia during La Niña , 2012 .

[24]  A. Samanta,et al.  Comment on “Drought-Induced Reduction in Global Terrestrial Net Primary Production from 2000 Through 2009” , 2011, Science.

[25]  A. Huete,et al.  Amazon rainforests green‐up with sunlight in dry season , 2006 .

[26]  F. Woodward,et al.  Terrestrial Gross Carbon Dioxide Uptake: Global Distribution and Covariation with Climate , 2010, Science.

[27]  L. Gimeno,et al.  A multiscalar global evaluation of the impact of ENSO on droughts [WCRP Workshop-Talk] , 2011 .

[28]  Christopher B. Field,et al.  Biospheric Primary Production During an ENSO Transition , 2001, Science.

[29]  Nicolas Gruber,et al.  Trends and regional distributions of land and ocean carbon sinks , 2009 .

[30]  Pierre Friedlingstein,et al.  Carbon–climate feedbacks: a review of model and observation based estimates , 2010 .

[31]  J. B. Miller,et al.  Increase in observed net carbon dioxide uptake by land and oceans during the past 50 years , 2012, Nature.

[32]  R. Betts,et al.  Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century , 2004 .