COMPARISON OF FIVE NUMERICAL METHODS FOR ESTIMATING WEIBULL PARAMETERS FOR WIND ENERGY APPLICATIONS IN THE DISTRICT OF KOUSSERI, CAMEROON

There is a crucial need in the Northern regions of Cameroon to enhance the development of wind technology and engineering, which can be considered to design and characterize Wind Energy Conversion Systems (WECS). The Weibull Probability Density Function (PDF) with two parameters is widely accepted and commonly utilized for modeling, characterizing and predicting wind resource and wind power, as well as assessing optimum performance of WECS. Therefore, it’s crucial to precisely estimate the scale and shape parameters for any candidate site. The statistical data of 28 years (1985-2013) wind speed measurements in the district of Kousseri were analyzed and the Weibull parameters determined. The performance of the proposed five methods was carried out based on the correlation coefficient R² and root mean square error (RMSE). The results established that the proposed five methods are effective in evaluating the parameters of the Weibull distribution for the available data. However, the most accurate models are the energy pattern factor method followed by the maximum likelihood method and the graphical method. The least precise models are the modified maximum likelihood method and the empirical method.

[1]  Carla Freitas de Andrade,et al.  Comparison of seven numerical methods for determining Weibull parameters for wind energy generation in the northeast region of Brazil , 2012 .

[2]  J. O'Brien,et al.  Weibull Statistics of Wind Speed over the Ocean , 1986 .

[3]  D. Deligiorgi,et al.  Analysis of the Wind Field at the Broader Area of Chania, Crete , 2007 .

[4]  R. Gasch,et al.  Introduction to Wind Energy , 2012 .

[5]  M. V. Roermund Introduction to wind energy – presentation to Min van Buza , 2015 .

[6]  W. R. Hargraves,et al.  Methods for Estimating Wind Speed Frequency Distributions. , 1978 .

[7]  M. J. Stevens,et al.  The estimation of the parameters of the Weibull wind speed distribution for wind energy utilization purposes , 1979 .

[8]  Dieudonné Kaoga Kidmo,et al.  Assessment of wind energy potential for small scale water pumping systems in the north region of Cameroon , 2013 .

[9]  F. Hocaoglu,et al.  Comparison of six different parameter estimation methods in wind power applications , 2011 .

[10]  W. R. Hargraves,et al.  Nationwide assessment of potential output from wind-powered generators , 1976 .

[11]  Paritosh Bhattacharya,et al.  A Study on Weibull Distribution for Estimating the Parameters , 2009 .

[12]  Oluseyi O. Ajayi,et al.  Assessment of Wind Power Potential and Wind Electricity Generation Using WECS of Two Sites in South West, Nigeria , 2011 .

[13]  F. C. Odo,et al.  Comparative Assessment of Three Models for Estimating Weibull Parameters for Wind Energy Applications in a Nigerian Location , 2012 .

[14]  Mukund Patel,et al.  Wind and Solar Power Systems , 1999 .

[15]  K. Conradsen,et al.  Review of Weibull Statistics for Estimation of Wind Speed Distributions , 1984 .

[16]  S. Parsa,et al.  Wind power statistics and an evaluation of wind energy density , 1995 .

[17]  Salahaddin A. Ahmed Comparative study of four methods for estimating Weibull parameters for Halabja, Iraq , 2013 .

[18]  Yves Gagnon,et al.  An Analysis of Wind Speed Distribution at Thasala, Nakhon Si Thammarat, Thailand , 2011 .