Is It Ever Too Late to Study? The Economic Returns on Late Tertiary Degrees in Sweden.

This paper addresses the economic returns on tertiary degrees obtained in ages above 30 for individuals with upper-secondary schooling in light of current ideas on lifelong learning. Sweden is a case in point: Swedish tertiary education is open to older students, and labor market legislation supports employees who take a leave to study. The longitudinal data used for this analysis is based on annual population level registers from 1981 to 2007. Matching techniques are combined with fixed effect estimation to account for non-random selection. Late degrees were found to increase the employment rate by 18 percentage points and earnings while employed by 12 percent, which indicates strong employment effects and small effects on earnings while employed. The effects were absent in the higher parts of the earnings distribution, and females gained more than men. The estimated effects are largely stable across periods within a birth cohort.

[1]  Oecd Ocde Education At A Glance , 2005 .

[2]  David Kantor MAHAPICK: Stata module to select matching observations based on a Mahalanobis distance measure , 2006 .

[3]  Jeffrey M. Wooldridge,et al.  Solutions Manual and Supplementary Materials for Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data , 2003 .

[4]  J. Monks The impact of college timing on earnings , 1997 .

[5]  Richard K. Crump,et al.  Dealing with limited overlap in estimation of average treatment effects , 2009 .

[6]  R. Blundell,et al.  Evaluation Methods for Non‐Experimental Data , 2005 .

[7]  A. Stenberg Using Longitudinal Data to Evaluate Publicly Provided Formal Education for Low Skilled. , 2011 .

[8]  Qian Liu,et al.  Mind the Gap? Estimating the Effects of Postponing Higher Education , 2006, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[9]  Erik Lindqvist,et al.  The Labor Market Returns to Cognitive and Noncognitive Ability: Evidence from the Swedish Enlistment , 2009 .

[10]  J. Angrist,et al.  Empirical Strategies in Labor Economics , 1998 .

[11]  Louis S. Jacobson,et al.  The Impact of Community College Retraining on Older Displaced Workers: Should We Teach Old Dogs New Tricks? , 2005 .

[12]  R. Lalonde,et al.  Estimating the Returns to Community College Schooling for Displaced Workers , 2001, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[13]  Martin Hällsten Late Entry in Swedish Tertiary Education: Can the Opportunity of Lifelong Learning Promote Equality Over the Life Course? , 2011 .

[14]  B. Carlstedt Cognitive abilities - aspects of structure, process and measurement , 2000 .

[15]  Graham Warwick,et al.  Going for growth , 2010, Nature.

[16]  D. Treiman,et al.  A standard international socio-economic index of occupational status , 1992 .

[17]  Joshua D. Angrist,et al.  Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion , 2008 .

[18]  O. Ashenfelter,et al.  Estimating the Effect of Training Programs on Earnings , 1976 .

[19]  A. Stenberg Does adult education at upper secondary level influence annual wage earnings , 2007 .

[20]  Audrey Light The Effects of Interrupted Schooling on Wages. , 1995 .

[21]  Stanley P. Stephenson From School To Work , 1979 .

[22]  S. Morgan,et al.  Matching Estimators of Causal Effects , 2006 .

[23]  J. Goldthorpe,et al.  The Constant Flux: A Study of Class Mobility in Industrial Societies , 1993 .

[24]  A. Stenberg Upgrading the Low Skilled: Is Public Provision of Formal Education a Sensible Policy? , 2009 .

[25]  M. Frenette Access to College and University: Does Distance to School Matter? , 2004 .

[26]  D. Rubin Bias Reduction Using Mahalanobis-Metric Matching , 1980 .

[27]  C. Dougherty The Marriage Earnings Premium as a Distributed Fixed Effect , 2006, The Journal of Human Resources.

[28]  Steven Glazerman,et al.  Nonexperimental Versus Experimental Estimates of Earnings Impacts , 2003 .

[29]  M. Silles Adult Education and Earnings: Evidence from Britain , 2007 .

[30]  Gunnar Isacsson,et al.  Estimating the economic return to educational levels using data on twins , 2004 .

[31]  J. Antelius,et al.  How Reliable are Register Data for Studies of the Return on Schooling? An examination of Swedish data , 2000 .

[32]  Anna Vignoles,et al.  The determinants and labour market effects of lifelong learning , 2003 .

[33]  Björn Öckert What's the value of an acceptance letter? Using admissions data to estimate the return to college , 2010 .

[34]  Greg J. Duncan,et al.  The incidence and wage effects of overeducation , 1981 .

[35]  Jeffrey A. Smith,et al.  Does Matching Overcome Lalonde's Critique of Nonexperimental Estimators? , 2000 .