Loss of Agro‐Biodiversity, Uncertainty, and Perceived Control: A Comparative Risk Perception Study in Austria and China

The biogeographical centers of origin of important food crops-called Vavilov centers-are considered to be crucial sources of genetic diversity for present and future crop-breeding programs and thus for human food safety worldwide. Global environmental change and more intensified modes of crop production may cause genetic erosion (loss of traditional crop varieties and loss of crop wild relatives), especially in Vavilov centers. The present study focused on how the risk of genetic erosion (or loss of agro-biodiversity) is perceived in comparison to 16 other risk topics by experts and lay people in Austria and China. The most striking result was that genetic erosion was perceived to be an exceptionally unknown and uncertain risk topic, given that only genetically modified organisms (GMOs) were perceived as being even more uncertain. As a consequence of the high uncertainty, the idea of applying the precautionary principle to further prevent genetic erosion is discussed. An unprecedented finding-one that differs from Austrian participants-is that the Chinese have a higher perceived control over all risk topics. The increased perception of controllability in China is discussed in light of the theory of reflexive modernization. This theory strives to explain the increased critical attitude in Western countries such as Austria toward scientific innovations and toward the idea that everything can be calculated and mastered at will. By revealing different notions of risk perception, this research also provides additional scientific input to risk communication efforts for public education.

[1]  Maria Luísa Lima Percepção do risco sismico: Medo e ilusões de controlo , 1993 .

[2]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  The psychometric study of risk perception , 1986 .

[3]  Nigel Maxted,et al.  Plant Genetic Conservation: The in situ approach , 1997 .

[4]  Lennart Sjöberg,et al.  Attitudes and Risk Perceptions of Stakeholders in a Nuclear Waste Siting Issue , 2003, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[5]  Rae Zimmerman,et al.  Social Trust and the Management of Risk , 2006 .

[6]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Facts and Fears: Understanding Perceived Risk , 2005 .

[7]  N. I. Vavilov The problem of the origin of the world's agriculture in the light of the latest investigations. , 1931 .

[8]  A. C. Zeven,et al.  Dictionary of cultivated plants and their regions of diversity: excluding most ornamentals, forest trees and lower plants. , 1982 .

[9]  J Zhang,et al.  Environmental hazards in the Chinese public's eyes. , 1994, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[10]  E. Dais,et al.  Consequences of modernity in contemporary legal theory , 1998 .

[11]  Philipp Aerni,et al.  Public Attitudes towards Agricultural Biotechnology in Developing Countries A Comparison between Mexico and the Philippines , 2001 .

[12]  E. López-Vázquez,et al.  Risk perception, stress and coping strategies in two catastrophe risk situations , 2003 .

[13]  Ulrich Beck,et al.  World Risk Society , 1999 .

[14]  C F Keown,et al.  Risk perceptions of Hong Kongese vs. Americans. , 1989, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[15]  Clive James,et al.  Global review of commercialized transgenic crops , 2003 .

[16]  J. Harlan,et al.  The Living Fields: Our Agricultural Heritage. , 1996 .

[17]  Clive James,et al.  Global status of commercialized transgenic crops : 1999 , 1999 .

[18]  W. Sharpe Portfolio Theory and Capital Markets , 1970 .

[19]  J. Tao,et al.  Perception of Environmental Hazards in Hong Kong Chinese , 2003, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[20]  Jason C. Kinnell,et al.  Expert and Layperson Perceptions of Ecosystem Risk , 2000, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[21]  Zygmunt Bauman,et al.  Modernity and Ambivalence , 1990 .

[22]  F. Figge Bio-folio: applying portfolio theory to biodiversity , 2004, Biodiversity & Conservation.

[23]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Perception of Ecological Risk to Water Environments , 1997, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[24]  Etienne Mullet,et al.  Societal risks as seen by Chinese students living in Macao , 2001 .

[25]  S. Tanksley,et al.  Seed banks and molecular maps: unlocking genetic potential from the wild. , 1997, Science.

[26]  Johannes M.M. Engels,et al.  The past, present and future contributions of farmers to the conservation and development of genetic diversity. , 2002 .

[27]  Li-zhi Gao,et al.  The conservation of Chinese rice biodiversity: genetic erosion, ethnobotany and prospects , 2003, Genetic Resources and Crop Evolution.

[28]  L. Madden,et al.  Biological Attack on Agriculture: Low-Tech, High-Impact Bioterrorism , 2002 .

[29]  Helmut Knüpffer,et al.  In situ conservation of wild plants. , 1994 .

[30]  V. Rich Personal communication , 1989, Nature.

[31]  Toby Hodgkin,et al.  In situ conservation of crop wild relatives: status and trends , 2004, Biodiversity & Conservation.

[32]  Jeffrey Mervis,et al.  China Takes a Bumpy Road From the Lab to the Field , 2002, Science.

[33]  Kathrin Pascher,et al.  Ecological risk assessment of transgenic plant releases: an Austrian perspective , 1999, Biodiversity & Conservation.

[34]  J. Harlan,et al.  Agricultural Origins: Centers and Noncenters , 1971, Science.

[35]  Nigel Maxted,et al.  Plant Genetic Conservation , 2020, Springer Netherlands.

[36]  P. Campbell The (mis)Behavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Risk, Ruin, and Reward/Fractals and Scaling in Finance: Discontinuity, Concentration, Risk/Yale Alumni Magazine , 2005 .

[37]  R. Löfstedt,et al.  Social Trust and the Management of Risk , 1999 .

[38]  J. Harlan,et al.  Anatomy of Gene Centers , 1951, The American Naturalist.

[39]  Timothy Swanson,et al.  The reliance of northern economies on southern biodiversity: biodiversity as information , 1996 .

[40]  T. Alföldi,et al.  In situ conservation of agricultural biodiversity and organic farming - the basis for future food security. , 2000 .

[41]  H. Markowitz Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments , 1971 .

[42]  A. Stuart,et al.  Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments , 1959 .

[43]  G. Ladizinsky,et al.  Plant Evolution under Domestication , 1998, Springer Netherlands.

[44]  W. G. Wenzel,et al.  Rainfall and the prediction of sorghum yield in South Africa , 2003 .

[45]  Lennart Sjöberg,et al.  Explaining risk perception: an empirical evaluation of cultural theory , 1997 .

[46]  Richard Lotspeich,et al.  The Economics and Ecology of Biodiversity Decline , 1996 .

[47]  M. Birnbaum Human research and data collection via the internet. , 2004, Annual review of psychology.

[48]  Baruch Fischhoff,et al.  Judgment under uncertainty: Facts versus fears: Understanding perceived risk , 1982 .

[49]  N. Bronfman,et al.  Risk Perception in a Developing Country: The Case of Chile , 2003, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[50]  P. Slovic Perception of risk. , 1987, Science.

[51]  Lennart Sjöberg,et al.  World Views, Political Attitudes and Risk Perception , 1998 .

[52]  O. Villela,et al.  Vulnerability to global environmental change in natural ecosystems and rural areas: A question of lalitude? , 2001 .

[53]  R. C. Schwing,et al.  Societal Risk Assessment: How Safe is Safe Enough? , 1980 .

[54]  Daniel Lee Kleinman,et al.  The Plant Germplasm Controversy , 1987 .

[55]  Z Jianguang Environmental hazards in the Chinese public's eyes. , 1993, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[56]  John Magrath,et al.  Crisis in Southern Africa , 2002 .