Dynamic Stochastic Models for Decision Making under Time Constraints

This paper introduces the multiattribute dynamic decision model (MADD) to describe both the dynamic and the stochastic nature of decision making. MADD is based on information processing models developed by Diederich. It belongs to the class of sequential comparison models and generalizes and extends the so-called decision field theory (DFT) of Busemeyer and Townsend. Describing the decision maker's choice behavior for multiattribute choice alternatives in an uncertain environment by a stochastic process, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, MADD predicts choice probabilities and mean choice response times when the decision maker has to respond within a given time limit. This paper outlines the prediction of two different versions of the model in detail. Copyright 1997 Academic Press

[1]  I. G. MacKenzie,et al.  Stochastic Processes with Applications , 1992 .

[2]  Ola Svenson,et al.  Judgment and decision making under time pressure: studies and findings , 1993 .

[3]  Franz Schmalhofer,et al.  STOCHASTIC CHOICE HEURISTICS , 1984 .

[4]  Gerhard H. Fischer,et al.  "Contributions to Mathematical Psychology, Psychometrics, and Methodology" , 1993 .

[5]  Adele Diederich,et al.  A Diffusion Model For Intersensory Facilitation of Reaction Time , 1994 .

[6]  J. Townsend,et al.  Decision field theory: a dynamic-cognitive approach to decision making in an uncertain environment. , 1993, Psychological review.

[7]  F. B. Vernadat,et al.  Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs , 1994 .

[8]  O. Svenson Process descriptions of decision making. , 1979 .

[9]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Adaptive Strategy Selection in Decision Making. , 1988 .

[10]  J. Busemeyer Decision making under uncertainty: a comparison of simple scalability, fixed-sample, and sequential-sampling models. , 1985, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[11]  T. Wallsten,et al.  Processing probabilistic multidimensional information for decisions. , 1982 .

[12]  A. Diederich Intersensory facilitation of reaction time: evaluation of counter and diffusion coactivation models , 1995 .

[13]  J. Hunt,et al.  Personality and the behavior disorders , 1944 .

[14]  Franz Schmalhofer,et al.  Cognitive Choice Processes and the Attitude-Behavior Relation , 1989 .

[15]  K. Lewin Field theory in social science , 1951 .

[16]  S. Levin Lectu re Notes in Biomathematics , 1983 .

[17]  Ola Svenson,et al.  On decision rules and information processing strategies for choices among multiattribute alternatives , 1976 .

[18]  Ola Svenson,et al.  Time pressure and stress in human judgment and decision making , 1993 .

[19]  Jean-Paul Caverni,et al.  Contributions to decision making , 1995 .

[20]  J. Townsend,et al.  Fundamental derivations from decision field theory , 1992 .

[21]  O. Svenson,et al.  Judgment and Decision Making Under Time Pressure , 1993 .

[22]  K. Lewin Die psychologische Situation bei Lohn und Strafe , 1931 .

[23]  R. L. Keeney,et al.  Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Trade-Offs , 1977, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[24]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  A componential analysis of cognitive effort in choice , 1990 .

[25]  Arnold Upmeyer Attitudes and behavioral decisions , 1989 .

[26]  L. Beach,et al.  A Contingency Model for the Selection of Decision Strategies , 1978 .

[27]  Gregory K. Miller,et al.  Elements of Applied Stochastic Processes , 1972 .