A review of sub-regional population projection methods

[1]  Andrew M. Isserman,et al.  The right people the right rates: making population estimates and forecasts with an interregional cohort-component model. , 1993 .

[2]  W. Wascher,et al.  The demise of California reconsidered: interstate migration over the economic cycle , 1995 .

[3]  Aditya Agrawal,et al.  Areal Interpolation of Population Counts Using Pre-classified Land Cover Data , 2007 .

[4]  Andrei Rogers,et al.  Spatial Population Analysis: Methods and Computer Programs , 1978 .

[5]  Philip Rees,et al.  Spatial population analysis , 1978 .

[6]  R. Engelman,et al.  Projecting a Gridded Population of the World Using Ratio Methods of Trend Extrapolation , 2011 .

[7]  Jacob S. Siegel,et al.  Applied Demography: Applications to Business, Government, Law, and Public Policy , 2001 .

[8]  M. Greenwood,et al.  Forecasting State and Local Population Growth with Limited Data: The Use of Employment—Migration Relationships and Trends in Vital Rates , 1991, Environment & planning A.

[9]  S K Smith,et al.  An evaluation of population projection errors for census tracts. , 1995, Journal of the American Statistical Association.

[10]  J. Hajnal,et al.  THE PROSPECTS FOR POPULATION FORECASTS , 1955 .

[11]  Frans Willekens,et al.  A multiregional model for regional demographic projection , 1984 .

[13]  Yan Liu,et al.  Modelling Urban Development with Geographical Information Systems and Cellular Automata , 2008 .

[14]  Alessandro Valentini,et al.  Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy , 2006 .

[15]  Xu Zhou,et al.  Small-area population forecasting in an urban setting: a spatial regression approach , 2011 .

[16]  E. Frees.  Bureau of the Census Statistical Research Division Report Series Forecasting State-to-state Migration Rates , 2022 .

[17]  S Openshaw,et al.  Small area population forecasting: some experience with British models. , 1983, Tijdschrift voor economische en sociale geografie = Journal of economic and social geography = Revue de geographie economique et humaine = Zeitschrift fur okonomische und soziale Geographie = Revista de geografia economica y social.

[18]  S K Smith,et al.  Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states. , 1992, International journal of forecasting.

[19]  Tom Wilson,et al.  Recent developments in population projection methodology: a review , 2005 .

[20]  Rodolfo Baggio,et al.  Demographic modelling: the state of the art , 2010 .

[21]  G. Clark.  Dynamics of Interstate Labor Migration , 1982 .

[23]  P Rees,et al.  Problems and solutions in forecasting geographical populations , 1997, Journal of the Australian Population Association.

[24]  John Taylor.  Anangu population dynamics and future growth in Uluru-Kata Tjuta National Park , 2001 .

[25]  Spatial-Dynamic Population Systems: Analysis and Projection , 1994, Environment & planning A.

[26]  Sophie Pennec,et al.  Microsimulation, Macrosimulation: Model Validation, Linkage and Alignment , 2009 .

[27]  Ned Levine.  The Construction of a Population Analysis Program Using a Microcomputer Spreadsheet , 1985 .

[28]  E Van Imhoff,et al.  Microsimulation methods for population projection. , 1998, Population. English selection.

[29]  J. Ledent.  6 – Transition Probability Estimation in Increment-Decrement Life Tables: Using Mobility Data from a Census or a Survey , 1982 .

[30]  Jeff Tayman,et al.  An evaluation of population projections by age , 2003, Demography.

[31]  Steven C. Wheelwright,et al.  Forecasting methods and applications. , 1979 .

[32]  Andrew M. Isserman,et al.  The Accuracy of Population Projections for Subcounty Areas , 1977 .

[33]  J. M. Bates,et al.  The Combination of Forecasts , 1969 .

[34]  Stanley K. Smith,et al.  Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models , 2007 .

[35]  L. Wissen,et al.  In search of a modelling strategy for projecting internal migration in European countries - Demographic versus economic-geographical approaches , 2005 .

[36]  S K Smith,et al.  Further thoughts on simplicity and complexity in population projection models. , 1997, International journal of forecasting.

[37]  David A. Swanson,et al.  A New Short-Term County Population Projection Method , 1994 .

[38]  Ludi Simpson,et al.  Geography conversion tables: a framework for conversion of data between geographical units , 2002 .

[39]  P Pflaumer,et al.  Forecasting U.S. population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach. , 1992, International journal of forecasting.

[40]  A. Rogers.  Regional Population Projection Models , 1985 .

[41]  Warren C. Sanderson,et al.  Knowledge can improve forecasts: a review of selected socioeconomic population projection models. , 1998 .

[42]  Robert Tanton,et al.  Urban and Rural Estimates of Poverty: Recent Advances in Spatial Microsimulation in Australia , 2010 .

[43]  Robert Tanton,et al.  Projecting Small Area Statistics with Australian Microsimulation Model (SPATIALMSM) , 2010 .

[44]  Wolfgang Lutz,et al.  Introduction: The need to rethink approaches to population forecasts , 1998 .

[45]  Peter A. Rogerson,et al.  The Geographical Analysis of Population: With Applications to Planning and Business , 1994 .

[46]  Internal migration scenarios and regional population projections for the European Union , 2000 .

[47]  Nathan Keyfitz.  Experiments in the projection of mortality , 1991 .

[48]  Sophie Pennec,et al.  LIPRO 2.0: An Application of a Dynamic Demographic Projection Model to Household Structure in the Netherlands , 1992 .

[49]  A Rogers,et al.  Population forecasting: do simple models outperform complex models? , 1995, Mathematical population studies.

