Value of Time by Time of Day: A Stated-Preference Study

This paper proposes an alternative, dynamic framework for estimating time-varying values of travel time savings and values of schedule delay, in which time-preferences are represented as the time-varying excess-willingness-to-pay (EWPT) to being in the one location, over being elsewhere. It is shown how the conventional linear model, with time-independent values of travel time savings and schedule delay costs, is a special case of our model, and that it is implausible particularly in that it implicitly assumes that the willingness to pay for spending a minute at home instead of being in the vehicle does not vary by time of day, even not for very early departures. The framework is applied to SP data representing the respondents' departure time choices for the morning commute. The results suggest that individuals' time-related shadow prices indeed vary strongly over the morning peak, and values of travel time savings are consequently strongly time-dependent, following plausible and intuitive patterns.

[1]  K. Train,et al.  Mixed Logit with Repeated Choices: Households' Choices of Appliance Efficiency Level , 1998, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[2]  W. Vickrey Congestion Theory and Transport Investment , 1969 .

[3]  Lothlorien S. Redmond,et al.  The positive utility of the commute: modeling ideal commute time and relative desired commute amount , 2001 .

[4]  A. Deserpa A Theory of the Economics of Time , 1971 .

[5]  M. B. Johnson TRAVEL TIME AND THE PRICE OF LEISURE , 1966 .

[6]  J. Bates Measuring Travel Time Values with a Discrete Choice Model: A Note , 1987 .

[7]  C. Winston,et al.  UNCOVERING THE DISTRIBUTION OF MOTORISTS' PREFERENCES FOR TRAVEL TIME AND RELIABILITY : IMPLICATIONS FOR ROAD PRICING , 2002 .

[8]  Robert B. Noland,et al.  Travel-time uncertainty, departure time choice, and the cost of morning commutes , 1995 .

[9]  Kenneth A. Small,et al.  THE SCHEDULING OF CONSUMER ACTIVITIES: WORK TRIPS , 1982 .

[10]  C. Oort,et al.  THE EVALUATION OF TRAVELLING TIME , 1969 .

[11]  Barry Ubbels,et al.  Value of time , schedule delay and reliability Estimation results of a Stated Choice experiment among Dutch commuters facing congestion , 2005 .

[12]  Michiel C.J. Bliemer,et al.  Valuation of uncertainty in travel time and arrival time - some findings from a choice experiment , 2005 .

[13]  Erik T. Verhoef,et al.  Value of time, schedule delay and reliability - estimates based on choice behaviour of Dutch commuters facing congestion , 2005 .

[14]  A. Palma,et al.  A STRUCTURAL MODEL OF PEAK-PERIOD CONGESTION: A TRAFFIC BOTTLENECK WITH ELASTIC DEMAND. IN: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN TRANSPORT ECONOMICS , 1993 .

[15]  Mark Doty,et al.  The computational complexity of nash equilibria in concisely represented games , 2006, EC '06.

[16]  Henry X. Liu,et al.  Estimation of the Time-dependency of Values of Travel Time and Its Reliability from Loop Detector Data , 2007 .

[17]  Chandra R. Bhat,et al.  The Impact of Stop-Making and Travel Time Reliability on Commute Mode Choice , 2006 .

[18]  John W. Polak,et al.  Utility of Schedules: Theoretical Model of Departure-Time Choice and Activity-Time Allocation with Application to Individual Activity Schedules , 2004 .

[19]  Hjp Harry Timmermans,et al.  Modeling Departure Time Choice in the Context of Activity Scheduling Behavior , 2003 .