Agenda Setting, Public Opinion, and the Issue of Immigration Reform

Objective. Agenda-setting theory is used to motivate hypotheses about how media coverage of immigration influences public perceptions of its importance. The authors seek to offer a more complete explanation of public opinion on immigration by exploring differences in the effects of immigration news in border and nonborder states. Method. This article employs content analyses of newspaper coverage of immigration and Gallup public opinion data over a 12-month period (January‐ December 2006). Respondents’ identification of immigration as a ‘‘Most Important Problem’’ is modeled as a conditional relationship between border state/nonborder state residence and media coverage, ethnic context, and individual-level demographics. Results. Media attention to immigration is greater in border states than in nonborder states; as a result, residents of border states are more likely to identify immigration as a most important problem than are residents of nonborder states. Conclusions. The analyses point to the importance of geography and news coverage in explanations of public opinion on immigration. The public’s attitude toward immigration has traditionally been different for those residing in states that share a border with Mexico and those living in nonborder states. Extant survey research, which focuses primarily on Anglo attitudes (Alvarez and Buttereld, 2000; Johnson, Stein, and Wrinkle, 2003), reveals that individuals residing in border states consistently rate immigration as one of the ‘‘most important problems facing the nation,’’ relative to individuals residing in nonborder states. However, immediately following the 2006 spike in national media attention toward immigration reform and the wave of immigration protests nationwide, public opinion polls revealed that national public opinion regarding immigration surged to

[1]  Dhavan V. Shah,et al.  Issue Dualism, Journalistic Frames, and Opinions on Controversial Policy Issues , 2008 .

[2]  Language Choice, Residential Stability, and Voting Among Latino Americans* , 2003 .

[3]  D. Green,et al.  Public Opinion Toward Immigration Reform: The Role of Economic Motivations , 1997, The Journal of Politics.

[4]  Jan E. Leighley Strength in Numbers? The Political Mobilization of Racial and Ethnic Minorities. , 2001 .

[5]  Jonathan N. Katz,et al.  Beyond Ordinary Logit: Taking Time Seriously in Binary Time-Series-Cross-Section Models , 1997 .

[6]  Kyu S. Hahn,et al.  Consumer Demand for Election News: The Horserace Sells , 2004, The Journal of Politics.

[7]  Michael R. Alvarez,et al.  The Resurgence of Nativism in California? The Case of Proposition 187 and Illegal Immigration , 1998 .

[8]  David Domke,et al.  News Media, Racial Perceptions, and Political Cognition , 1999 .

[9]  S. Iyengar Is anyone responsible? How television frames political issues. , 1991 .

[10]  Donald P. Green,et al.  American Identity and the Politics of Ethnic Change , 1990, The Journal of Politics.

[11]  Carol M. Liebler,et al.  Place, Distance, and Environmental News: Geographic Variation in Newspaper Coverage of nthe Spotted Owl Conflict , 1999 .

[12]  J. Dunaway,et al.  Spatial Proximity to the U.S.—Mexico Border and Newspaper Coverage of Immigration Issues , 2009 .

[13]  Jonathan Nagler,et al.  Scobit: An Alternative Estimator to Logit and Probit , 1994 .

[14]  B. Jones,et al.  Agendas and instability in American politics , 1993 .

[15]  Ronald D. Sylvia,et al.  Thresholds for tolerance: the impact of racial and ethnic population composition on the vote for california propositions 187 and 209 , 2004 .

[16]  Wendy Gregory,et al.  Dealing with Diversity , 1996 .

[17]  Otto Santa Ana `Like an Animal I was Treated': Anti-Immigrant Metaphor in US Public Discourse , 1999 .

[18]  D. Green,et al.  The "Official English" Movement and the Symbolic Politics of Language in the United States , 1990 .

[19]  W. C. Adams Whose Lives Count?: TV Coverage of Natural Disasters. , 1986 .

[20]  Dhavan V. Shah,et al.  Framing Policy Debates , 2008, Commun. Res..

[21]  C. Eyal,et al.  Agenda Setting for the Civil Rights Issue , 1981 .

[22]  J. Rauch,et al.  All the News That's Fit to Sell: How the Market Transforms Information Into News , 2006 .

[23]  James N. Druckman,et al.  Political Preference Formation: Competition, Deliberation, and the (Ir)relevance of Framing Effects , 2004, American Political Science Review.

[24]  David P. Redlawsk,et al.  Advantages and Disadvantages of Cognitive Heuristics in Political Decision Making , 2001 .

[25]  S. Martin Proximity of Event as Factor in Selection of News Sources , 1988 .

