Nonquantitative Methods in Water Resources Management

In water resources planning, problems often arise where consideration has to be given to intangible variables. If “quantitative” optimization techniques are used, assigning numeric values to the intangibles usually fails to account for them satisfactorily. Furthermore quantifying such factors can be classed under “unnatural” methods of analysis. This is particularly true in humanistic and societal decision making, where one has to make many kinds of ethical and value judgments. Quantitative optimization methods though precise, become hard to justify unless supplemented by subjective and other criteria. This paper examines the aforesaid problems and surveys alternative methods of analysis based upon “nonquantitative” (i.e., “non-numeric” and “quasi-numeric”) considerations of the variables. These methods include fuzzy set theory, metagame analysis, and pseudoboolean methods.