Assessing Framing of Uncertainties in Water Management Practice

Dealing with uncertainties in water management is an important issue and is one which will only increase in light of global changes, particularly climate change. So far, uncertainties in water management have mostly been assessed from a scientific point of view, and in quantitative terms. In this paper, we focus on the perspectives from water management practice, adopting a qualitative approach. We consider it important to know how uncertainties are framed in water management practice in order to develop practice relevant strategies for dealing with uncertainties. Framing refers to how people make sense of the world. With the aim of identifying what are important parameters for the framing of uncertainties in water management practice, in this paper we analyze uncertainty situations described by decision-makers in water management. The analysis builds on a series of “Uncertainty Dialogues” carried out within the NeWater project with water managers in the Rhine, Elbe and Guadiana basins in 2006. During these dialogues, representatives of these river basins were asked what uncertainties they encountered in their professional work life and how they confronted them. Analysing these dialogues we identified several important parameters of how uncertainties get framed. Our assumption is that making framing of uncertainty explicit for water managers will allow for better dealing with the respective uncertainty situations.

[1]  David N. Ford,et al.  Mental models concepts for system dynamics research , 1998 .

[2]  Robert Kramer,et al.  Collaborating: Finding Common Ground for Multiparty Problems , 1990 .

[3]  C. Mcculloch,et al.  Integrating Research for Water Management: Synergy or Dystopia? , 2007 .

[4]  M. Hare,et al.  Stakeholder Categorisation in Participatory Integrated Assessment Processes , 2002 .

[5]  Barbara Gray,et al.  Disentangling Approaches to Framing: Mapping the Terrain , 2005 .

[6]  D. North,et al.  Elements of Reason: Shared Mental Models: Ideologies and Institutions , 1994 .

[7]  Claudia Pahl-Wostl,et al.  The role of uncertainty, ambiguity and framing in transition to adaptive management. About knowing too little, accepting not to know and knowing too differently. Deliverable of the EU 6th FP NeWater project , 2008 .

[8]  Sanda Kaufman,et al.  FRAMING AND REFRAMING IN LAND USE CHANGE CONFLICTS , 1999 .

[9]  K. Weick FROM SENSEMAKING IN ORGANIZATIONS , 2021, The New Economic Sociology.

[10]  Peter Cebon,et al.  Views from the Alps : regional perspectives on climate change , 1998 .

[11]  Yeou-Koung Tung,et al.  Decision-making in Water Management under Uncertainty , 2008 .

[12]  Len Ackland,et al.  Communicating Uncertainty: Media Coverage of New and Controversial Science , 2000 .

[13]  Wim J. de Lange,et al.  Uncertainty Matters: Computer Models at the Science–Policy Interface , 2007 .

[14]  C. Pahl-Wostl,et al.  Social Learning and Water Resources Management , 2007 .

[15]  Claudia Pahl-Wostl,et al.  Towards a relational concept of uncertainty in adaptive water management: about knowing too little, knowing too differently, and accepting not to know: Paper presented at the 14th International Conference on Multi-Organizational Partnerships, Alliances and Networks , 2007 .

[16]  Joop Koppenjan,et al.  Managing Complex Networks: Strategies for the Public Sector , 1997 .

[17]  C Pahl-Wostl,et al.  Integrated management of natural resources: dealing with ambiguous issues, multiple actors and diverging frames. , 2005, Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research.

[18]  Donald A. Schön,et al.  Frame Reflection: Toward The Resolution Of Intractable Policy Controversies , 1994 .

[19]  Tharsi Taillieu,et al.  Multi‐party collaboration as social learning for interdependence: developing relational knowing for sustainable natural resource management , 2004 .

[20]  S. French Planning under Pressure: The Strategic Choice Approach , 1988 .

[21]  Barrie Needham Friend, J. K. and Hickling, A., "Planning under Pressure: The Strategic Choice Approach" (Book Review) , 1989 .

[22]  Barbara Gray,et al.  Disentangling approaches to framing in conflict and negotiation research: A meta-paradigmatic perspective , 2009 .

[23]  R. Lewicki,et al.  Making Sense of Intractable Environmental Conflicts: Concepts and Cases , 2003 .

[24]  Bernd Klauer,et al.  Conceptualising imperfect knowledge in public decision-making: ignorance, uncertainty, error and risk situations , 2004 .

[25]  W. Walker,et al.  Defining Uncertainty: A Conceptual Basis for Uncertainty Management in Model-Based Decision Support , 2003 .

[26]  Schneider,et al.  All Frames Are Not Created Equal: A Typology and Critical Analysis of Framing Effects. , 1998, Organizational behavior and human decision processes.