[26]  D. Rucinski The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion. , 1994 .

[27]  James G. Gimpel,et al.  Economic Insecurity, Prejudicial Stereotypes, and Public Opinion on Immigration Policy , 2000 .

[28]  Wenmouth Williams,et al.  The Agenda-Setting Function of the Mass Media in a Signal Starved Market. , 1976 .

[29]  Kathleen Garces-Foley The Dividing Lines , 2007 .

[30]  S. Iyengar,et al.  Prime Suspects: The Influence of Local Television News on the Viewing Public , 2000 .

[31]  Thomas E. Nelson,et al.  Media Framing of a Civil Liberties Conflict and Its Effect on Tolerance , 1997, American Political Science Review.

[32]  T. Espenshade,et al.  An analysis of public opinion toward undocumented immigration , 1993 .

[33]  GangHeong Lee Reconciling ‘Cognitive Priming’ vs ‘Obtrusive Contingency’ Hypotheses , 2004 .

[34]  S. Coutin,et al.  “Your friend, the illegal:” Definition and paradox in newspaper accounts of U.S. immigration reform , 1995 .

[35]  S. Iyengar,et al.  News That Matters: Television and American Opinion , 1987 .

[36]  Nicholas A. Valentino,et al.  What Triggers Public Opposition to Immigration? Anxiety, Group Cues, and Immigration Threat , 2008 .

[37]  Charles Prysby,et al.  Political Behavior and the Local Context , 1991 .

[38]  Shanto Iyengar,et al.  Crime in Black and White , 1996 .

[39]  Johanna Dunaway,et al.  Markets, Ownership, and the Quality of Campaign News Coverage , 2008, The Journal of Politics.

[40]  W. Cornelius Interviewing Undocumented Immigrants: Methodological Reflections Based on Fieldwork in Mexico and the U. S. , 1982, The International migration review.

[41]  Nathaniel Beck,et al.  Taking Time Seriously: Time-Series-Cross-Section Analysis with a Binary Dependent Variable , 1998 .

[42]  Carl Sessions Stepp Market-Driven Journalism: Let the Citizen Beware? , 1996 .

[43]  Caroline J. Tolbert,et al.  Dealing with Diversity: Racial/Ethnic Context and Social Policy Change , 2001 .

[44]  Regina Branton,et al.  Slanted Newspaper Coverage of Immigration: The Importance of Economics and Geography , 2009 .

[45]  M. Baum,et al.  Crossing the Water's Edge: Elite Rhetoric, Media Coverage and the Rally-Round-the-Flag Phenomenon, 1979-2003 , 2007 .

[46]  John W. Kingdon Agendas, alternatives, and public policies , 1984 .

[47]  D. Shaw,et al.  Agenda setting function of mass media , 1972 .

[48]  D. Graber,et al.  Mass media and American politics , 1980 .

[49]  Irwin L. Morris,et al.  Give Us Your Tired, Your Poor, ... But Make Sure They Have a Green Card: The Effects of Documented and Undocumented Migrant Context on Anglo Opinion Toward Immigration , 1998 .

[50]  G. Dillingham,et al.  Anglo Voting on Nativist Ballot Initiatives: The Partisan Impact of Spatial Proximity to the U.S.-Mexico Border , 2007 .

[51]  P. J. Huber The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates under nonstandard conditions , 1967 .

[52]  W. Mishler,et al.  Public opinion toward new migrants: a comparative. , 1983, International migration.

[53]  Marisa A. Abrajano,et al.  Examining the Link Between Issue Attitudes and News Source: The Case of Latinos and Immigration Reform , 2007 .

[54]  Harvey Molotch,et al.  Accidental News: The Great Oil Spill as Local Occurrence and National Event , 1975, American Journal of Sociology.

[55]  Cindy D. Kam,et al.  Modeling and Interpreting Interactive Hypotheses in Regression Analysis , 2007 .

[56]  Thomas Brambor,et al.  Understanding Interaction Models: Improving Empirical Analyses , 2006, Political Analysis.

[57]  Rhonda Gibson,et al.  The Agenda-Setting Function of National Versus Local Media: A Time-Series Analysis for the Issue of Same-Sex Marriage , 2007 .

[58]  Irwin L. Morris,et al.  ? Amigo o Enemigo ? : Context, attitudes, and Anglo public opinion toward immigration , 1997 .

[59]  Issue Obtrusiveness and the Agenda-Setting Effects of National Network News , 1989 .

[60]  J. Dunaway,et al.  English‐ and Spanish‐Language Media Coverage of Immigration: A Comparative Analysis , 2008 .