Study of Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Adaptive Grey Prediction Method

With the wind power developing fast in the world, the large scale of wind power integration in power system leads to great challenges, and the wind power forecasting will play a key role in dealing with these challenges. A wind power short-term forecasting method based on grey system is introduced in this paper. Firstly, a basic model of grey prediction method is given. Then, in order to smoothen the basic data for the grey modeling, a self adaptive grey prediction method is developed. Finally, the result of prediction for a test system of wind power are presented and the effectiveness of the method given by the paper has been proved.