Median Arterial Bus Lane Operation Analysis Using the Downs-Thomson Paradox Theory

The purpose of the paper is to analyze an effectiveness before and after implementation of the median arterial bus lanes operation. The paper includes a speed analysis based on the Downs-Thomson Paradox theory, and a reliability analysis based on variance analysis of arrival time. According to the speed analysis, some road sections are now under phase 2 according to the Downs-Thomson Paradox, which is a state in which the bus speeds are greater than the car speeds. In the future it is predicted that cars and buses will reach an equilibrium speed which is in phase 3 of the multi-modal equilibrium theory. According to the reliability analysis of arrival time at each bus stop, in roads of median arterial bus lanes. the variance of arrival time is generally smaller than after the scheme implemented in eight months later.