[50]  S. Smith.  A review and evaluation of the housing unit method of population estimation. , 1986, Journal of the American Statistical Association.

[51]  N. Keilman.  Internal and External Consistency in Multidimensional Population Projection Models , 1985 .

[52]  Wolfgang Lutz,et al.  Toward a Systematic, Argument-Based Approach to Defining Assumptions for Population Projections , 2009 .

[53]  Richard E. Klosterman,et al.  Community Analysis and Planning Techniques , 1990 .

[54]  Stanley K. Smith,et al.  Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Subcounty Population Forecasts , 2010 .

[55]  Josef Perry,et al.  A Short Method for Projecting Population By Age from One Decennial Census to Another , 1962 .

[56]  Mary R. Hardy.  1. Mortality on the Move , 1994 .

[57]  Robert Tanton,et al.  Demographic change and the needs-based planning of government services: projecting small area populations using spatial microsimulation , 2011 .

[58]  Donald B. Pittenger,et al.  Projecting state and local populations , 1976 .

[59]  Paul Norman,et al.  Putting Iterative Proportional Fitting on the researcher’s desk , 1999 .

[60]  R. Lee,et al.  Disaggregation in population forecasting: do we need it? And how to do it simply. , 1995, Mathematical population studies.

[61]  Edwin Cannan.  The Probability of a Cessation of the Growth of Population in England and Wales During the Next Century , 1895 .

[62]  J. Raymer,et al.  A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales , 2010, Population trends.

[63]  J. Sexton,et al.  A Technique for Rapidly Forecasting Regional Urban Growth , 2011 .

[64]  G. Chi,et al.  Small‐area population forecasting: borrowing strength across space and time , 2011 .

[65]  Heather Booth,et al.  Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review , 2006 .

[66]  Stanley K. Smith.  Accounting for migration in cohort-component projections of state and local populations , 1986, Demography.

[67]  D Courgeau,et al.  Migration theories and behavioural models. , 1995, International journal of population geography : IJPG.

[68]  Steve H. Murdock,et al.  Evaluating Small-Area Population Projections , 1991 .

[69]  S. Preston,et al.  Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes , 2000 .

[70]  Stanley K. Smith,et al.  Some new techniques for applying the housing unit method of local population estimation , 2011, Demography.

[71]  P. Hooimeijer,et al.  Household Projections and Housing Market Behaviour , 1995 .

[72]  Gwilym M. Jenkins,et al.  Time series analysis, forecasting and control , 1972 .

[73]  Regional population projections in the countries of the European Economic Area. , 1994 .

[74]  Andrei Rogers,et al.  Modeling interregional migration flows: Continuity and change , 2001 .

[75]  Paul Waddell,et al.  Introduction to Urban Simulation: Design and Development of Operational Models , 2004 .

[76]  Tom Wilson,et al.  Modelling with NEWDSS: Producing state, regional and local area population projections for New South Wales , 2011 .

[77]  Requiem for the Fixed‐Transition‐Probability Migrant , 2010 .

[78]  M. Cordey-hayes.  Migration and the Dynamics of Multiregional Population Systems , 1975 .

[79]  P. Rogerson,et al.  Forecasting interstate migration with limited data: a demographic-economic approach. , 1985, Journal of the American Statistical Association.

[80]  David A. Swanson,et al.  Forecasting the Population of Census Tracts by Age and Sex: An Example of the Hamilton–Perry Method in Action , 2009, Population research and policy review.

[81]  Alexandra D. Syphard,et al.  Assessing housing growth when census boundaries change , 2009, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci..

[82]  K. Konty,et al.  Population Forecasting with Nonstationary Multiregional Growth Matrices , 2002 .

[83]  Andrei Rogers,et al.  Shrinking Large-Scale Population-Projection Models by Aggregation and Decomposition , 1976 .

[84]  D A Ahlburg,et al.  Population Forecasts for South Pacific Nations using Autoregressive Models 1985 — 2000 , 1987, Journal of the Australian Population Association.

[85]  Martin Bell,et al.  Forecasting the pattern of urban growth with PUP: a web-based model interfaced with GIS and 3D animation , 2000 .

[86]  David A. Swanson,et al.  State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis , 2001 .

[87]  Stanley K. Smith,et al.  A regression approach to estimating the average number of persons per household , 2002, Demography.

[88]  A. Rogers.  Matrix Methods of Population Analysis , 1966 .

[89]  T. Wilson,et al.  Comparative empirical evaluations of internal migration models in subnational population projections , 2004 .

[90]  F. Willekens,et al.  Data and Accounts , 1986 .

[91]  Voss Pr,et al.  Refinements to small-area population projection models: results of a test based on 128 Wisconsin communities. , 1985 .

[92]  João Saboia,et al.  Modeling and forecasting populations by time series: The Swedish case , 1974, Demography.

[93]  Leon N. Moses,et al.  Methods of Regional Analysis: An Introduction to Regional Science. , 1960 .

[94]  D A Ahlburg,et al.  Simple versus complex models: evaluation, accuracy, and combining. , 1995, Mathematical population studies.

[95]  Martin Clarke,et al.  Spatial Microsimulation Models: A Review and a Glimpse into the Future , 2011 .

[96]  A Rogers,et al.  Parameterized multistate population dynamics and projections. , 1986, Journal of the American Statistical Association.

[97]  Andrei Rogers,et al.  Model migration schedules , 1981 .

[98]  I. Gregory,et al.  Breaking the boundaries: geographical approaches to integrating 200 years of the census , 2005 .

[99]  A Model For Projecting Localized Economic, Demographic, And Fiscal Impacts Of Large-Scale Projects , 1979 .