A Frequency Selective Filter for Short-Length Time Series

An effective and easy-to-implement frequency filter is proposed, obtained by convolving a raised-cosine window with the ideal rectangular filter response function. Three other filters, Hodrick–Prescott, Baxter–King, and Christiano–Fitzgerald, are thoroughly reviewed. A bandpass version of the Hodrick–Prescott filter is also introduced and used. The behavior of the windowed filter is compared to the others through their frequency responses and by applying them to both quarterly and monthly artificial, known-structure series and real macroeconomic data. The windowed filter has almost no leakage and is better than the others at eliminating high-frequency components. Its response in the passband is significantly flatter, and its behavior at low frequencies ensures a better removal of undesired long-term components. These improvements are particularly evident when working with short-length time series, which are common in macroeconomics. The proposed filter is stationary and symmetric, therefore, it induces no phase-shift. It uses all the information contained in the input data and stationarizes series integrated up to order two. It thus proves to be a good candidate for extracting frequency-defined series components.

[1]  Alan V. Oppenheim,et al.  Discrete-Time Signal Pro-cessing , 1989 .

[2]  R. Hamming Digital filters (3rd ed.) , 1989 .

[3]  D. B. Preston Spectral Analysis and Time Series , 1983 .

[4]  A. Haldane,et al.  UK Phillips curves and monetary policy , 1999 .

[5]  Sergio Rebelo,et al.  Low Frequency Filtering And Real Business Cycles , 1993 .

[6]  Harald Uhlig,et al.  On Adjusting the Hodrick-Prescott Filter for the Frequency of Observations , 2002, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[7]  C. K. Yuen,et al.  Digital Filters , 1979, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics.

[8]  C. Granger,et al.  Spectral Analysis for Economic Time Series , 1964 .

[9]  Clive W. J. Granger,et al.  The typical spectral shape of an economic variable , 1966 .

[10]  Marianne Baxter,et al.  Measuring Business Cycles: Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series , 1995, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[11]  Luca Benati Band-Pass Filtering, Cointegration, and Business Cycle Analysis , 2001 .

[12]  Víctor Gómez The Use of Butterworth Filters for Trend and Cycle Estimation in Economic Time Series , 2001 .

[13]  J. Stock,et al.  Business Cycle Fluctuations in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series , 1998 .

[14]  C. Murray Cyclical Properties of Baxter-King Filtered Time Series , 2003, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[15]  A. Harvey,et al.  General Model-Based Filters for Extracting Cycles and Trends in Economic Time Series , 2003, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[16]  E. Prescott,et al.  Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation , 1997 .

[17]  D. G. Watts,et al.  Spectral analysis and its applications , 1968 .

[18]  M. Watson Measures of Fit for Calibrated Models , 1991, Journal of Political Economy.

[19]  L. Hurwicz,et al.  Measuring Business Cycles. , 1946 .

[20]  M. Ravn,et al.  On Adjusting the Hp-Filter for the Frequency of Observations , 2001, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[21]  T. Mills Modelling Trends and Cycles in Economic Time Series , 2003, Palgrave Texts in Econometrics.

[22]  M. Nerlove SPECTRAL ANALYSIS OF SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT PROCEDURES , 1964 .

[23]  Andrew Harvey,et al.  Trend estimation, signal-noise ratios and the frequency of observations , 2004 .